At this point, .500 at the break looks pretty good. Obviously, the team was not ready for the return to winning ways that I had hoped for.
Current Record: 22-28 Fri, Feb 3 vs Dallas Sun, Feb 5 @ Oklahoma City Tue, Feb 7 @ Dallas Thu, Feb 9 vs Boston Mon, Feb 13 vs Atlanta Wed, Feb 15 @ Utah I'm looking for 2 different milestones: 1) get to .500 2) get to positive +/- We will achieve neither by the break. Let's go Blazers!
Portland currently has a -2.2 ppg differential over 50 games. They have been outscored by 110 points over the season. To get a positive +/-, they would need to win each of those 6 games by over 18 points each. I doubt they sweep that schedule to get to 0.500, but I know they will not get to a positive +/-.
PERCENTAGE CHANCE TO WIN EACH: Fri, Feb 3 vs Dallas 80% Sun, Feb 5 @ Oklahoma City - 40% Tue, Feb 7 @ Dallas - 70% Thu, Feb 9 vs Boston - 45% Mon, Feb 13 vs Atlanta - 50% Wed, Feb 15 @ Utah - 35% In 3 Simulations (Random Numbers Picked between 1-100), we went 2-4 (24-32), 5-1 (27-29), and 4-2 (26-30) My best guess is we finish 4-2 and go 26-30 before the break.
For over a month while we were "rock bottom" as the thread title said, we were still one win ahead of last season. Now that we feel better because we've gotten used to it...we are 2 wins behind last season.