What Will the Blazers Record be by the All-Star Game?

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by e_blazer, Jan 1, 2017.

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  1. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    Portland's favored in the Memphis game tomorrow.

    Memphis is 27-20 and we're favored at home.
    Atlanta is 27-19 so considering the Memphis spread, we'll be even or favored at home.
    Boston is 27-18, and considering they'll be on the 2nd night of a back to back, and considering the Memphis spread, we'll be even or favored at home.

    Sorry to use your logic against you.
     
    BonesJones, Jan 26, 2017
    #81
  2. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    If you do the maths, a 5 game sample size > 2 game sample size.
     
    BonesJones, Jan 26, 2017
    #82
  3. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

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    Hello darkness, my old friend
    The maths suggest a 5 game sample size is nearly equally meaningless. Especially relative to all the combined games those teams have played that puts Portland far behind them in the standings.
     
    Minstrel, Jan 26, 2017
    #83
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  4. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    So close.
     
    SlyPokerDog, Jan 26, 2017
    #84
  5. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    Lol.

    You tried to say "well because we have a .500 winning percentage against CLE in 2 games that doesnt mean we have a 50% of beating them if we played again."

    However, I'm saying that because we have an .800 winning percentage in those 5 games, we have a 50% chance of beating them.

    Yes, 5 games isn't enough to claim that 4-1 record is the rule, but it is enough to claim that those games are toss-ups.
     
    BonesJones, Jan 26, 2017
    #85
  6. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

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    Hello darkness, my old friend
    It isn't, though. A 5 game sample out of the roughly 250 games those 6 teams (including Portland) have played is far too tiny to draw any conclusions.

    My point about Cleveland wasn't the literal record (.500). Even if the only game Portland had played against Cleveland was their win (1.000 winning percentage!), it still would be ridiculous to suggest that that makes the next game a toss-up. Suggesting that 5 games is a good sample size because 5 is a bigger number than 2 doesn't make sense. One sample can be larger than another and still be far too small to be meaningful.
     
    Minstrel, Jan 27, 2017
    #86
  7. Chris Craig

    Chris Craig (Blazersland) I'm Your Huckleberry Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    with 9 more games the Blazers have to win 6 for me to be right....
     
    Chris Craig, Jan 27, 2017
    #87
  8. BBert

    BBert Weasels Ripped My Flesh

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    I said 25-30. That's looking pretty tough at the moment.
     
    BBert, Jan 27, 2017
    #88
  9. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    21-27, 3 game win streak, and a win against the 27-21 Grizzlies.

    Next game is the Warriors. A win will be HUGE, getting us to 5 games under .500.

    Stotts' lineup adjustment, Turner and Vonleh in as starters, is paying off.
     
    Denny Crane, Jan 28, 2017
    #89
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  10. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    I forgot Charlotte.

    Should win:
    Fri, Jan 13 vs Orlando L
    Fri, Jan 20 @ Philadelphia L
    Wed, Jan 25 vs Los Angeles W
    Probable Loss:
    Sat, Jan 21 @ Boston W
    Toss-up:
    Mon, Jan 16 @ Washington L
    Wed, Jan 18 @ Charlotte L
    Fri, Jan 27 vs Memphis W

    Should win:
    Fri, Feb 3 vs Dallas
    Tue, Feb 7 @ Dallas
    Probable Loss:
    Sun, Jan 29 vs Golden State
    Toss-up:
    Fri, Jan 31 vs Charlotte
    Sun, Feb 5 @ Oklahoma City
    Thu, Feb 9 vs Boston
    Mon, Feb 13 vs Atlanta
    Wed, Feb 15 @ Utah

    If we somehow upset Golden State tomorrow we'll end up 26-30 or 27-29.
     
    BonesJones, Jan 28, 2017
    #90
  11. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Yep. Having both Turner and Plumlee as ball handlers in the starting line up makes things so much easier for Dame & CJ. We're becoming very tough to guard. And we're getting more for our money with Turner starting.
     
    KingSpeed, Jan 28, 2017
    #91
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  12. stampedehero

    stampedehero Make Your Day, a Doobies Day Staff Member Moderator

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    I like planned chaos.
     
    stampedehero, Jan 28, 2017
    #92
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  13. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    Feb 1 game not on the schedule! haha
     
    illmatic99, Feb 1, 2017
    #93
  14. KeepOnRollin

    KeepOnRollin Well-Known Member

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    You mean Jan 31st?
     
    KeepOnRollin, Feb 1, 2017
    #94
  15. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    Yes. Oops
     
    illmatic99, Feb 1, 2017
    #95
  16. e_blazer

    e_blazer Rip City Fan

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    Ad my oops in there too. Not sure how that happened.
     
    e_blazer, Feb 1, 2017
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  17. e_blazer

    e_blazer Rip City Fan

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    The original post has been corrected to add the Charlotte game on Jan. 31st that was missed. As of today, the record is 7-7 for the listed games.
     
    e_blazer, Feb 1, 2017
    #97
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  18. Chris Craig

    Chris Craig (Blazersland) I'm Your Huckleberry Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Dammit, @e_blazer I was going off the schedule you provided in the initial post of this thread. So with that Charlotte game added, that would make my guess 28-28...though it will probably be 27-29, but being an optimist and Im going with .500 at the break.
     
    Last edited: Feb 1, 2017
    Chris Craig, Feb 1, 2017
    #98
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  19. BBert

    BBert Weasels Ripped My Flesh

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    Thanks. I was wondering how I'd gotten the wrong number of games in my guesstimate. Not my fault. As usual. ;)
     
    BBert, Feb 1, 2017
    #99
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  20. e_blazer

    e_blazer Rip City Fan

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    Your continued perfection is still in operation, BBert. Fortunately, I don't carry that same burden.
     
    e_blazer, Feb 1, 2017
    #100
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