46.5

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by PDXFonz, Sep 20, 2016.

  1. PDXFonz

    PDXFonz I’m listening

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    That is what vegas has set for the Blazers win total O/U.

    Team Wins
    Golden St. 66.5 Minnesota 41.5
    Cleveland 56.5 Charlotte 39.5
    San Antonio 56.5 Dallas 39.5
    LA Clippers 53.5 Milwaukee 39.5
    Boston 51.5 Chicago 38.5
    Toronto 49.5 New York 38.5
    Utah 47.5 Miami 36.5
    Portland 46.5 New Orleans 36.5
    Detroit 45.5 Orlando 36.5
    Okla. City 45.5 Denver 34.5
    Atlanta 43.5 Sacramento 32.5
    Indiana 43.5 Philadelphia 27.5
    Memphis 43.5 Phoenix 26.5
    Washington 42.5 LA Lakers 24.5
    Houston 41.5 Brooklyn 20.5

    If you wen't to Vegas and could only place one bet who would you take the O/U on?

    I like the chances we win 47 or more games, but I'm not sure that is what I would bet on. I might take Utah or LAC on the under.
     
    Last edited: Sep 20, 2016
  2. H.C.

    H.C. Well-Known Member

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    I'd take the under on Utah.
    Defense is Solid. But how many bottom 25 offenses in the league have got HCA in the first round
     
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  3. chzbrgr

    chzbrgr Well-Known Member

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    what is with the utah dickriding jesus its a national epidemic!

    But yeah rockets over and jazz under would be my bets they are a 44 win team just like last year

    also might take the knicks over 38.5 even with jerian grant playing pg they are still at the very least a .500 club
     
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  4. BlazerCaravan

    BlazerCaravan Hug a Bigot... to Death

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    Gotta take the over on GSW.

    Portland looks pretty well-rated. I'd take the over as a homer, but it's damn close this year.
     
  5. Boob-No-More

    Boob-No-More Why you no hire big man coach?

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    Hah! Id definitely take the over on the Blazers. I just finished typing up my reasons here.

    I'd also take the under on UTA. The only player on that roster to ever average over 20 ppg in a season is Joe Johnson, and that was like a hundred years and several teams ago.

    BNM
     
  6. BlazerCaravan

    BlazerCaravan Hug a Bigot... to Death

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    I'm with you that 56 wins versus last year's teams is a solid prediction. I'm tempering the number down only because I don't know how much better everyone else got in the West.
     
  7. Boob-No-More

    Boob-No-More Why you no hire big man coach?

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    Disagree. They will be better on paper, but they got the record last year and will take their foot off the gas during the regular season. They won't start 24-o and Kerr will take a page out of Pop's playbook and rest key players after they clinch the No. 1 seed with 2 - 3 weeks left in the regular season. They may win more than 66 games, but it's not a gimme. I'm predicting 65 - 68 wins for them.

    BNM
     
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  8. JDC

    JDC Well-Known Member

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    If healthy, Houston and Phoenix look like the safest overs imo. Charlotte is in that mix too. Nobody stands out as an easy under, but if I had to pick one, OKC would be it. That team is going to be ugly offensively (bottom 10 in the league ugly) and I don't trust enough of their guys defensively to make up for that.
     
  9. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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  10. PDXFonz

    PDXFonz I’m listening

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    And here are the odds for each team to win their division

    Atlantic Odds Southwest Odds
    Boston 10/11 San Antonio 1/7
    Toronto 5/4 Memphis 8/1
    New York 8/1 Houston 15/1
    Philadelphia 35/1 Dallas 25/1
    Brooklyn 200/1 New Orleans 40/1

    Central Odds Northwest Odds
    Cleveland 1/10 Utah 2/1
    Detroit 12/1 Portland 9/4
    Indiana 15/1 Okla. City 5/2
    Milwaukee 25/1 Minnesota 5/1
    Chicago 40/1 Denver 50/1

    Southeast Odds Pacific Odds
    Atlanta 9/5 Golden St. 1/40
    Washington 2/1 LA Clippers 7/1
    Charlotte 4/1 Sacramento 150/1
    Miami 8/1 Phoenix 300/1
    Orlando 8/1 LA Lakers 500/1
     
  11. Strenuus

    Strenuus Well-Known Member

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    Damn, those are disgusting odds for portland lol.
     
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  12. BBert

    BBert Weasels Ripped My Flesh

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    I'll take the over on Portland, just like last year.
     
  13. oldfisherman

    oldfisherman Unicorn Wrangler

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    Some of you guys do not understand HCP’s new math.
    His 23 win prediction last season = 44 actual wins.
    So HCP’s 28 win prediction this season = 53 actual wins, which sounds about right.
     
    Last edited: Sep 20, 2016
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  14. BlazerCaravan

    BlazerCaravan Hug a Bigot... to Death

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    This is actually brilliant.

    Which is how I know YOU made it up! :ghoti:
     
  15. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    I'd take the over on Indiana if I were to bet on any of these. I freaking loved their offseason.
     
  16. Blazers Roy

    Blazers Roy Well-Known Member

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    Last summer i took the over, for this season i'm taking the under.

    I'd say under on Utah and over on OKC are pretty good as well.

    I don't like these kind of bets because it's so dependent on injuries,trades and other unforeseen variables.
     
  17. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    Yeah I would definitely take the under on GS. Their lack of depth may not make them worse once the playoffs start (and rotations are shortened) but it will take a toll on the long season. And I just don't think they will be as good defensively.

    I was thinking 48-50 for Portland. So i might take the under, but it is not a lock like the GS number IMO.

    I would also take the over on Indiana.
     
  18. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    The most egregious one to me is SA. I think they fall to the lower 50s. Rest are pretty fair. Slight over on us. I feel like we hit 50
     
  19. HomerLovesKoolAid

    HomerLovesKoolAid I have a well-known member.

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    Hmmm......slightly north of 2 x 23.

    They're off by at least 10, I say 57 wins.

    Homer's Crazy Prediction.
     
  20. Boob-No-More

    Boob-No-More Why you no hire big man coach?

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    UTA is fool's gold. I have to wonder if Quin Snyder is the next Nate McMillan. Sure, UTA was ranked second in the league in OPP scoring, largely because they were dead last in pace. Sound familiar? For all the talk about their great defense, they were actually only slightly above league average in things like OPP FG% (13th) and OPP 2 FG% (10th) and below league average in OPP 3FG% (18th). So much of their "elite" defense.

    Last year they were 28th in scoring and 2nd in OPP scoring. Anyone who looks at that and doesn't immediately understand it's due to being dead last in pace just doesn't get it. How much did they improve their offense? Will they play at a faster pace this year, and if so how will that impact their defense? I just don't see a team that is that challenged offensively being better than Portland, in spite of their so called "elite defense".

    BNM
     
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