Game Thread 2022-23 Game #31 - BLAZERS @ THUNDER - DECEMBER 19, 2022 - MONDAY - 5:00 PM (PDT) ROOT

into the tax next season? maybe. I think you may be over-estimating how deep Portland will be in the tax. And they might now be that deep if they trade Payton. I still don't get that signing

I'd much rather have Hart than Payton

 

Do you think Portland is going to resign Grant? Seems inevitable to me. That would mean approx $115m for Dame/Ant/Nurk/Grant. Another $5m in dead money. Another $30m for the players still on contract. That leaves us at $12m before going over the tax apron (assuming we let Winslow and Eubank walk) for the last 3-4 roster spots.

The path to resign Hart, improve the roster (they have to add a serviceable big), and stay under the tax seems tricky to me. Let me know what assumption I'm making that are unlikely.

And I'm curious how much you think Hart will command.

 

Here is where I think they'll be:

Projected Cap: $134M
Projected Tax Line: $162M

Under Contract
Dame: $45.6
Ant: $24.1
Nurk: $16.9
GP2: $8.7
Sharpe: $6.3
Little: $6.3
Keon: $2.8
Watford: $1.8
Walker: $1.8
Dead Cap Space: $4.4
Subtotal: $118.6 (for 9 players)

Re-Sign
Grant: $28.0
Hart: $18.0
Eubanks: $3.0
Subtotal: $49

This puts Portland right around $167M (or ~$5M over the tax) for 12 players.

Adding one rookie (second rounder at $1.6M) and one Tax-MLE FA (at $7M) would put Portland at $176M for a full-14 man roster. Being over the cap by ~$15M would mean there is a ~$35M tax bill associated with that roster.