Game Thread GAME# 65: BLAZERS @ HAWKS - MAY 3, 2021 - MONDAY, 5:00, NBCSNW

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If you could only choose one of the following, whom would you take out of Stotts' doghouse?


  • Total voters
    40
  • Poll closed .

Darkwebs

Awakened to emptiness
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2020-21 REGULAR SEASON RECORD
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS
36 - 28
(20-12 Road)
ATLANTA HAWKS

35 - 30
(19-11 Home)


_____________________________
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PROBABLE STARTERS---------


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PG
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DAMIAN LILLARD VS TRAE YOUNG

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SG
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C.J. McCOLLUM VS BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC

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SF
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NORMAN POWELL VS TONY SNELL

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PF
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ROBERT COVINGTON VS JOHN COLLINS

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C
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JUSUF NURKIC VS CLINT CAPELA


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------- JERSEYS -------
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WHEN: 5:00 PM (PDT), MONDAY, 5/3/2021

WHERE: STATE FARM ARENA, ATLANTA, GA
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TV BROADCAST:
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RADIO BROADCAST:
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--------------BENCH--------------
- PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS -
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SIMONS , BLEVINS , ELLEBY
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LITTLE , HOLLIS-JEFFERSON , JONES Jr.
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ANTHONY , LEAF
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GILES III , KANTER


- ATLANTA HAWKS-
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GOODWIN , DUNN , WILLIAMS
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MAYS , HUERTER , HILL
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HUNTER , GALLINARI
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FERNANDO , OKONGWU , KNIGHT


INJURIES
TRAIL BLAZERS
Zach Collins (left ankle stress fracture): OUT
HAWKS
DeAndre Hunter (right knee soreness): QUESTIONABLE

Kevin Huerter (sprained left shoulder): QUESTIONABLE
Cam Reddish (right Achilles soreness): OUT



HEAD COACHES
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- VS –
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TERRY STOTTS --- NATE McMILLAN

:reading:OFFICIAL HAWKS' GAME NOTES
:reading: OFFICIAL BLAZERS' GAME NOTES

• The Trail Blazers May 3 matchup with the Hawks will conclude the season series between Portland and Atlanta for 2020-21. Portland leads the season series, 1-0.

• LAST GAME: The Trail Blazers took down the Hawks on Jan. 16, 112-106. Damian Lillard paced Portland with 36 points (10-23 FG, 4-12 3-PT, 12-12 FT), seven rebounds, seven assists and one steal, while Trae Young led Atlanta with 26 points (7-23 FG, 1-9 3-PT, 11-12 FT), seven rebounds and 11 assists.

• CJ McCollum added 16 points (6-11 FG, 4-7 3-PT), one assist and one block against Atlanta on Jan. 16.

• Derrick Jones Jr. finished with 10 points on 5-of-12 shooting from the field, to go with nine rebounds and two steals against Atlanta on Jan. 16.

• Clint Capela recorded 25 points (11-16 FG, 3-5 FT), 15 rebounds, one steal and four blocks against the Trail Blazers on Jan. 16.

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY:
ALL TIME: Trail Blazers lead, 59-58
IN PORTLAND: Trail Blazers lead, 38-21
AT THE HAWKS: Hawks lead, 37-21




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The Blazers did it! They've completed 4 straight wins, all of them avenging previous losses. This road trip should be called the Blazers' Revenge Tour.

Now that we've hit 4 in a row, let's go for another W to match the 5 straight losses and complete the full set.

Strive for 5!
 
This won't be an easy game, even with the recent change in our players' attitudes. The Hawks are inconsistent so they might catch fire against us and make this a real shoot out or we might get another double digit win. I would be surprised if we get beat soundly but our resurgence has been pretty surprising to me. So what do I know?
 
As far as the question, well I definitely didn't like the way Little was getting jerked around; playing in five minute spurts is definitely not good for a young player's development of skills and confidence. But you can't really argue with success; since those two were benched we have been on a tear. It's probably better for him if he doesn't play at all than what was happening. I still think Little will be a hell of a player eventually and as for Jones, I hope he is discouraged enough that he won't exercise his player option.
 
PLAYOFF SEEDING RACE

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What a difference a day can make. Blazers were in 7th place just yesterday, and now they are tied for 5th with the Lakers and Mavs (both losing tonight).

Hold on tight! These last several games are going to be a thrill ride when it comes to Playoff seeding.
 
So what is 3way tiebreaker and do win it if we go 4-2 against the Lakers and Mavs?
 
So what is 3way tiebreaker and do win it if we go 4-2 against the Lakers and Mavs?
Just in case someone looks here:

In the event two or more teams are tied in the standings, a series of tiebreakers are applied to determine which team receives the higher seeding.

  • Two-Team Tiebreaker:
    • 1. Better record in head-to-head games
    • 2. Division winner (this criterion is applied regardless of whether the tied teams are in the same division)
    • 3. Higher winning percentage within division (if teams are in the same division)
    • 4. Higher winning percentage in conference games
    • 5. Higher winning percentage against playoff teams in own conference
    • 6. Higher winning percentage against playoff teams in opposite conference
    • 7. Higher point differential between points scored and points allowed
  • Three-Team Tiebreaker:
    • 1. Division winner (this criterion is applied regardless of whether the tied teams are in the same division)
    • 2. Best head-to-head winning percentage among all teams tied
    • 3. Highest winning percentage within division (if teams are in the same division)
    • 4. Highest winning percentage in conference games
    • 5. Highest winning percentage against playoff teams in own conference
    • 6. Highest point differential between points scored and points allowed
http://www.espn.com/nba/playoffs/matchups

So right now the Mavs win by the first criteria and would be the 5th seed, the Lakers beat us because of the third criteria but that's just for right now because the second criteria will become decisive after we play them on Friday.
 
Atlanta is playing really well. This is the 5th game of a road trip and a second game in a row. The Hawks are also in a tight race. Every game counts right now.
Blazers need to dig deep.
 
The Hawks are favored by 2 points in this game. With the way we've been playing in the last 4 games, it's a little surprising that we're the underdogs. Putting some stimulus money on the ML.
Blazers have been playing well, yes, but it's the back half of a B2B, 5th game in 7 nights, all on the road. It's understandable to factor in the possibility of physical letdown tonight.
 
So right now the Mavs win by the first criteria and would be the 5th seed, the Lakers beat us because of the third criteria but that's just for right now because the second criteria will become decisive after we play them on Friday.

Mavs won the series against the Lakers 2-1.
Blazers won the series against the Mavs 2-1.

Blazers are tied against the Lakers 1-1, with a HUGE game coming this Friday.
- If Portland wins, Blazers would have the tie breaker in any scenario
- If Portland looses, Blazers would likely be last in a 3-way tie (lowest win % for conference games). Portland would still win vs Dallas, but loose vs LAL.
 
Looks like this is our annual late season run. It begs the question, where was this before, why does it happen like clockwork every year, and will it make a difference or will it be the same late season run followed by Playoff ineptitude?
 
We've been good on B2B games this season.

While that may be the case, each b2b is different and this one may be the toughest of them all.

5 games out of 7 all on the road is probably the toughest time to have a b2b.

Precisely. I'm doing my best @blazerkor impersonation and saying, "If they can go 5-0 in 7 games on the road, then I'll believe that 'Enough is enough' was real..."
 
B2B games, let’s Go Boys! Just Win
 
Looks like this is our annual late season run. It begs the question, where was this before, why does it happen like clockwork every year, and will it make a difference or will it be the same late season run followed by Playoff ineptitude?

Yeah. Fundamentally there's a lot of issues. But it is clockwork.
 
Dave from Blazers Edge actually has some good observations about some things Blazers are doing differently, both on O and D. I was certainly impressed with how they centered the offense around Nurkic in the first few minutes and set up Powell for a three on a curl around a pick. He also notices how many times in the game they again resort to iso play:
"Aggressive Start
The Blazers now have a definite style coming out of the gate. It’s typified by playing through Jusuf Nurkic in the center of the court, then feeding off of the inside-out action. As the Blazers are finding, starting a scoring play off of a collapsed defense is better than off of a set one.

The other hallmark of their early offense is serious aggression by Damian Lillard. For much of the last month, observers and opponents alike have been left guessing what Lillard will do with the ball in his hands. He’s been walking it, paced steadily, surveying options. In the last few games he’s been creating his own options, which is quite a different thing. Nurkic’s passing and Lillard’s scoring have become Scylla and Charybdis for Portland’s opponents.

Three Productive Guards
For the second straight game, Lillard, CJ McCollum, and Norman Powell all produced, and off of relatively few attempts. This can be directly related to the inside-out power and All-Star aggression mentioned above. With defenses turning towards the rim and Lillard, McCollum is left a ton of real estate to operate in. Once he gets hot, he’s not cooling down for anything less than a double-team. When defenses catch up to CJ, Powell is next, either hitting a three or driving it right back to the same rim where the initial threat started. Or, God forbid, the ball goes right back to Lillard and the Threepocalypse is nigh.


When the ball is moving and all three guards are hitting efficiently, the Blazers are playing BINGO with a card full of Free Spaces. It’s pretty easy to win that way.

More Screens
Don’t sleep on the ability (and willingness) of Nurkic, Enes Kanter, and sometimes Robert Covington to free up dribblers with picks. The Blazers weren’t as roll-ish tonight as they were against the Brooklyn Nets on Friday, but they hit approximately a million quick-release jumpers off of screens, many of which came from distance. This is one of two aspects of the game they’ve clearly emphasized during their “renewal” road trip.

Here’s the other...

High and Low Defense
The Blazers were not great on defense tonight—Boston shot 48.3% overall, 51.3% from the arc—but they did up the intensity. It shows in two ways.

First, they started the game all the way live in the paint. They were willing to cede the Celtics deeper shots as long as attempts in the lane were doubled. They were spry getting back to the arc after swarming inside as well. This dimmed a little as the game wore on, but the initial intent was there. For Portland, that’s something. In particular, it kicks the crap out of no intensity being displayed anywhere.

The Blazers also extended their defense out to the halfcourt line. They’ve gotten away from waiting flat-footed at the arc to see what the opponent will do, then making the point moot by never getting off those flat feet. Instead they’re sending both guards to pick up assignments as soon as their men cross the time line, starting the defense in motion and forcing the dribbler to work instead of setting up confidently.

In the third period, Portland forced turnovers outside the arc with their extended “D”. But whether they got the steal or not, the effort helped their cohesion and attention. Sure, Boston hit shots anyway, but at least they were contested better.

Transition Ball
We should also underline that the Blazers made a concerted effort to get back on defense tonight. They have been embarrassed on multiple occasions over the last month in just this area. Tonight Boston found a minimum of two, often three, defenders when they ran the ball back.

Just as importantly, Portland gave as good as they got on the run. Powell’s nose for layups appears to have infected his backcourt mates. The Blazers don’t have to win games on the break, they just have to avoid losing them there. They did that tonight. Each team scored 16 points in transition.

Threes Everywhere
For all that we’ve just said, this game still devolved into a game of three-pointers. The Blazers hit 19-38 (50%), Boston 20-39 (51.3%). Literally everybody who could shoot them, did. Quick threes, bail-out threes, transition threes...these two teams crafted a Bubba Gump Shrimp menu beyond the arc. Whether that style appeals is a matter of taste, but the Blazers will happily engage in a distance shooting contest with anyone. It’s their bread and butter.

Free Throws
Portland’s overall aggression appeared to pay off at the foul line tonight. They’ve often complained about a lack of respect from the referees, but lo and behold, when the guards forget everything and start scoring hard, free throws follow. Portland shot 22-26 from the line. The Celtics earned only 15 free throws, hitting 13.

When It Falls Apart
This isn’t to say that everything went perfectly for Portland on the offensive end. For large stretches of the game you could predict whether the Blazers would score based on the number of passes that preceded the attempt. Zero passes often resulted in a miss. Two indicated a make.

AD
Portland still drifts into isolation offense against permissive defenses far too easily. We’re not talking Carmelo Anthony buying time for the second unit or the open McCollum “J” here. The Blazers just seem to hit stretches where they forget how they’re succeeding. Everybody wants to get their moves and shots in. That’s so Portland, but it’s still hard to watch when they’re rolling otherwise.

Nurkic at the Rim
Jusuf Nurkic had another fantastic night, with 14 points on 6-10 shooting, 11 rebounds, and 4 assists. He remains the biggest difference-maker on the team outside of Lillard himself. His Achilles Heel—which Boston didn’t take advantage of but playoffs teams will—is his inability to score inside versus coverage. He doesn’t have a decisive move and he doesn’t have a strong finish. Portland’s inside-out attack is going to falter if there’s no “inside” to be had. Enes Kanter is much stronger in this area. The difference between them is noticeable. If Nurk can get even a little bit of that Kanter footwork and touch, he’d be devastating."
 
Mavs won the series against the Lakers 2-1.
Blazers won the series against the Mavs 2-1.

Blazers are tied against the Lakers 1-1, with a HUGE game coming this Friday.
- If Portland wins, Blazers would have the tie breaker in any scenario
- If Portland looses, Blazers would likely be last in a 3-way tie (lowest win % for conference games). Portland would still win vs Dallas, but loose vs LAL.
Unfortunately your wrong. If you read this...

In the event two or more teams are tied in the standings, a series of tiebreakers are applied to determine which team receives the higher seeding.

  • Two-Team Tiebreaker:
    • 1. Better record in head-to-head games
    • 2. Division winner (this criterion is applied regardless of whether the tied teams are in the same division)
    • 3. Higher winning percentage within division (if teams are in the same division)
    • 4. Higher winning percentage in conference games
    • 5. Higher winning percentage against playoff teams in own conference
    • 6. Higher winning percentage against playoff teams in opposite conference
    • 7. Higher point differential between points scored and points allowed
  • Three-Team Tiebreaker:
    • 1. Division winner (this criterion is applied regardless of whether the tied teams are in the same division)
    • 2. Best head-to-head winning percentage among all teams tied
    • 3. Highest winning percentage within division (if teams are in the same division)
    • 4. Highest winning percentage in conference games
    • 5. Highest winning percentage against playoff teams in own conference
    • 6. Highest point differential between points scored and points allowed
http://www.espn.com/nba/playoffs/matchups

... you can see that in a three way tie, division winner is the first criteria and head to head season series never comes into play because it's a tie between all three teams not any two of them. So we can be 2-1 against both teams but if we're also tied with both when the season ends and the Mavs win their division, they will get the highest seed, because the Lakers swept the Mavs which makes us tied for the second criteria and have the higher in conference winning percentage, they would get the next highest seed and we would get the lowest of the three seeds despite having beat both the Lakers and Mavs in our regular season series with them. This is all why the standings are what they are right now.

The Lakers are three games ahead of us in conference win percentage and the Mavs are three games in front of the Grizz for their division. So this stuff can change.
 
Precisely. I'm doing my best @blazerkor impersonation and saying, "If they can go 5-0 in 7 games on the road, then I'll believe that 'Enough is enough' was real..."
Wait a minute I already said I was wrong and that "Enough is enough" was definitely real. It's made a huge difference in the way this team has played. I don't know if that difference will be enough to win in the playoffs or the change in focus and effort will be sustained but I was wrong and the people in here saying that it was a big deal were right.
 

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