538.com Blazers' Preview

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by BrianFromWA, Oct 26, 2015.

Moderators: 7

Moderators

  1. BrianFromWA
  2. Chris Craig
  3. Darkwebs
  4. Ed O
  5. PtldPlatypus
  6. SlyPokerDog
  7. Strenuus
Page 1 of 2
  1. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

    Joined:
    Sep 9, 2008
    Messages:
    26,073
    Likes Received:
    9,027
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I can't believe that someone hasn't posted this yet, but I can't find it, so...apologies if it's not new info.

    http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/nba-portland-trail-blazers-preview-2015-16/

    Bottom Line Up Front: Fascinating to me that their projection system has us going 39-43, with Frazier playing 5x the PG minutes that CJ does (actually, with CJ playing as much PG and Aminu plays center), with Dame the only one getting more than 24mpg, and with Henderson and Harkless getting 3x as many SF minutes as Aminu. I don't see those happening, and to our benefit. If CJ plays more than Frazier, and Aminu more than Henderson, and Vonleh more than Kaman, I think we're a much better team overall. :dunno:

    Some more tidbits, if you like the tl;dr more than clicking on the link:

    Meyers' top 5 comps? Jason Smith (guh), Chris Wilcox (?!?), Tom Barker (um, I had to look this one up), Scot Pollard (I can kinda see it) and, wait for it, Michael Cage :yeahright:.

     
    BrianFromWA, Oct 26, 2015
    #1
    Draco, Blazer4ever, Darkwebs and 2 others like this.
  2. oldmangrouch

    oldmangrouch persona non grata

    Joined:
    Sep 22, 2008
    Messages:
    12,402
    Likes Received:
    6,323
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Not even the "experts" know what to make of this roster.
     
    oldmangrouch, Oct 26, 2015
    #2
    Orion Bailey, Nikolokolus and HailBlazers like this.
  3. BBert

    BBert Weasels Ripped My Flesh

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2008
    Messages:
    26,461
    Likes Received:
    20,058
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Poster Boy
    Location:
    Blazerlandia
    Meyers = Michael Cage?? :biglaugh:
     
    BBert, Oct 26, 2015
    #3
  4. crandc

    crandc Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2008
    Messages:
    21,456
    Likes Received:
    27,615
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Not surprising since the roster is so new. But then isn't that one of the things that makes a season fun?
     
    crandc, Oct 26, 2015
    #4
    Orion Bailey, riverman and HailBlazers like this.
  5. Reep

    Reep Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2008
    Messages:
    5,545
    Likes Received:
    3,569
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    South Jordan, UT
    It lost credibility with me when they had Dame at 70% playing and CJ at 30%. No way CJ plays that few of minutes. They had CJ and Frazier playing almost the same amount. The rest falls apart quickly if you start with the wrong assumptions.
     
    Reep, Oct 26, 2015
    #5
    Orion Bailey likes this.
  6. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

    Joined:
    Sep 9, 2008
    Messages:
    26,073
    Likes Received:
    9,027
    Trophy Points:
    113
    but it only gets better!
     
    BrianFromWA, Oct 26, 2015
    #6
  7. blue9

    blue9 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2012
    Messages:
    10,729
    Likes Received:
    7,169
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Now I really wanna see Meyers with Cage's hair!
     
    blue9, Oct 26, 2015
    #7
    BlazerCaravan likes this.
  8. Rastapopoulos

    Rastapopoulos Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 30, 2008
    Messages:
    40,819
    Likes Received:
    25,038
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Ballin'
    Mason Plumlee: "slightly below average"
     
    Rastapopoulos, Oct 26, 2015
    #8
  9. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    Oct 5, 2008
    Messages:
    122,789
    Likes Received:
    122,773
    Trophy Points:
    115
    I see more Nicolas Cage than Michael.
     
    SlyPokerDog, Oct 26, 2015
    #9
    Orion Bailey likes this.
  10. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2008
    Messages:
    34,272
    Likes Received:
    43,611
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I've recalculated.

    upload_2015-10-26_12-13-16.png

    There--now we're in the playoffs.
     
    PtldPlatypus, Oct 26, 2015
    #10
    Draco, BlazerCaravan, Orion Bailey and 1 other person like this.
  11. Reep

    Reep Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2008
    Messages:
    5,545
    Likes Received:
    3,569
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    South Jordan, UT
    Not perfect, but a lot closer than they one they used. I don't see the bottom four even getting 5.
     
    Reep, Oct 26, 2015
    #11
    BlazerCaravan likes this.
  12. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2008
    Messages:
    34,272
    Likes Received:
    43,611
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Remember, that's not minutes but percent of minutes. Still, you're probably right.
     
    PtldPlatypus, Oct 26, 2015
    #12
  13. Reep

    Reep Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2008
    Messages:
    5,545
    Likes Received:
    3,569
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    South Jordan, UT
    I'm not sure what perfect is at this point. I think you are very close, but most of it depends on what Hendo does. If Henderson comes on and plays really well and they move CJ to the bench, then adjustments would have to be made. If CJ remains the starter then he likely will get the % you assign. That is the only part that I would expect to possibly change.
     
    Reep, Oct 26, 2015
    #13
  14. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

    Joined:
    Oct 22, 2008
    Messages:
    14,356
    Likes Received:
    14,432
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Master of Xen Foro
    Location:
    La Grande, OR
    I want to see Biebs with Cage's muscles!
     
    Wizard Mentor, Oct 26, 2015
    #14
  15. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

    Joined:
    Sep 9, 2008
    Messages:
    26,073
    Likes Received:
    9,027
    Trophy Points:
    113
    or his jheri curl.

    [​IMG]

     
    BrianFromWA, Oct 27, 2015
    #15
    Wizard Mentor likes this.
  16. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

    Joined:
    Oct 22, 2008
    Messages:
    14,356
    Likes Received:
    14,432
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Master of Xen Foro
    Location:
    La Grande, OR
    seems like if Ed Davis hit the weights and got an 15-footer he would totally be Michael Cage.
     
    Wizard Mentor, Oct 27, 2015
    #16
    Orion Bailey likes this.
  17. tlongII

    tlongII Legendary Poster

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2008
    Messages:
    17,094
    Likes Received:
    11,713
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Systems Analyst
    Location:
    Beaverton, Oregon
    Leonard's already more muscular than Cage ever was.
     
    tlongII, Oct 27, 2015
    #17
    Orion Bailey and BlazerCaravan like this.
  18. BlazerCaravan

    BlazerCaravan Hug a Bigot... to Death

    Joined:
    Sep 20, 2008
    Messages:
    28,071
    Likes Received:
    10,384
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Yeah looking at those pictures shocked me... NBA players are way more ripped now than 25 years ago.
     
    BlazerCaravan, Oct 27, 2015
    #18
    Draco likes this.
  19. KeepOnRollin

    KeepOnRollin Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2010
    Messages:
    11,497
    Likes Received:
    5,679
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    North Idaho
    Outside of Karl Malone
    [​IMG]
     
    KeepOnRollin, Oct 27, 2015
    #19
    Draco, Orion Bailey and BlazerCaravan like this.
  20. blue32

    blue32 Who wants a mustache ride?

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2008
    Messages:
    8,613
    Likes Received:
    2,102
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I've noticed this, but the majority of it are the supplements and injections (HGH, etc) they get, starting even at the high-school level.
     
    blue32, Oct 27, 2015
    #20
Page 1 of 2

Share This Page