Keeping our pick? This might be a Lottery year

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by TBpup, Dec 5, 2021.

?

Make the pick for the Future.....or trade it for 'now'?

  1. One last attempt

  2. Build for the future....one player won't make enough of a difference

  3. Get bad enough to where the pick makes an immediate impact

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  1. Scalma

    Scalma Well-Known Member

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    he’s the guy I wanted before we ended up trading the pick for Roco. Remember people worried about his frame as well. But skills usually win out.
     
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  2. FlashWad

    FlashWad Well-Known Member

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    I really hope we don't trade our pick for grant. I would rather take the risk we could get someone better in the draft.
     
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  3. blazerfan11

    blazerfan11 Well-Known Member

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    Got his first career triple double today in their win over the suns.
     
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  4. blazerfan11

    blazerfan11 Well-Known Member

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    Or someone better in a trade.
     
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  5. Predator

    Predator The Godfather

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    I said sixth was the goal because you have a legitimate chance to get in the top 3. Steep drop off from 6th to 7th.

    nice try at being a smartass tho.
     
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  6. Predator

    Predator The Godfather

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    This is interesting because *most* people think Paolo has the best chance at being a superstar while the other two don’t; notably because neither can create their own shot off the dribble.
     
  7. Predator

    Predator The Godfather

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    Nah, Shaedon Sharpe. I’m not as interested in Ivey but he’s clearly up there. I’ve got a clear top 5.
     
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  8. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    I've only seen Holmgren a couple of times, but from what I've seen, I'd say Poku has better foot speed and handles than Chet.
     
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  9. TBpup

    TBpup Writing Team

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    Looks like we are just about locked into the #6 spot.

    We have 2 wins more than the Pacers and they Philly back-to-back and then Brooklyn. Both teams are fighting for Playoff position.
    We have 2 less wins than the Kings who finish with the Pelicans, then @ Clippers and @ Suns.

    Could the Kings do us a big favor by winning their final home game? Either way, there is room for us to try to get 1 win.....against New Orleans. If not then, the Blazers could reward the home fans with a home win on the final game of the season, and it wouldn't do anything to their Draft position.
     
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  10. handiman

    handiman Well-Known Member

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    Historically, that's been by far our best spot to draft at, so there's that.
     
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  11. UncleCliffy'sDaddy

    UncleCliffy'sDaddy We're all Bozos on this bus.

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    Except for that pesky Martell Webster over Chris Paul thing………
     
  12. CJ_is_Gone

    CJ_is_Gone Well-Known Member

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    Technically, we had the 3rd pick that draft.
     
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  13. Rastapopoulos

    Rastapopoulos Well-Known Member

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    So we took Martell and Jarrett Jack with the #3 pick?
     
  14. Rastapopoulos

    Rastapopoulos Well-Known Member

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    So is this draft going to be more like the one where we passed over Chris Paul (because of Telfair) or the one where we got the two best players in the draft (by trading Telfair)?
     
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  15. e_blazer

    e_blazer Rip City Fan

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    upload_2022-4-4_10-24-35.jpeg

    This chart shows the NBA draft odds for all lottery picks. At this point, it looks like the Blazers' best chances are to end up with the 6th seed, with their own pick, and the Pelicans' pick if it falls in the 5-14 range. As the chart shows, the Blazers would have a 37.23% shot at moving up to a 1-4 pick, an 8.62% chance at remaining at the 6th spot, a 50.32% chance of being bumped back to the 7th or 8th pick, and just under a 4% chance of getting pushed back to the 9th or 10th spot (which would truly suck). I've highlighted the 14th seed for the Pelicans, but it could be higher. The Blazers would have a very high chance of retaining that pick, but the Pelicans could get extremely lucky and grab a top 4 seed.
     
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  16. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    technically, the Blazer drafted Deron Williams at 3 and traded him for Webster at 6 + the 27th pick in that 2005 draft + a lottery protected first in 2006 (Joel Freeland)

    they then traded the 27th pick (Lina Kleiza) + rights to Ricky Sanchez to Denver for the 22nd pick, which was Jarret Jack
     
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  17. UKRAINEFAN

    UKRAINEFAN Well-Known Member

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    good memory. Amazing that we kind of traded worthless Telfair for the chance to draft Roy. But that didn't help us get Aldridge did it? We had to trade another worthless player to move up to get him. Oops, we actually got the #7 and Randy Foye (another worthless player) for Telfair (and Ratliff) who we traded for #6 pick which we added the worthless khyrapa to to get to #4 , LMA. That was such an exciting day, wasn't it?
     
  18. blazerkor

    blazerkor Well-Known Member

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    If the Pels pick conveys it will be no higher than 12 because all four play in teams in the East have already locked up a better record than NOLA. The Spurs, Wizards and Knicks all have harder schedules left than the Pels so I think that the pick is almost a lock to convey at 12 if the Pelicans miss the playoffs, the Knicks might beat the Wizards in their game against each other in which case if the Pels only beat us and the Kings then those two teams end up tied and a coin flip will determine if the Pels pick is 11 or 12.

    Edit: I meant it will be no worse than 12 and has very little chance of being better than 11.
     
    Last edited: Apr 4, 2022
  19. Hoopguru

    Hoopguru Well-Known Member

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    He's got better foot speed and handles than Nurk and many other 7 footers. I realize he a forward, he's not far from the skills Durant had when he entered the league.
     
    Last edited: Apr 4, 2022
  20. Hoopguru

    Hoopguru Well-Known Member

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