I don't suppose a post on the Internet means a thing today. I was just thinking, about Trump convincing Kim to give up his nucs. It has to happen, but Trump isn't going to get this done with his style alone! Any more than Obama could do it with a grin. Kim has to feel the heat, the inevitable, the eminent Threat so he can see the need with the clarity required. This is the invisible side of the negotiation.
I have mixed thoughts on Trumps chances to denuclearize the K peninsula. On the one hand, after his failure at the G7, Trump needs a victory. And fat boy needs money. On the other hand, fat boy is unpredictable and unstable. And Trump is a loose cannon. Also not sure which one has the largest ego.
What’s invisible to you is obvious to the rest of us. Trump in crazier than Kim and Kim knows it. Done deal.
Nukes are not the worry and should not be the main/only focus. Sure, I don't want to get nuked but if NK were to launch one we have a very strong chance to shoot it down but also we would nuke that entire country out of existence. The real threat to us and the entire world is NK's biological weapons program. That is what should keep people up at night. If a country were to launch a biological attack you wouldn't know it happened until after people started getting sick. NK could have someone release a biological agent in Heathrow Airport and over half the world could be exposed before anyone had a clue as to what happened. Even worse, NK could sell their biological weapon technology like Pakistan sold their nuclear tech, to anyone willing to pay. Kim has already staged a biological weapon attack on his brother in a foreign country. And while it was spread via touch it was still a biological attack committed in an airport. That truly is a red line.
Never anything wrong with letting that thought fester too. It is almost always better than being likable.
Wow, you may have solved several puzzles I have been trying to solve. Great post. Puzzle #1 What is fat boy really up to? Deception is a tactic he often uses. The nuke issue maybe a smoke screen to divert attention away from his bio agenda. Puzzle #2 Why does fat boy have more submarines than the UK, Germany, France, Australia, SK and Japan combined? Maybe his plan is to deliver his bio weapons by sub?
What's up, guys? A) on active duty right now, but stateside. B) whatever your political calling, I think we can all agree that 1) de-nuclearization of autocratic states is probably a good thing and 2) it's almost always better to gain through diplomatic, informational and economic might than military might. C) NK submarines are meant more for special forces insertions and could not stand up to a hot-war threat. (They can, however, surprise during peacetime. See the Cheonan incident.) Even the most capable subs they have are built with 1950's technology, no anti-submarine warfare capability, and torpedoes that can only go a couple of miles. So if you wanted to "deliver a bio weapon by sub" to SK, maybe that could work. (Honestly, just using the tunnels across the border would be far easier, but whatever). But to go elsewhere? Really unlikely.
I'm just an old dumb leatherneck. I understand our subs are lightyears ahead of the NK subs. In a sub to sub conventional war the NK subs do not stand a chance. But that many subs in the hands of a crazy boy bothers me. I am like a dog with two peters trying to figure out what fat boy is really up to with so many subs. Could the NK subs reach our west coast, and launch drones with bio weapons?
