How Donald Trump Bankrupted His Atlantic City Casinos, but Still Earned Millions

Discussion in 'Blazers OT Forum' started by SlyPokerDog, Jun 11, 2016.

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  1. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Obviously the poll can be in error.

    Yes, that's correct so far. But "might" simply indicates non-zero probability. It doesn't mean likely.

    Yeah... but none of that addresses or invalidates my points in the previous post.

    The statistical assumption underlying the margin of error is that the results of a lot of polls (more samples) will be in a normal distribution peaked at the result that the poll actually found.

    In other words, if the poll says candidate A leads (but within the margin of error) it is still more likely than not that candidate A leads.

    I actually think you know all that and are pretending you don't because you want so badly for Trump to win.

    barfo
     
    Last edited: Jun 20, 2016
    barfo, Jun 20, 2016
    #81
  2. e_blazer

    e_blazer Rip City Fan

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    What's sad is that anyone would want either one of these schmucks to win.
     
    e_blazer, Jun 20, 2016
    #82
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  3. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Error is error. You cannot say for sure who's ahead if within the margin of error. With 95% certainly.

    If Trump winning gets your panties in more of a bunch, that's a plus.
     
    Denny Crane, Jun 20, 2016
    #83
  4. riverman

    riverman Writing Team

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    What's even worse is it's almost always been like this but they used to be slick at disguising their apathy with false promises
     
    riverman, Jun 20, 2016
    #84
  5. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Right. But of course you can't say for sure who's ahead if it isn't within the margin of error, either.

    If either of us has our panties in a bunch about the election, I kind of think it is you...

    Denny's preference: Johnson, Trump, Clinton
    Likely outcome: Clinton, Trump, Johnson

    barfo
     
    barfo, Jun 20, 2016
    #85
  6. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    And you wonder why most people think the country is going in the wrong direction.
     
    Denny Crane, Jun 20, 2016
    #86
  7. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Guess they think your direction is an even worse one.

    barfo
     
    barfo, Jun 20, 2016
    #87
  8. MARIS61

    MARIS61 Real American

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    WHOOPS! HOW EMBARRASSING!

    I was looking for the How Paul Allen Bankrupted His Portland NBA Team, but Still Earned Millions thread.
     
    MARIS61, Jun 20, 2016
    #88
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  9. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    He didn't BK the team.
     
    SlyPokerDog, Jun 20, 2016
    #89
  10. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    No, they keep voting for who makes the direction worse.

    Obama's policies haven't changed anyone's minds. But Hiliar's will. Riiiiiight.
     
    Denny Crane, Jun 21, 2016
    #90
  11. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    Trump fired his campaign manager Monday.
     
    SlyPokerDog, Jun 21, 2016
    #91
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  12. riverman

    riverman Writing Team

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    yeah, I never thought schools, movie theaters or discos would be battle grounds for assault weapons and slaughter. I would change your statement to say that the country has been going in two directions that will never agree.
     
    riverman, Jun 21, 2016
    #92
  13. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Or maybe not.

    upload_2016-6-21_13-16-42.png
     
    Denny Crane, Jun 21, 2016
    #93
  14. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Nah. Wrong direction, period. If things were so splendid, everyone would be happy except for a few hardcore partisans.
     
    Denny Crane, Jun 21, 2016
    #94
  15. BlazerCaravan

    BlazerCaravan Hug a Bigot... to Death

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    Scott Adams is a fucking moron and a colossal asshole.
     
    BlazerCaravan, Jun 21, 2016
    #95
  16. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Denny Crane, Jun 21, 2016
    #96
  17. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    barfo, Jun 21, 2016
    #97
  18. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    It's 'interesting' where you chose to put those red arrows. One would think, as a libertarian, you'd want to point them to the versions of the poll that included your little Johnson.

    Except, those versions actually show, contrary to what you've been claiming, that including your Johnson in the race increases Clinton's lead.

    I guess what this means is that your hatred for Clinton is greater than your love for (a) accuracy, and (b) your own Johnson.

    barfo
     
    barfo, Jun 21, 2016
    #98
  19. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    As someone who owns you in these "debates," I thought it better to put the arrows where you're wrong.

    Frankly, the RCP average of polls is pretty pointless. It has no level of confidence, it averages some polls of likely voters with some polls of registered voters with some that are 800 people interviewed with others that are 1000. And most are "skewed" toward democrats.
     
    Denny Crane, Jun 21, 2016
    #99
  20. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    How is he even this close in the polls? He's unqualified! He's a brute. He's a racist. He's a misogynist. The media is 24/7 telling everyone how evil he is and pushing Hiliar's "positives."

    How can it be?
     
    Denny Crane, Jun 21, 2016
    #100
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