5 Drafts Later: CJ vs Steven Adams

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by wizenheimer, Dec 20, 2018.

  1. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    now it's always pretty tricky to compare a perimeter player to a C

    but prior to 2013 draft, and right after, there was a lot of debate about whether Portland should have drafted Adams instead of CJ (remember now, at that time Portland had JJ Hickson at C). So, by circumstance, CJ and Adams were connected

    it seemed that during the 2015-16 season, after CJ had assumed the starting role, that Portland had drafted the better player....a player who had a bigger impact on a team's trajectory

    but 3 years later, after both players have had a lot more time to establish their identities and display their strengths and weaknesses, which of them is the better, more impactful player and which player has more value

    PER: CJ 17.1....Adams 21.5
    TS%: CJ .553....Adams .599
    winshares/48: CJ .100....Adams .212
    Box plus/minus: CJ -0.4....Adams +3.7
    Real plus/minus: CJ -0.22....Adams +1.42
    value over replacement: CJ 0.4....Adams 1.4

    well, pretty obviously it's a statistical slam-dunk for Adams. But as I mentioned, it's tricky comparing players so different. We know CJ can create his own offense, even if it is at a dubious efficiency, and that's a coverted skill. On the other hand, Adams has a top-10 offensive rebound rate and is a defensive presence in the paint, both fairly coveted skills

    and of course, the Blazers have Nurkic who is arguably as good as Adams if not better

    but that really isn't that germane to which player is more impactful and which one is better. Who is it? and which one would have been a better draft pick?
     
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  2. Fez Hammersticks

    Fez Hammersticks スーパーバッド Zero Cool

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    Hindsight 20/20 you take:

    1a) Adams
    1b) Gobert

    CJ as the fallback to these two.
     
  3. dviss1

    dviss1 Emcee Referee

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    Why is this the thread when it should be CJ vs the player that would actually help us:

    Giannis Antetokounmpo

    :dunno:
     
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  4. handiman

    handiman Well-Known Member

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    Well done, you proved how worthless stats are.
     
  5. Fez Hammersticks

    Fez Hammersticks スーパーバッド Zero Cool

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    Christ. I totally forgot that he was in that draft.
     
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  6. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    Never heard of him.
     
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  7. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    yeah I know, and I'm always open to slamming Olshey but the Greek Freak was way off the radar for almost every team but the Bucks. The Blazers brought CJ and Adams in for workouts and they specifically interviewed both at the combine

    I mean, if we're going to re-write recent drafts into perfection for Portland:

    2012: Dame & Khris Middleton & Draymond Green (or Jae Crowder if Green and Greek are a bad match)
    2013: Giannis Antetokounmpo
    2015: Montrezel Harrell
    2016: Malcolm Brogdon (Blazer were smart enough to not trade for Afflalo)
    2017: John Collins, Kyle Kuzma, & Josh Hart (or Zach + Kuzma/Hart if you love Zach)

    and, we won't even think about what happened in 1984....the draft, not the novel
     
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  8. RR7

    RR7 Well-Known Member

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    From realgm to here, still expending a shit load of words to bash on cj. Damn
     
  9. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    I'm not the only one doing it cucad
     
  10. HailBlazers

    HailBlazers RipCity

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    I'll take Nurk over Adams, I'll take Collins over Adams, yes I'm a Homer.
     
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  11. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    Lillard / Brogdon
    Middleton / Brogdon
    Giannis / Harkless
    Draymond / Kuzma
    Z.Collins / Harrell

    WTF Neil?!?!??!?!?!?!?!?!??
     
  12. e_blazer

    e_blazer Rip City Fan

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    That would be an acceptable lineup.
     
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  13. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    Have not watched the Thunder much this year, but last year against the Blazers I kept thinking about how much we wanted him as a rookie.....and how much that had changed.
     
  14. CupWizier

    CupWizier Well-Known Member

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    Blazers got a gem in that draft and we should be thankful for that rather than always looking for the grass on the other side. You can go back and re-do every draft and find a what if. I prefer to look at the now rather than the past.
     
  15. CupWizier

    CupWizier Well-Known Member

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    but if the Blazers get to re-do their draft don't the other 29 teams get to as well? Time to move on to the now.
     
    Last edited: Dec 20, 2018
  16. CupWizier

    CupWizier Well-Known Member

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    How many teams in this list wish they would have drafted McCollum rather than what they drafted?

    1. Cleveland: Anthony Bennett, F, UNLV

    2. Orlando: Victor Oladipo, G, Indiana

    3. Washington: Otto Porter, F, Georgetown

    4. Charlotte: Cody Zeller, F, Indiana

    5. Phoenix: Alex Len, C, Maryland

    6. Philadelphia (from New Orleans): Nerlens Noel, C, Kentucky

    7. Sacramento: Ben McLemore, G, Kansas

    8. Detroit: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, G, Georgia

    9. Utah (from Minnesota): Trey Burke, G, Michigan

    10. Portland: C.J. McCollum, G, Lehigh

    There isn't a single player I would rather have at this stage.
     
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  17. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    fine...but this is entertainment here and some people like to play what-if games. Nothing at all wrong with that unless of course you disagree with the conclusions. But that can generate discussion. You can also learn from the past, and draft assumptions can be modified from year to year based upon past performance vs past assumption

    as far as looking at the now, maybe now is the time to look at the past....:ghoti:

    and seriously, you'd rather have CJ than Oladipo?
     
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  18. RR7

    RR7 Well-Known Member

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    :deadhorse:
     
  19. CupWizier

    CupWizier Well-Known Member

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    That was never my question, but let's just say, I am more than happy with our selection as we got a bargain where we drafted. Oladipo has only really had 1 1/3 very good seasons while CJ has been an impact player ever since he became a starter.
     
  20. Fishlips

    Fishlips My dog barks, sits, & stays. Just not on command.

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    Polar opposites defensively. Haha.
    I'm a 3J fan but Adams is one of those players for me where I think "I like this guy and I like his game." without always considering his stat line. (3J was more like No-J last night.)
     
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