How many PPG will Anfernee Simons average this year?

How many PPG (points per game) will Simons average this upcoming 2024 season? His last 3 years he averaged;

2021 7.8 ppg
2022 17.3 ppg
2023 21.1 ppg

 

Hopefully 25+ ppg.... for another team

 

I don't see there being as many shots for Ant on this team as there were last year and no one on this team will take the perimeter pressure away from Ant the way Dame did. If we're featuring him for a trade then it would be completely different but if we're bought into Ant long term, I think he gets right around 20 and his scoring average goes down from last season.

 

21-23 and give up 24-25

 

I would think around 18 ppg, along with Ayton, Grant, and Shae.

 

Ant, the last 3 seasons:

2020-21....FGA/game 6.3....3ptFG% .426....TS% .589
2021-22....FGA/game 14.0....3ptFG% .405....TS% .583
2022-23....FGA/game 16.9....3ptFG% ..377....TS% .581

unsurprisingly, his shooting percentages have dropped as he's shot more. That's pretty common. He did a good job of keeping his TS% up by slightly increasing his FT rate and significantly increasing his conversion rate at the rim

he's been around 1.24-1.25 points/shot. Assuming a slight drop in efficiency if he's the number 0ne option, he'd require

22 points/game = 17.9 shots/game
24 points/game = 19.5 shots/game
25 points/game = 20.3 shots/game
26 points/game = 21.1 shots/game
27 points/game = 22.0 shots/game
28 points/game = 22.8 shots/game
29 points/game = 23.6 shots/game

for comparison, last season, Dame had his highest ever FGA rate and it was 20.7 shots a game. Dame's career average was 18.6, and in only 2 of his 11 seasons did he hit the 20 shot plateau

Doncic led the NBA last season in FGA at 22.0/game. Tatum was next at 21.1. Dame was 3rd

with Grant, Ayton, Scoot, and Sharpe on the team, I think if Simons approaches 19 shots/game the Blazers offense is out of whack

 

I care more about points per minute played...than points per game. Efficiency....baby.

Also, if he is to make that leap this season, he should be able to create when the offense is stagnant...not just when he has a hot hand.

 

hopefully he's gone by the trade deadline.

 

So much hate...

 

Going to need his 3 point shooting. I’d argue he played his best basketball when Dame wasn’t playing g

 

I don't hate Simons. I just don't want him on this team. I want Scoot/Sharpe. I think Simons is tainted from the stink of the Stotts no-defense/iso ball culture.

 

Is he okay with that? Will he accept that role?

 

Which means he will be traded to Milwaukee!

 

Simons is a fantastic 3P shooter which this team still needs, especially since Scoot is not (yet, at least) a real threat from the 3. He is also a secondary / primary ball-handler - and Shae's handle is not good enough (yet, at least) to handle this role as well.

 

He should not be the number 1 option. He should be the 6th man and embrace the role. He could do what Herro did. I hope Joe packages him with Jrue and ships him out. Probably hafta take back a bunch of expirings/buy outs.

 

This is kinda what I’ve been expecting. I think he’ll be our leading scorer, but I also think it’s quite possible we could have 4-5 guys averaging close to 20 a game