Lowe Podcast: Portland talking to Orl/Sac?

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Scalma, Dec 22, 2016.

  1. riverman

    riverman Writing Team

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    great point...I forgot about Clark...he's an Olshey type move for sure
     
  2. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Forum Troll

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    He isn't talkng about Olshey going after Clark, He is talking about GSW offering up Clark to Phi for Noel and that would look better to Phi
     
  3. Boob-No-More

    Boob-No-More Why you no hire big man coach?

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    Because it translated directly into elite level NBA defense as a 20-year old rookie. I feel like I've posted it 100 times, but you continue to ignore the facts.

    As a 20-year old rookie and a 21-year old playing out of position Nerlens Noel was the ONLY player in the entire NBA to record at least 100 STL and 100 BLKS in each of the last two seasons. He was also 4th in the entire league in DBPM as a rookie and 8th in his second season playing out of position.

    For the record, here's a comprehensive list of all players in the history of the NBA under the age of 21 to record at least 100 STL and 100 BLK in a season:

    Nerlens Noel: 2014-15, Age = 20, STL = 133, BLK = 142, DBPM = 4.5
    Andre Drummond: 2013-14, Age = 20, STL = 101, BLK = 131, DBPM = 0.5
    Andrei Kirilenko: 2001-02, Age = 20, STL = 116, BLK = 159, DBPM = 3.0
    Kevin Garnett: 1996-97, Age = 20, STL = 105, BLK = 163, DBPM = 2.6

    And here's of all rookies to do it in the last 35 years:

    Nerlens Noel: 2014-15, Age = 20 STL = 133, BLK = 142, DBPM = 4.5
    Andrei Kirilenko: 2001-02, Age = 20, STL = 116, BLK = 159, DBPM = 3.0
    David Robinson: 1989-90, Age = 24, STL = 138, BLK = 319, DBPM = 3.8

    I'm not claiming Noel is the next David Robinson or Kevin Garnett, but you have to admit that's some pretty exclusive company.

    BNM


     
  4. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    No doubt Noel is a very good defender. At least before his knee surgery.

    The guy has no shot to speak of. He's taken 28% of his shots from 3-10 feet, 11% of his shots from 10-16 feet. His FG% is .298 from 3-10 feet and .306 from 10-16 feet. He's also nowhere near as gifted a distributor/passer as Plums. His FT% is .601 for his career, not great.

    His turnover rate also suggests either poor decision making or hands of stone.
     
  5. riverman

    riverman Writing Team

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    I know...it's my post about Clark..glad he brought him up..
     
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  6. Boob-No-More

    Boob-No-More Why you no hire big man coach?

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    His "knee surgery" was a minor, elective procedure. He'll be fine. It won't rob him of any athleticism.

    Yeah, Ben Wallace sucked at offense too, but I'd gladly take Ben Wallace in his prime right now.

    BNM
     
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  7. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    As long as we're cherry picking stats...

    Noel's DRtg has gone 99 -> 103 -> 106.

    Still good, but not a good trend.
     
  8. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    As for Ben Wallace, he was the very best in the NBA, and one of the best in NBA history, at at least one thing (defense).

    I don't think you'll ever say that about Noel.
     
  9. Boob-No-More

    Boob-No-More Why you no hire big man coach?

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    I wouldn't be so sure.

    Compare their stats at the same age and same level of experience.

    Noel, as a 20-year old rookie had 133 STLs and 146 BLKs.

    Wallace, as a 22-year old rookie had 8 STLsand 11 BLKs.

    Noel topped 100 STLs and 100 BLKs in each of his first two seasons at 20 and 21 years of age.

    Wallace didn't record his first 100/100 season until his 5th season in the league at the age of 26 and didn't top Noel's rookie defensive stats until his 6th season at the age of 27.

    Wallace was a late bloomer. Noel was an elite defender the first minute he set foot on an NBA court as a 20-year old rookie. Wallace did not become an elite defender until he'd been in the league for six years at the age of 27.

    Will Noel's peak match Wallace's peak? Impossible to predict, but he's got five more years to get there. He's the same age now as Wallace was as a rookie.

    BNM
     
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  10. riverman

    riverman Writing Team

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    We could do worse than to try to replicate that Pistons Larry Brown team...what a great core! We've got Dame (Chauncey) Rip (CJ) Prince (Mo)
     
  11. Sarni

    Sarni Well-Known Member

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    Crap, I forgot about Clark. He would indeed work much better for Sixers than Crabbe. Then again would they be allowed to do that? Noel makes considerably more than Clark I think. Isn't Clark on minimum?
     
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  12. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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  13. Sarni

    Sarni Well-Known Member

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    Clark for Noel makes way too much sense. Hope it does not happen, add Noel to this Warriors team and I bet he finds form again and they will basically be a complete dream team.
     
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  14. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Doesn't have to be 1-to-1

    upload_2016-12-23_12-32-23.png

    Should be noted however that anyone who trades for Clark loses his bird rights, so Philly might not necessarily want to trade for, essentially, a UFA.
     
  15. Boob-No-More

    Boob-No-More Why you no hire big man coach?

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    How, exactly was I "cherry picking" stats? I quoted two full season's worth of data.

    As far as your DRtg "trend", he was forced to play out of position last season and has played a grand total of 25 minutes this season. Seriously? Way to use a ridiculously small sample size to define a "trend".

    I mean shit, if you're going to play those kind of games, you should also note his metioric offensive improvement. He currently has an ORtg of 129. At the rate he's improving, give him another 25 minutes and he'll be the greatest offensive player in the history of the game.

    BNM
     
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  16. Sarni

    Sarni Well-Known Member

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    Ah and he is out of contract at the end of season, isn't he? Sixers are not doing much this year anyway so they may as well prefer Crabbe who will stay for 3 more seasons. Next year they will have a new point guard from the draft so Crabbe might fit.
     
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  17. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    They plan on playing Ben Simmons at PG.

    There's really no difference between Simmons/Fultz/Crabbe and Fultz/Crabbe/Simmons though. But they may select Josh Jackson and trott out Simmons/Crabbe/Jackson
     
  18. Blazers Roy

    Blazers Roy Well-Known Member

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    OK, you posted his numbers at a pro level, i still don't see what a pre-draft report on a player who got injured in college have to do with anything.
    Why not post his HS number as well?

    That's a cool,colorful tidbit you show somewhere in the 1st quarter of a meaningless game between the Sixers and the Nuggets.
    What happened with all these blocks? did he swat them all into the crowd? did they lead to a fast break? i find no value in obscure stats like 'blocks'.

    How about all the players who haven't made that list? i'm 100% sure you can find at least 20 players in the last 2 decades alone who were way better than Noel will ever be.

    The realistic scenario is Noel playing ~67 games a year, recording 10 and 8 while giving 30% more defense than Plumlee.
    Are you ok with paying this guy 18mil'/a year in this situation, especially considering his health issues? Yes/No?

    I'm fine with trading one of our soft guys for Noel, i just hate the shitty situation he'll put us in.
     
    Last edited: Dec 23, 2016
  19. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    Yeah, neither team would come close to doing that. Iggy would leave too.
     
  20. Blazers Roy

    Blazers Roy Well-Known Member

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    Ok, i found this vid:


    I wish it showed more of him putting a body on people and forcing misses without blocking and i wish the video was not so old, but I'm on board now if Blazers will do their due diligence on his health issues.
    Thanks Mr. Bones and Mr. Boobs, now i'll be somewhat excited if we land him :cheers:
     
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