Any Poker Players in the House?http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/locke/268006_locke26.html<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE </div><div class='quotemain'>Locked on Sports: Hype outstrips hunches in NFL draftBy DAVID LOCKESPECIAL TO THE P-IThe NFL draft has become a national holiday of sorts. Two national cable networks will broadcast every pick live.Football fans across the country will knock off their entire honey-do list so they can plop themselves in front of the tube for endless hours of picks, analysis and consternation.And throughout the draft, some of those fans will be led to believe their 2006 season has been made, while others will be convinced their team made a crucial error.All of this over an entire sham. The NFL draft is the single most overblown two days in sports.Think back to 1994, when famed NFL draft expert and hairstylist Mel Kiper freaked out that the Indianapolis Colts would never survive after passing on quarterback Trent Dilfer.The NFL draft is a weekend big on blowhards and short on accuracy.History shows the draft is like hitting a number on a roulette wheel.Go back to 2005. It is fair to say that only 10 to 13 players who were drafted last April made a significant impact on their teams. Two of them, Lofa Tatupu and Leroy Hill, happened to play for the Seahawks.All day Saturday and into the late rounds on Sunday, you will hear talking head after talking head tell you about "how this player will change that team" or "he fits perfectly into their system" and "I think he changes their outlook."All of it is garbage. This thing is a crapshoot.Quarterbacks and their failings get all the publicity. Considering the top quarterbacks taken over the past four seasons have included David Carr, Joey Harrington, Kyle Boller and J.P. Losman, one can understand why.Quarterbacks aren't the only ones, however. In all likelihood, Chad Jackson or Santonio Holmes will be the first wide receiver taken. Only four first-round wide receivers since 1990 have gained 1,000 yards as a rookie.Moreover, only five of the 546 wide receivers drafted since 1990 have gained 1,000 yards or more, according to the research of Len Pasquerelli at ESPN.com. The average first-round wide receiver since 1990 has produced 34.5 catches, 474.5 yards and 3.1 touchdowns as a rookie.Every position is vulnerable to the bust. If there were any real science -- or any real predictability -- you would expect to find it in the top 10 picks, right?Nothing could be further from the truth. The players who have the most money thrown at them after teams spend endless hours analyzing every nook and cranny of the player's anatomy, psyche, background and Wonderlic test scores bust almost half the time.Breaking draft pick results into four categories -- Hall of Famer, Pro Bowler, solid NFL player, and bust or failed to meet expectations -- the results of the top 10 picks from 1990 to 2003 are shocking.Whereas 25 percent of the top 10 picks during that span became Pro Bowl caliber and 25 percent became solid NFL players, 46 percent were busts.From the drafts of 2001, 2002 and 2003, of 30 top-10 picks, 14 went bust. On the flip side, the success rate has been higher -- nine of the 30 are playing at a Pro Bowl level.For example, in the 2001 draft, six of the top 10 players flat-out busted. The top 10 picks included Leonard Davis, Gerard Warren, David Terrell and former Seahawks wide receiver Koren Robinson.The post-2001 draft analysis from SI.com's Pat Kirwin reads like a comic strip five years later.In regard to Robinson, Kirwin said, "Look for him to catch the quick slant and take off like Jerry Rice did when he was younger ... can really change this football team this year."Robinson's rookie totals -- one touchdown and 39 receptions -- didn't remind anyone of Rice or change the Seahawks one iota.Truthfully, what the NFL draft is all about is an excuse to talk football again, and that is a good enough reason to waste two days. Just don't believe everything you hear this weekend, and certainly wait a while before you grab the jersey of your team's newest player at the team store.Chances are it will look pretty silly in November.</div>
It's the absolute truth, but I dont know why he has to have such a bad attitude towards it ..Its still fun and involves storylines and while in a few years players will bust or become steals, but as of right now they have their draft stocks and thats how we rank them on draft day.
Once you hit the middle rounds it gets kind of stupid but this draft is pretty deep so it's gonna be interesting to see who goes where.
<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE (JHair @ Apr 26 2006, 07:19 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}></div><div class='quotemain'>Once you hit the middle rounds it gets kind of stupid but this draft is pretty deep so it's gonna be interesting to see who goes where.</div>Every draft for as long as I've been paying attention to it has been "fairly deep" "pretty deep" etc. Every draft is deep, it seems, every year.
