EGGERS: How rare is the Blazers' season?

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by SlyPokerDog, Dec 19, 2013.

  1. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    Talking Trail Blazers as we approach the holidays

    • Lastseason, Portland finished 33-49 (.402). The only team in NBA history that has had a winning percentage of .402 or worse and gone on the next season to win a championship was Boston in 2006-07. The Celtics won it all the year after going 24-58 (.293).

    • Terry Stotts entered the season with a 148-217 record (.405) in five years as a head coach with Atlanta, Milwaukee and Portland. If the Blazers should win the NBA title this season, Stotts would become the first coach to achieve that with a losing mark going into the championship season.

    San Antonio's Gregg Popovich is the closest, owning a 73-73 career record before he won his first championship in his third season as the Spurs' coach in 1998-99.

    LaMarcus Aldridge is getting plenty of mention as a candidate for the Most Valuable Player award. Bill Walton is the only Trail Blazers with that honor, but it wasn't during the championship year. It was the next season (1977-78), when the Blazers burst out of the gate 50-10, only to fall victim to a rash of injuries. That caused them to lose to Seattle in the first round of the playoffs.

    • If voting for all-NBA were held today, Aldridge would have a great shot at first team. It would be between Aldridge and Minnesota's Kevin Love at power forward. Love is tied for third in the league in scoring (25.2) and leads in rebounds (13.7) with 4.2 assists while shooting .447 from the field, .387 from 3-point range and .823 from the foul line. Aldridge is averaging 23.3 points, 11.1 rebounds and 2.8 assists while shooting .464 from the field and .849 from the line.

    They both belong along with Oklahoma City's Kevin Durant, Miami's LeBron James and Indiana's Paul George.

    Damian Lillard is making a strong run at an All-Star Game appearance in his second season. Lillard is 12th in the NBA in scoring (21.3), second among point guards behind Golden State's Stephen Curry (24.3). Lillard is shooting only .407 from the field but .428 from 3-point range -- best of any of the league's top 18 scorers -- and .895 from the line, eighth in the NBA.

    Lillard is only 18th in assists (5.9), but has two other factors going for him -- his run of clutch/game-winning baskets and Portland's status as one of the winningest teams in the league.

    Lillard's primary All-Star competition out of the West will come from Curry, OKC's Russell Westbrook and San Antonio's Tony Parker. Plenty of other point guards are having excellent seasons in the conference, including Sacramento's Isaiah Thomas, Memphis' Mike Conley, Denver's Ty Lawson and New Orleans' Jrue Holiday.

    On the subject of All-Star Game selection:Don't fret that the Trail Blazers are far down the voting lists. That happens every year. The five starters are chosen by fan vote, but the rest of the teams are filled out by a vote of the conference coaches. They'll select Aldridge for sure, and if Lillard and the Blazers continue their strong play, he'll have a good shot.

    You could make a case that all five Portland starters are off to career seasons.

    Aldridge is a "for sure." Lillard's numbers are all improved, other than his field-goal percentage (and he shot only .429 last season), from his Rookie of the Year season.
    Wesley Matthews is at a career-best rate for scoring (16.2) and rebounds (4.1) and is way ahead of pace in field-goal percentage (.500) and 3-point percentage (.442).
    Nicolas Batum is slightly behind last year's pace in scoring (14.1 to 14.3 in 2012-13) but ahead in rebounds (6.3) and assists (5.2) while shooting .470 from the field, .404 from 3-point range and .803 from the line.

    Robin Lopez is averaging 9.3 points, a career-high 8.4 rebounds and 1.44 blocked shots while shooting .537 from the field and .794 from the line. Put together, it's by far Lopez's best statistical campaign. And that's not taking into account all the intangibles the 7-foot center provides.

    InWednesday's120-109 loss at Minnesota,the Timberwolves' Nikolas Pekovic outscored Lopez 30-2 and outrebounded him 9-5 while playing 11 fewer seconds. Lopez will rarely outscore Pekovic, but he's a better defender and equal in the rebounding department. Any evaluation of the Wednesday disparity has to take into consideration the Blazers were on their fourth game of a five-day road trip. Also, Lopez's numbers aren't as important as his contributions that don't show up on the stat sheet.

    Reports came from Houston this week that the Blazers are "an X factor" in multi-team negotiations to land Houston center Omer Asik. Asik is a nice player, an outstanding rebounder and an upgrade offensively from Lopez. But general manager Neil Olshey will surely be reluctant to break up the chemistry that has built through the early season in Portland. I'd be surprised if anything came of it on the Blazers' end.

    • One-third of the way through the season, Portland is on pace for a 66-win season, which would better the franchise record of 63-19 set in 1990-91. At 12-3, the Blazers already have more road wins than they did all of last season (11-30). But only two of the teams Portland has beaten away from home owns a winning record -- Denver and Golden State.

    Ahead lies a minefield of schedule, including a four-game trip in January with stops in San Antonio, Dallas, Houston and Oklahoma City. The Blazers are going to be a playoff team. The goal now should be to finish among the top four in the conference and gain homecourt advantage in the first round.

    http://portlandtribune.com/pt/12-sports/205137-eggers-how-rare-is-the-blazers-season
     
  2. Blazer Fanatic

    Blazer Fanatic Suspended

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    This is good content. ;) Nice find.

    I would just point out:

    LAL are .500 at home
    Cleveland is .636 at home
    GS is .668 at home
    Denver is .636 at home
    Boston is .500 at home

    It's one thing to say Portland hasn't beaten many teams .500 or over. But is disingenuous to talk about Portland's record without separating Road vs Home record with the teams they've played as well. Road wins are more difficult than home wins, hence the phrase "Home court advantage" yes? Cleveland and Boston and LAL are bad, but they play much better at home. And they should be included when talking about .500 or better teams when playing @ their arena.

    I don't see why Lillard couldn't make the All-Star game with Kobe's injury, if he continues to impress. I agree LA is a coaches vote lock.

    I agree Asik is a huge risk, and not worth the asking price. Olshey would need a Christmas gift type offer to make any moves at all at 22-5.

    On pace for 66? How can people even find the energy to complain about this team after predictions of 38 and 42 games were the expectation? Perspective is a good thing.

    Stotts was the perfect coach for this team, with the right temperament and tool box. Couldn't be happier for him, the team, and their success.
     
  3. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Easy. People are complaining about the bench, with the understanding that the high win total is more in spite of it than because of it. We're all thrilled with the early season success. We also want it to be sustainable. Some people don't believe that the current bench will be able to provide the support necessary to win 60+, or more importantly, win in the postseason. There's validity to that perspective.
     
  4. Rastapopoulos

    Rastapopoulos Well-Known Member

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    I can think of no greater diss to Robin than to say that Asik is an "upgrade offensively."

    I can't help but feel that all this giddy talk of championship contending is going to look pretty silly come June. But that's just nearly a quarter-century of Blazer-supporting-experience talking.
     
  5. Eastoff

    Eastoff But it was a beginning.

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    Yes sir! The last thing anyone wants is to see the starters burn out on so many minutes they get stress fractures or partially torn ligaments from over use. We need a more dependable bench to take the next step. We somehow managed to take the first two steps this summer, and we are onto steps 3 and 4.
     
  6. rasheedfan2005

    rasheedfan2005 Well-Known Member

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    arent aldridge and lillard playing less minutes than last year?
     
  7. magnifier661

    magnifier661 B-A-N-A-N-A-S!

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    The great thing about our starters is they can hit their averages in 3 quarters, if we had a decent bench. Could you imagine how wonderful it would be for Aldridge and Killard to still average 20+, while their minutes drop 5-6 more minutes? They would have mid 20 PERs, maybe even high 20's.

    If we were able to bring in Hawes and Lowry to replace Mo, Wright and scrubs playing zero minutes, wouldn't you be down for that?
     
  8. Blazer Fanatic

    Blazer Fanatic Suspended

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    Do you think it's reasonable to expect a team that won 33 games last season, to win 66 games the next season having added no All-Star talent? We likely both agree what the Blazer's weaknesses are. I think there tends to be a blatant disregard on the part of some fans to recall the significant improvements the team has made already, and will continue to make. We won't have a very good idea till they've had more time playing together. The trade threads, and constant complaining to get rid of players is stupid in my opinion, and not the same as identifying weaknesses and expressing frustration. We all (I think) want the Blazers to win every game, but that's not reasonable. I suppose I should just accept that people that voice their gripes in epic troll/spam fashion should just be left to vent and ignored.

    I always feel like I've lost brain cells after reading the "sky-is-falling" threads.

    What you are talking about, what makes for strong play-off basketball, of course is valid. There is a point however when that discussion involves some fans that like to drive that discussion off a cliff.
     
    Last edited: Dec 20, 2013
  9. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Exactly. Seasons like this hardly ever happen for ANY team and STILL, people crap on Lillard saying they'd rather have Curry. It's unbelievable. Magnifier wanted to trade Batum for Horford. Are you kidding me? Nik and MM are undercutting our success every chance they get. I kind of feel sorry for some of you. You just can't enjoy the good times worrying about how we may play in the playoffs. It's December. Third of the way through the season. 22-5. Dallas barely beat us and we out scored Minnesota 79-52 at one point to make their life hell. We are an incredibly hard team to beat . I bet some of the players read this board or know people who do. Show some respect for their work.
     
  10. magnifier661

    magnifier661 B-A-N-A-N-A-S!

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    Psst that was the start of the season. Why don't you ask me that question again?

    Wanna know something you said after we lost 2 games early? "Why can't we be contenders?"

    Or your patented "season's over" comments all last season.
     
  11. julius

    julius Living on the air in Cincinnati... Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Is Philadelphia actually interested in trading Hawes? I can't imagine why they would.
     

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