Vegas says Blazers to win 40.5 games next year

The voodoo doll is already there. It's just going by another name.

 

Vegas is so wrong....you can't win half a game....somebody named Vegas should be predicting futbol anyway

 

UNDERRATED POST ALERT

 

I think Nurk will be healthy all year, but it is nice do know we have some backup options this next year that we didn't last year.

 

I'm assuming we'll have 40 wins by the all star break. This is easy money fellas.

 

Someone pull up the wins/losses predictions thread from last year. How close are we, generally?

 

Why? Looks like easy money.

 

Only Blazer fans. I havent' seen one person talk about us like we are a lock to make the playoffs this year and most expect us to be fighting for the 8th. The closer we get to the start of the year I think most people we have us pegged as a 10th and 35-38 wins.

 

Were these odds put out before or after we drafted Collins?

 

Yes it does. Have you been to Vegas? Have you seen the pretty buildings? They are not in business to lose money.

As I said to tlong, it's not the worst bet. Their goal on stuff like this is to break even at worst. Get half the people one way and half the other. The Portland number "seems" low. Vegas made a "mistake" on Portland before, or did they? Portland might not be a team that gets a lot of action, so setting tge number so low will increase tgat, covering themselves on a, oe some under bets.

The rule of thumb in betting is that if it looks too good to be true, it probably is. Certainly not always the case

 

I think it was 38.5 a few days ago.

40.5 seems kinda fair imo.

 

I've seen the lights many times as well as the pretty buildings. I just moved my mother away from the hell hole that is Nevada. Fuck Vegas.

 

I would do a liitle research and see if some sportsbook still has the number below 40

 

Being in the West really sucks. We would get the 3rd seed if we were in the East lol

 

That's the problem. It isn't that the Blazers aren't going to be better next season. It's that so many other Western Conference teams are probably going to be better than the Blazers. You know, the teams we have to play against.

I don't gamble, and don't really know how it works, but doesn't the betting line change based on how people are betting? I.E. if more people were taking the over when it was 38.5, that would account for it moving up to 40.5? Honestly I don't know.

 

Yeah, I think people are evaluating this win total in the context of last season. This team would likely win close to 50 games against the 2016-17 Western Conference. But in 2017-18, there aren't likely going to be ten 50-win teams. Teams will cannibalize each others' win totals. In that context, while I still expect the Blazers to be over .500, how much over .500 is definitely an open question.