Betting Odds Miller/Scoot at #2/#3

Yes… then trade 2 for Zion.

 

No.

 

Based off what?

 

added 6/15 odds to first post

 

If the Hornets accepted a small incentive for us to change picks, that probably means they have no interest in Scoot or any trade that might involve Scoot. Which means we probably don't need to do it. However I would certainly do it, I just don't think Charlotte would before draft day.

 

Disagree. How would Charlotte know we or a team we trade with doesn't prefer Miller?

I would think if Charlotte accepts a trade for as you say a small incentive then they are nearly undecided on Scoot vs Miller and would be happy with either one, but want to draft one of them vs trading the pick.

 

If they wanted Miller anyway?

 

Well, that is possible. But based on the "rumors" everything points to Scoot being the prize in trades The incentive would at the very least have to be #23 unless they don't care who they end up with. But to your point, if NO comes back and says Zion is off the table, then you could be right.

 

Just a gut feeling because I think they want Miller. Kup showed his cards imo about drafting for fit?

 

Why would the Blazers trade up if Kup showed his cards that they're picking Miller?

 

Yeah I would only trade up if there was a great trade for Scoot on draft night, the Hornets take Scoot but tell us they are open to trading his rights for Miller's for a reasonable price.

 

Could be a smoke screen and/or another team may swoop in for 2.
Again, if there is strong desire to get Scoot as he's your path forward, a little insurance to guarantee the selection may be wise?
If they dont care which of the two then just wait for Hornets to select.

 

I get that... it just isn't in line with the previous statement about Kup having already tipped his hand.

 

It would be a prevent move for sure. They could change course at the last minute and if Scoot is the guy Blazers want? opportunity lost.

 

Big shift in the odds with Scoot regaining the spot as favorite to go #2

 

The betting odds aren't buying that Kup tipped his hand... or maybe your theory a trade for #2 with Portland is in place (I doubt that though).

 

Wow your right, that's a big shift.

I'll update first post.

 

It's a huge shift because Miller was 2 to 1 to go to Charlotte but Miller is still almost even money to go to Charlotte. It's basically a pick em' Vegas definitely isn't trying very hard to incentivize people to bet on Miller at 2 (remember Vegas wants the betters to be wrong). If they had about faced on this they would really be pushing the odds for Miller at 2, he'd be +200 or +300.

So many bets had to have come in on Scoot at the old odds and the book doesn't seem to be trying to recoup those bets... more like they're just trying to freeze betting.

 

No need to thrown in the 23. Toronto tends to ask for the moon for their players and then leak that out, no reason to think thats reality. OG for Ant straight up is more then fair plus with FVV all but gonzo, they have a real need for a lead guard.

STOMP

 

Yes! I agree OG for Ant staright up. No need to add #23