Keeping our pick? This might be a Lottery year

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by TBpup, Dec 5, 2021.

?

Make the pick for the Future.....or trade it for 'now'?

  1. One last attempt

  2. Build for the future....one player won't make enough of a difference

  3. Get bad enough to where the pick makes an immediate impact

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Page 39 of 67
  1. blazerfan11

    blazerfan11 Well-Known Member

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    San Antonio and Sacramento can both reach the Blazers' current 25 wins with wins today. San Antonio plays the Hornets in Charlotte and Sacramento plays Dallas in Dallas.
    A Sacramento win isn't likely (today at least) which is why the Blazers need to keep losing.
     
    Last edited: Mar 5, 2022
    blazerfan11, Mar 5, 2022
    #761
  2. TBpup

    TBpup Writing Team

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    Doncic out.....GO KINGS!!
     
    TBpup, Mar 5, 2022
    #762
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  3. TBpup

    TBpup Writing Team

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    "If CJ Elleby and Keljin Blevins are in your starting line up, the outcome is clear."

    [​IMG]

    "....co-starring, Drew Eubanks, Elijah Hughes, Keon Johnson, and a hopeful, Joe Cronin."
     
    TBpup, Mar 6, 2022
    #763
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  4. blazerfan11

    blazerfan11 Well-Known Member

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    Today we're rooting for the Pacers (in Washington), the Nuggets (to beat the Pels in Denver), the Thunder (at home against the Jazz), and the Knicks (in LA against the Clippers). Denver is a favorite; the rest are underdogs.
     
    blazerfan11, Mar 6, 2022
    #764
  5. Blazinaway

    Blazinaway Well-Known Member

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    I have climbed on the Tari Eason bandwagon, really like this kid
     
    Blazinaway, Mar 6, 2022
    #765
    rotary111, Scalma, TBpup and 1 other person like this.
  6. blazerfan11

    blazerfan11 Well-Known Member

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    The Knicks lead the Clippers by 24 points midway through the 3rd quarter. They may finally pass the Blazers in the standings.
    Hello 8th place! (from the bottom)
    One concern is that the Knicks have lost the last three games when they led by 20 points.
    This game looks different. Mitchell Robinson is killing the Clips on the offensive boards.

    The Blazers should easily get below San Antonio for the 7th spot since we play them three more times.
     
    blazerfan11, Mar 6, 2022
    #766
  7. blazerkor

    blazerkor Well-Known Member

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    I think if we keep tanking unabashedly like we have been that we'll end up in the 4th spot.
     
    blazerkor, Mar 6, 2022
    #767
  8. blazerfan11

    blazerfan11 Well-Known Member

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    Today's games:
    Will the Kings finally get a win and tie the Trail Blazers with 25? (The Kings win the tie breaker with the Blazers.)
    Edit: if they lose, the consolation is they lose to the Knicks, moving the Knicks further ahead of the Trail Blazers.

    Will the Pistons win again and move up to 18 victories? Detroit has won 5 of the last 7 and 2 in a row. Today they play Atlanta in Detroit.
    It will be interesting to see if anything changes for Detroit if they pass anyone in the standings. OKC has 20 wins, so they'd be the first team they'd move past.

    The Lakers play the spurs. That's kind of a wash since Portland can lose to the Spurs three more times and we want the Lakers to stay ahead of the pelicans.
     
    Last edited: Mar 7, 2022
    blazerfan11, Mar 7, 2022
    #768
  9. TBpup

    TBpup Writing Team

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    Knicks won, so we are in sole position of #8. The Spurs and Kings are certainly within reach, and possibly Indiana, but they are tanking as well and 3 games will be quite a bit to make up in the remaining 19 games. To make up 5 games on OKC seems too large of a gap. We would basically have to lose out. Even just 1 win means OKC would have to get 6 wins in their final 18 games for us to catch them. They have nothing to play for so it would seem a stretch.

    I think it's most likely 6th with an outside shot at #5.
     
    TBpup, Mar 7, 2022
    #769
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  10. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    upload_2022-3-7_10-11-46.png

    i don't think we'll catch indy or OKC.

    SAC is it, leaving us with the 6th best odds. this is what we had when we got the Oden pick. These odds are a bit funky to wrap your head around. Even with the 6th best odds for #1, we are more than 3x likely to drop to @7 than get #6.
     
    illmatic99, Mar 7, 2022
    #770
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  11. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Crazy to think that the league's worst team has nearly a 50% chance of dropping out of the top 4.
     
    PtldPlatypus, Mar 7, 2022
    #771
  12. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    and yet contrary to popular belief, these revised odds have not deterred tanking. there are maybe 8 teams that are actively trying to lose every game.

    moreso, i the existence of the PIT has contributed to affecting some teams' mindset to try to make the playoffs instead of losing on purpose.
     
    illmatic99, Mar 7, 2022
    #772
  13. Scalma

    Scalma Well-Known Member

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    Seems like someone that would fit well in our system/next to Ant and Dame

     
    Scalma, Mar 7, 2022
    #773
  14. TBpup

    TBpup Writing Team

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    I think #6 is as high as we get as well....which by that chart, gives us a 37% chance of being in the Top-4, and a 50% chance of being #7/8. Very small chance of actually picking at #6.
     
    TBpup, Mar 7, 2022
    #774
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  15. blazerfan11

    blazerfan11 Well-Known Member

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    This is a fun video:

     
    blazerfan11, Mar 7, 2022
    #775
  16. blazerfan11

    blazerfan11 Well-Known Member

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    Detroit wins again! They are now 6-2 in their last 8 games and have won 3 in a row.
    The important number for us is that they now have 18 wins.
    They have 17 games remaining, one in Detroit against the Blazers. So they only have to win 6 of the 16 non-blazer games to reach Portland's 25 wins. They would win the tie breaker by virtue of a better conference record.
     
    blazerfan11, Mar 7, 2022
    #776
  17. blazerkor

    blazerkor Well-Known Member

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    I'm serious that we're going to out tank almost everyone, we won't catch Orlando or Houston but I really think we're going to end up in the third slot, which is the same as the first and second for lotto odds. At the very least or should I say most, I think we'll find our way to the fifth worst record.
     
    blazerkor, Mar 7, 2022
    #777
  18. Scalma

    Scalma Well-Known Member

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    Spurs win spurs win
     
    Scalma, Mar 7, 2022
    #778
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  19. Scalma

    Scalma Well-Known Member

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    I can’t see us winning 5 games the rest of the season, especially if we keep guys like Ant off the floor
     
    Scalma, Mar 7, 2022
    #779
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  20. Scalma

    Scalma Well-Known Member

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    Here’s a question; let’s say we get up to 4. The first three go as expected. Who you taking? Ivey?
     
    Scalma, Mar 8, 2022
    #780
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