How much are our FAs worth?

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Scalma, Jan 28, 2018.

  1. Scalma

    Scalma Well-Known Member

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    lets hear the guesses

    I’ll start. Per.

    Davis- $8m
    Napier- $10m
    Connaughton- $5m
    Vonleh- $7m
    Nurkic- $17-20m
     
    Last edited: Jan 28, 2018
  2. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    Davis gets Meyers money, $11 mill.

    Napier gets 7 mill, a good backup, not a starter.

    $5 mill sounds right for Pat. Congrats, he's earned it. He could have bailed for baseball but he believed in his NBA dream.

    What do they pay for a PF in the Russia league? That's what Vonleh will get.
     
  3. H.C.

    H.C. Well-Known Member

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    Vonleh - Just as many questions as Nards had. Real is does he get a second contract.
    Baseball player - Whats the average rate for a athletic 3 point shooter in the NBA right now?
    Napier - 10mil
    Davis - 10mil
    Nurk - he might have question marks offensively, but defensively he has few. he's far better than Noel, who was offered 4/70.
     
  4. Scalma

    Scalma Well-Known Member

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    Any reason why Napier isn’t a starter? I see him as a good alternative for the teams that wanted Kemba, and I could list quite a few teams he could/should/would start on. I mean shit you give him the amount of shots Kemba gets and I don’t see why he couldn’t put up similar numbers.
     
  5. Scalma

    Scalma Well-Known Member

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    If we could get Nurk for 4/80-85m that’d be great considering Adams got 4/100m. The lack of market for centers will help.
     
  6. tester551

    tester551 Well-Known Member

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    How much will they get? Or how much do they dereve to get? That's 2 completely different questions.

    My guess at what they will get.

    Davis- $8-9M
    Napier- $6-7M
    Connaughton- $3-4M
    Vonleh- $3-4M
    Nurkic- $16-18M
     
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  7. Natebishop3

    Natebishop3 Don't tread on me!

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    Who has cap space this summer?

    Based on this spreadsheet
    https://basketball.realgm.com/analy...Available-2018-Cap-Space-For-All-30-NBA-Teams

    Atlanta will most likely have $14,510,343
    Chicago will most likely have $37,631,336
    Dallas will most likely have $18,705,345
    Indy will most likely have $47,264,315
    Lakers will most likely have $36,152,225

    Those are the big players. If they renounce a bunch of deals some of those teams could go higher.

    ATL could clear $44,051,771
    Brooklyn could clear $37,874,757
    Chicago could clear $60,232,538
    Cleveland could clear $21,900,115
    Dallas could clear $52,175,118
    Denver could clear $49,074,668
    Houston could clear $18,839,300
    Indy could clear $57,190,878
    The Clips could clear $38,163,626
    The Lakers could clear $49,948,102
    Minnesota could clear $21,422,715
    The Knicks could clear $30,637,435
    OKC could clear $44,245,068
    Orlando could clear $21,461,177
    Philly could clear $75,788,326
    Phoenix could clear $36,646,315
    SAC could clear $43,595,139
    San Antonio could clear $41,604,178
    Utah could clear $18,293,131

    But that would require renouncing a lot of players, like OKC for example... they'd have to renounce PG and Melo. I don't see that happening. So we're looking at those first five teams as the biggest players in free agency this summer. The only team that might be interested in Bazz would be Indy. They have a lot of space. I could see them making a play at Bazz to be their starter next to Oladipo. Toss $10 million at him. I don't think we'd match that. I could actually see them throwing some money at Davis as well. Or Vonleh.

    It will be interesting to see who clears space this summer. Potentially it could be a very slow market, or it could get crazy very fast if teams start clearing cap. Here are the 2018 free agent class.

    http://hoopshype.com/2018/01/11/nba-free-agency-2018-the-top-players/

    Durant
    LeBron
    Boogie
    George
    Isaiah Thomas
    DeAndre Jordan
    Aaron Gordon (restricted)
    Clint Capela (restricted)
    Jabari Parker (restricted)
    Melo
    Avery Bradley
    Nikola Mirotic (team option)
    Zach LaVine (restricted)
    Enes Kanter
    Derrick Favors
    Wade
    Tyreke Evans
    Brook Lopez
    Julius Randle (restricted)
    Rodney Hood (restricted)
    Marcus Smart (restricted)
    Lou Williams
    Greg Monroe
    KCP
    Rudy Gay
    Trevor Ariza
    Nurk
    Elfrid Payton (restricted)
    Thad Young
    Kyle Anderson (restricted)
    Will Barton
    Tony Parker
    Austin Rivers
    JJ Redick
    Wes Matthews
    Dirk

    Not a lot of point guards on that list. Not a lot of teams that could throw money at Nurk either, unless people start renouncing contracts. It will be an interesting summer. I think we could end up keeping Vonleh for cheap. I think Ed will get some offers from playoff teams. I'm not sure about Patty. I think Bazz has the highest chance of getting a decent offer.
     
  8. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    Napier $10M
    Davis- $9M
    Connaughton- $5M
    Vonleh- $5M
    Nurkic- $12M-$15M
     
  9. Natebishop3

    Natebishop3 Don't tread on me!

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    If I'm Indy, I would call Chris Paul and tell him he has a better chance of winning in the East. I don't care what Houston does, they're not getting past the Warriors. It's not happening. Not even close.

    I also think Indy might be our biggest competition for Nurk. They're playing Sabonis at center right now, but I think he's more of a power forward.
     
  10. HolyBackboard

    HolyBackboard 2 Hot 2 Stop It

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    $8m sounds about right for Ed, who could also give Portland a slight discount since he likes playing here (and by slight, I mean no more than $1m/per season)
    $10m feels like the absolute max for Shabazz given how few starting PG jobs are out there, but I think it's within reason. $8-10 is my guess.
    Right on the money with Pat ... maybe higher if he continues to improve his play.
    Noah is the trickiest one of the bunch because he does have a ton of potential but he's not currently playing. I'll guess $4m since he's RFA
    Gut feeling says $15-16 for Nurk but his market expanded with the injury to Boogie Cousins so that number could be closer to what you have above.
     
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  11. Natebishop3

    Natebishop3 Don't tread on me!

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    Indy is one team that I could see throwing a contract at Vonleh. They went out and got Oladipo and that worked out for them. He's another Hoosier.

    I think Thad Young is gone after this season. Sabonis could be their PFOTF, but Voneh has shown some promise and the last time they acquired a young Portland PF who hadn't shown much, it worked out for them.
     
  12. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    They have Myles Turner, why would they sign Nurk...
     
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  13. Sarni

    Sarni Well-Known Member

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    I don't think they will offer Nurkic a great deal, they have Myles Turner who can play both center and power forward and has great defensive potential.

    Indiana are a very interesting project I must say. They have a franchise player who has stepped up big time this year in Oladipo, a bunch of good young players led by Turner and Sabonis, two very favorable contracts in Collison and Bogdanovic for another year and lots of cap space. They made exactly the right moves last Summer after they traded George and it will pay off. They won't be contenders but they'll give their fans plenty of fun.
     
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  14. Mr. Robot

    Mr. Robot Well-Known Member

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    why not have both Myles Turner and Nurkic, that would be some crazy defense from those two...
    they can trade Sabonis or leave him as a bench player
     
  15. Mediocre Man

    Mediocre Man Mr. SportsTwo

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    Olshey looks at those numbers and says "hold my beer"
     
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  16. Sarni

    Sarni Well-Known Member

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    Sabonis has been very good for them, they won't trade him, they will develop him.
     
  17. Mr. Robot

    Mr. Robot Well-Known Member

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    theyd be better with developing Nurk, much better, they can afford it
     
  18. Boise Blazer

    Boise Blazer Thread Lightly

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    I feel like someone is going to overpay Pat in the 7 to 10 milmill range
     
  19. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    I think we're undervaluing all of them. MLE this summer was $36M/4; we don't think Ed and Pat Bazz are MLE-level guys, and Bazz probably a bit more? Honestly, I think that if we don't trade our pending FA's before the deadline, we're going to be disappointed/surprised by how much these guys end up getting paid this summer. We're going to have to overpay to keep Nurkic, won't want to keep Vonleh because of our existing depth at PF, and won't be willing to pay the value necessary to retain Napier, Connaughton, or Davis on our bench.

    Unless Olshey makes a decent move in the next 10 days, I think we lose almost all those guys.
     
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  20. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    They're in the same exact position as we were in 2016. They need to learn from our mistakes and sign a big free agent or none at all. They could easily maneuver themselves for two max slots. Shrewed moves could give them $75M in cap space to add to Oladipo, Turner, Sabonis, and Leaf.
    If I'm Indiana, I'm trying to get to that point and try for LeBron, CP3, Melo, and Wade.
    CP3
    Oladipo / Wade
    LeBron
    Melo / Leaf
    Turner / Sabonis
    That's solid as hell.

    If not, maybe Isaiah Thomas and bring back PG?
     

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