Maybe we shouldn't trade Crabbe yet?

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by KeepOnRollin, Jan 11, 2017.

  1. GDiama

    GDiama Well-Known Member

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    This could work...............for Goran Dragic.


    Miami will most likely have a top3 pick and they'll get their new pg and with trading away Dragic they can get enough assets (a 1st pick+some guy) back to do their rebuild.

    I think this deal with offering Crabbe's bad contract and Plumlee's RFA which will cost them a lot+2 picks with one of them being around 15th and the other 30th is not nearly good enough. They would only give Whiteside away for something exceptional and this is not. There are not many Cs like Hassan and Riley is smart enough to know that. He can easily do his rebuild only by trading Dragic .
     
    Last edited: Jan 12, 2017
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  2. Sarni

    Sarni Well-Known Member

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    I think Miami will focus hard on getting good value for Dragic and will keep Whiteside. If they can get a decent pick for Dragic then, as said above, will just replace Dragic with one of numerous point guards available in the draft and get some decent free agents in. It has to be taken into consideration that they will likely be a good free agent destination with plenty of salary cap flexibility. Their guaranteed salaries for next season are at $93M but if you take Dragic out, it's actually $76M. Bosh makes $25M and they might be able to write that off soon too which would take them to $51M. That's some pretty nice rebuild money there, they will easily get 2-3 very good free agents plus probably 1-2 more decent players in in the Summer with ca. $70M to spend before they get to luxury tax.
     
  3. Trackjack

    Trackjack Well-Known Member

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    Crabbe has finally relax and just going out there and just playing. Before I believe he was putting pressure on himself to live up to his contract.
     
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  4. RipCityDSCPL

    RipCityDSCPL Could be worse, at least it's not Lonzo.

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    Wasn't there something about PA personally making sure we matched Crabbe's contract?

    If this is the case, he's not going anywhere.
     
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  5. selloutking

    selloutking BALL DON'T LIE!

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    Bosh will indeed be off the books next year, they are going to use the disabled player exception on him due to the blood clot issue.
     
  6. Sarni

    Sarni Well-Known Member

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    So $60M to $70M (they got some deadwood to offload still, Ellington) to spend on free agents. They don't need to be spending $18M on Crabbe now, or offload Whiteside who can attract free agents in some capacity. Will also have a high pick so they could rebound from their current poor position quickly.
     
  7. dviss1

    dviss1 Emcee Referee

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    Allen Crabbe never will have the athleticism that Martell Webster had.
     
  8. Rastapopoulos

    Rastapopoulos Well-Known Member

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    He looks like he's got his confidence back. Someone (it may have been @Minstrel to his shame (which he doesn't have)) said he was just a spot up shooter, but he's been great coming off screens, a la Rip Hamilton. Let's see how this thing goes for a while.
     
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  9. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    I have 0 doubt in my mind that he can put up 15-20 ppg on good efficiency if he gets enough touches and PT. It's good for other teams to realize this on his current hot streak.

    If we can package some group of Crabbe/Noah/Meyers/Fes/all picks for Whiteside, you do that ASAP.
     
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  10. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

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    Hello darkness, my old friend
    I was among the people who said that, yes. Also, I have no shame and take pleasure in the pain of others, that's accurate.

    If Crabbe can maintain this level and style of play, I'll admit that I underestimated him. I still think he's a very poor defender and can't do anything but shoot. But being able to score coming around a screen (as opposed to just standstill shots when he's left alone) would separate him from an Anthony Morrow type.
     
  11. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Crabbe's PER is now 11.4 and he's shooting .444 from three point range. He's also scoring 11 PPG.

    Here's something to consider. If you believe the guy is better than a 11.4 PER kind of player, which I do, he's got to have a lot of really good games to make up for the not so good ones he's already had.

    For example, if a player we expect to shoot .500 goes 0-4, then 4-4 shooting, he's .500 in the end. If you freak out about the 0-4 (before the 2nd game), you are making a mistake.

    It's still a long ways to go to finish the season. We need lots of wins, and those "4-4 shooting games" are going to be a big help.
     
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  12. HailBlazers

    HailBlazers RipCity

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    Why would Miami trade Whiteside? You don't trade a player like him period.
     
  13. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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  14. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

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    Hello darkness, my old friend
    That's not how stats work, that if you expect a player to play at X level and then he underperforms, you should expect him to overperform to reach X in the end. If a player's "true talent level" is X, then X is what should be expected from him, whether or not he's underperformed to this point.

    If you think a player is a .500 shooter and he shoots 0-4, the correct expectation for the next 4 shots is 2-2 and not 4-0.

    I think Crabbe is roughly an 11-12 PER player, because that's what he's been his whole career. (including last year, his best). That's where he is now, which doesn't surprise me, since an 11-12 PER player dipping to 9-10 PER through random variation isn't particularly unusual. I'd expect such a player to have stretches of being absolutely terrible and some great games. Players aren't metronomes.

    If a team is excited by what Crabbe has shown the past few games and wants to trade a positive asset for him, I'd do it and take on the "risk" that Crabbe has suddenly found himself and will be a star scorer for someone else going forward.
     
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  15. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    He's clearly made up for his sub 10 PER start. His 3pt % has also steadily improved.

    So the expectation is correct. 4-4 his next 4, not 2-2.

    You are confusing odds with expectations.
     
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  16. UKRAINEFAN

    UKRAINEFAN Well-Known Member

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    Unless you think he doesn't really bring it every night.
     
  17. GDiama

    GDiama Well-Known Member

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    I guess it's difficult to play hard every night when you know your team's target is to tank.
     
  18. handiman

    handiman Well-Known Member

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    Why is everyone so high on Whiteside in this thread? Sure, we need a defender and shot blocker, but wouldn't we rather target one who actually makes his team's defensive stats better?
     
  19. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    Then you could do

    TOR Gets: Plumlee
    MIA Gets: Poeltl, Crabbe, TOR 17 1st, LAC 17 1st (via TOR), 2017 CLE 1st, 2018 POR 1st
    POR Gets: Whiteside

    or you could do that trade and instead send Crabbe to Philadelphia and their send a pick or Noel to Miami.

    We could also convince them to that trade even more by trading Ezeli for Tyler Johnson soon to balloon contract (as a Crabbe replacement)
     
  20. Natebishop3

    Natebishop3 Don't tread on me!

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    I think that has more to do with Paul not wanting to have another situation where a player left and we got nothing in return. Paul isn't in the habit of losing assets for nothing.
     
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