A look a some final player stats

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Wizard Mentor, May 19, 2014.

  1. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

    Joined:
    Oct 22, 2008
    Messages:
    14,356
    Likes Received:
    14,432
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Master of Xen Foro
    Location:
    La Grande, OR
    Here are the advanced stats from basketball-reference.com:

    [​IMG]

    Team NetRtg: 111.5-107.4 = +4.1

    Player NetRtg (with at least 500 minutes)
    Lopez: +21
    Matthews: +8
    Batum: +7
    Lillard: +6
    Aldridge: +4
    TEAM AVERAGE: +4
    Freeland: +2
    Wright: +1
    Robinson: -2
    Williams -8

    Thoughts:
    • I like NetRtg because it's simple to understand and yet highly relevant.
    • However, WS/48 may be more meaningful, but I'm looking for general trends not Player X is better than Player Y when the data is close.
    • No one on the bench had at or above Team NetRtg.
    • Lopez is awesome.
    • Williams is not.
     
    Darkwebs and PapaG like this.
  2. PapaG

    PapaG Banned User BANNED

    Joined:
    Sep 23, 2008
    Messages:
    32,870
    Likes Received:
    291
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Tualatin, OR
    Net rating is kind of a bad metric, simply because Lillard and LMA play a lot more minutes with the bench players than Matthews and Lopez, which impacts their net rating as a team negatively. It's dependent on who is on the court.

    On/Off is a much better stat to use, IMO, because it shows how the team performs with an individual player as well as any stat we have.

    On/Off for the starters

    Batum +5.4
    Matthews +3.6
    LMA +8.8
    Lopez +6.3
    Lillard +6.5
     
  3. BlazerCaravan

    BlazerCaravan Hug a Bigot... to Death

    Joined:
    Sep 20, 2008
    Messages:
    28,071
    Likes Received:
    10,384
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Good point, G. I like on/off a lot too.
     
  4. PapaG

    PapaG Banned User BANNED

    Joined:
    Sep 23, 2008
    Messages:
    32,870
    Likes Received:
    291
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Tualatin, OR
    On/Off for the primary bench players.

    Mo -4.9
    Robinson -10.3
    Wright -1.3
    Leonard -17
    Freeland -2.5
    McCollum -7.2
    Barton -7.2
    Watson -3.9
    Claver +3.4
     
  5. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    Oct 5, 2008
    Messages:
    122,827
    Likes Received:
    122,827
    Trophy Points:
    115
    All of our starters really improved their trade values.
     
  6. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

    Joined:
    Oct 22, 2008
    Messages:
    14,356
    Likes Received:
    14,432
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Master of Xen Foro
    Location:
    La Grande, OR
    Hmmm. How is On/Off measured? If it's simply On - Off, wouldn't that have the same problem?

    btw, what's your opinion on WS/48?

     
    Last edited: May 19, 2014
  7. ripcityboy

    ripcityboy Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2013
    Messages:
    12,934
    Likes Received:
    10,797
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    self employed
    Location:
    pdx, or, usa.
    Batum has better overall stats than I thought he would. I have to say the critics on here were right on Mo. Will be interesting to see these next year with more players contributing.
     
  8. PapaG

    PapaG Banned User BANNED

    Joined:
    Sep 23, 2008
    Messages:
    32,870
    Likes Received:
    291
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Tualatin, OR
    On/Off isn't dependent on who you're on the court with, like Ortg/Drtg are as a player. For example, Lopez is so high because he literally rarely or never had to play with Robinson/Leonard/McCollum/Barton, and was typically always on the court with Lillard and LMA.

    WS/48 is a better stat than net rating, IMO, but for measuring a player's impact individually on a team, I think On/Off is the best one to use. No stat is perfect, though, and you're repped for posting some advanced stats! That's been my thing here for years, and I enjoy diving into advanced stats. :cheers:
     
  9. PapaG

    PapaG Banned User BANNED

    Joined:
    Sep 23, 2008
    Messages:
    32,870
    Likes Received:
    291
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Tualatin, OR
    Let me put it another way. Any stat that shows that Lopez and Matthews are better players than LMA/Lillard is skewed by who is on the floor with those players.

    Wes and Lopez are almost never on the court without either LMA or Lillard, and usually both.
     
  10. PapaG

    PapaG Banned User BANNED

    Joined:
    Sep 23, 2008
    Messages:
    32,870
    Likes Received:
    291
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Tualatin, OR
    Posted in another thread, but thought it was important for the "TRADE LMA!!!" idiocy we'll see in a few months.

    LMA was +19.5 On/Off for the playoffs. Anybody with eyeballs knows that the Blazers were holding on to stay in the game when he wasn't on the court.

    Lillard was +6.5 for the playoffs, which was basically his season's total.

    LMA was +8.8 for the regular season. Sometimes I wonder if Blazer fans have some sort of self-destructive gene which causes them to try and run the best player on the team out of Portland.
     
  11. BlazerCaravan

    BlazerCaravan Hug a Bigot... to Death

    Joined:
    Sep 20, 2008
    Messages:
    28,071
    Likes Received:
    10,384
    Trophy Points:
    113
    It was when LMA scored 40 points twice and people said, "See? He should just play like that every night!" that made me slam my head into my desk to get relief. You wanna talk about entitlement in a fanbase. We are AWFUL to our good players, and even worse to our great ones.

    And LaMarcus is one of the great Blazers.
     
  12. PapaG

    PapaG Banned User BANNED

    Joined:
    Sep 23, 2008
    Messages:
    32,870
    Likes Received:
    291
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Tualatin, OR
    Yeah, hearing that LMA played like crap against the Spurs when he averaged 22/11 for the series makes this place intolerable. When you really read the posts, though, it's only about 5 posters bashing him over and over.
     
    Last edited: May 19, 2014
  13. Mediocre Man

    Mediocre Man Mr. SportsTwo

    Joined:
    Sep 23, 2008
    Messages:
    44,273
    Likes Received:
    26,815
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I never understood the Aldridge hate during this playoffs. He was amazing
     
  14. blue32

    blue32 Who wants a mustache ride?

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2008
    Messages:
    8,613
    Likes Received:
    2,102
    Trophy Points:
    113
    He was great. He did run a little cold on the shooting at times, but who can expect him to put up 40pts every game. I guess its possible, but highly unlikely. Overall I think he and Lillard had a great playoff push.
     
  15. Eastoff

    Eastoff But it was a beginning.

    Joined:
    Jun 17, 2009
    Messages:
    16,040
    Likes Received:
    4,009
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Tualatin
    Personally, I was disappointed in the number of jumpers, and not as many close-in shots.
     
  16. PapaG

    PapaG Banned User BANNED

    Joined:
    Sep 23, 2008
    Messages:
    32,870
    Likes Received:
    291
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Tualatin, OR
    You take what the defense gives you.
     
  17. blazerboy30

    blazerboy30 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    5,465
    Likes Received:
    423
    Trophy Points:
    83
    I've never understood why LMA doesn't dunk the ball every time he gets it.
     
  18. RoyToy

    RoyToy Clown Town

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2008
    Messages:
    10,977
    Likes Received:
    297
    Trophy Points:
    83
    It's okay to admit Aldridge didn't play that well vs San Antonio

    Unless shooting 42% is your thing
     
  19. PapaG

    PapaG Banned User BANNED

    Joined:
    Sep 23, 2008
    Messages:
    32,870
    Likes Received:
    291
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Tualatin, OR
    Nobody played well against San Antonio. The on/off for the playoffs aren't a made-up number, though. The team was remarkably worse with LMA on the bench. It was painful to watch at times, because if the bench stayed even, I considered it a victory. Unfortunately, more often than not, when LMA went out, a 4-6 point deficit would balloon to 10-14. During the Houston series, LMA was able to make up the ground the bench lost. Against the Spurs, it was impossible, because the Portland bench was just awful.
     
  20. Schilly

    Schilly Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2009
    Messages:
    3,161
    Likes Received:
    3,345
    Trophy Points:
    113
    if you like WS you can see it's pretty glaringly obvious we have a huge drop from Starters to Bench. 6-10 looks like a tier to me, then 11-15 is another significant drop.

    Meyers ranked better than anyone wants to admit?
     

Share This Page