For all those out there who participate in the predictions game (and those who don't), I have been thinking about adding a second predictions game to the mix. The top game contributor prediction. Essentially, you predict who will be the top contributor to the Blazers for each game. Formula for contribution would be Points + Rebounds + Assists + Steals + Blocks - Turnovers. However, I'm wondering if all rebounds should be counted equally or if offensive rebounds are more valuable than defensive rebounds? Should assists be doubled in value as they contribute to a score? Blocks deny another team a score so should they be more valuable? In predicting, you would state who you believed would be the most valuable and their total contribution points. Each player would be ranked for the game and so ranking would be based on picking the right player, closest to the actual contribution points, etc. Let me know your thoughts. Is there interest in doing this? What formulaic suggestions might you have? Thanks. Gramps...
I like it , but I would keep it simple and just give a pt per, no matter what. It will make it much easier to add up in the end.
I really like this idea. I think it should go across the board, just a pt a piece. Thanks so much for doing this, Gramps!!
If I were to come up with a formula it'd be something like this PTS+(1.5*OREB)+DREB+AST+(2*BLK)+(2*STL)-TO-(0.5*FGA Missed) / Min Played Subtracting shots missed means that whoever jacks up the most shots won't almost automatically have the best game. Dividing by minutes played gives bench guys a chance as well. (A score of 50 over 20 minutes played would be better than a score of 80 over 40 minutes played)
I will not consider minutes as a factor. Someone playing a few minutes in scrub role in a blowout could have great looking numbers. I am looking for total game contribution - not an averaged minute contribution - not all minutes are equal. I also don't want to subtract for FGA missed as sometimes guys are forced into a bad shot (end of shot clock, etc.). Sometimes it is their bad choice of shots but not always. I'm sticking with the basics - points, rebounds (not sure about the splitting Offensive from total or not), assists, steals, blocks. Explain, if you would, why you double the value of blocks and steals but not assists? A steal or a block denies the other team a chance at two points but an assist is worth at least two and sometimes three points for us - why reward one side but not the other? Also, why, specifically do you reward offensive rebounds more than defensive rebounds? I realize offensive rebounds are less frequent but still, why are they valued more? Not condemning - just asking for reasoning. Thanks! Gramps...
Totally separate game. The results of one would have no impact on the other. HomerLovesKoolAid can still hold down the basement in the Final Score predictions game but could hold court here on how to pick the top contributor. Gramps...
For tonight's game, the contribution rankings (1 point each for points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks and -1 for turnovers) would be as follows: 1. Damian Lillard - 36 2. Ed Davis - 27 3. Al-Farouq Aminu - 24 4. Mason Plumlee - 23 5. Mo Harkless - 22 6. C.J. McCollum - 19 7. Gerald Henderson - 13 8. Allen Crabbe - 11 9. Brian Roberts - 5 10. Noah Vonleh - 1
