Game Thread GAME# 25: SUNS @ BLAZERS - DECEMBER 6, 2018 - THURSDAY, 7:00 PM, NBCSNW

So that is simulated draft lottery position, not percentage chance they get that pick if that makes sense.

 

Improbable, to put it mildly.

 

BNM

 

Yes, we'd need to tank the shit out of things to "pass" MIA and all the other teams in between us and them.

BNM

 

Hoops could it happen that they tanked enough to get in the lottery and then did well enough in the lottery to get a pick that could get them their choice?

 

lol proving my point in your first sentence is pretty funny. Owning up to what? You think I give a shit either way if I did or didn’t know Booker was playing?? Anyone who would be worried about what someone would think about that is pretty pitiful. The post was a joke, I fully expected zero people to respond to it except maybe bones. All messages don’t need to be full of stats, biased opinions, and insults towards people who threaten your facts(opinions)some can just be for fun. I’m done, nice talk.

 

But just doing that doesn't guarantee us anything.

 

Say for the sake of argument that I ignored that a team with a healthy Damian Lillard wouldn't lose enough games to get a high enough lottery position, the whole plan for the future would be based on what? Getting up to the 6th worst record which would give us a 9% chance to get Zion?

Do you see how that irritates me when someone just says, lets tank for Zion?!

 

Yep, it just puts us in the position MIA is in now, with the 8th worst record, and most likely, the 8th (34.5% chance) or 9th (32.1% chance) pick.

BNM

 

I agree it ain't gonna happen but lets say Lillard did get injured and the team also endured another couple injuries that held them back. Lets just say for the sake of argument. Because i never in any way condone tanking.
What's the chance a team with say the 6th worst record could score a top 3 pick?

 

Is the graph on page 6 correct?
A 6th spot has .1% chance of the 1st pick?

 

The 6th worst team would have a 9% chance for #1, a 9.2% chance at #2, and a 9.4% chance at #3.

 

Dude what are you talking about? I’m starting to think there are some serious underlying anger issues. I’m not going over this again. Anyone who saw yesterday’s post and today’s would know I’m giving bones shit, I don’t care if Bookers playing or not. The fact you have to call people stupid and losers the second you get a tiny heated speaks volumes. Have a great night on the post board.

 

By the way KJ, I'll give you the benefit of the doubt but you are completely missing my point about tanking. When people just say we should tank, that isn't a possible situation without an injury to Lillard. You can't just decide to tank and stop winning games. There has to be something that allows you to tank.

 

I guess i'm not really understanding that graph.
I better study up a bit. I know the rules changed but i have not even really thought about it until recently. I don't want this team to tank ever. It creates a losing attitude and a losers mentality but i could see them missing the playoffs if there were a couple of lengthy injuries. This team doesn't have the depth to withstand a couple injuries to starters.

 

Thanks for giving me the benefit.
I was just asking because i have not looked into the new rules.
The team has won too many games already to tank and i would never want them to any way.

 

Do not look at the graph, that is basketball reference projected order of finish percentage wise. It has nothing to do with percentages of getting each pick.

Try this one:
http://www.tankathon.com/pick_odds

 

Understand the personal insult rule Rook...

 

Well that doesn't seem to different. But maybe the odds got better for the teams 4-9? Also the drawing of numbers seems better?