It depends how soon we are actually going to go full tank and trade Grant and Simons for draft capital. If we do it soon it could be 5-7 years. If we keep them another year it could be more like 10-11, or even a lot longer... Drafting multiple stars is the only way we're going to get back there to stay. Maybe we could eventually get there for a season if 1 of Sharpe or Scoot becomes a top 10 player... maybe. Otherwise they need a LOT more help. I'm hoping it'll happen soon, and that one of the new coaches we brought in is a talent who can take over and be a top head coach. I think they have potential. So I'm very optimistically picking 5-7 years at best.
if I knew when Jody Allen will sell the Blazers I'd have a better idea of when Portland might be top-6. Won't happen with Jody & the Vulcans in charge
I don't think you become a contender by accident. These days, first and foremost, you have to have ownership willing to pay and take risks. Look at BOS. Would the Vulcans ever pay that tab? NFW. But somebody will and they will gladly do it to own a champ. Even if it is just to impress their other billionaire friends. Never underestimate the power of a human ego. In other words, Jody either sells the team or Paul comes to her in a dream and tells her to get her ass in gear and WIN.
So maybe there should be a poll and how long it will be before they sell? From what I understand she doesn't have too any time soon?
Maybe Jody and the Vulcans including Bert, think that if we cant have a legit contender without being a mega taxed team, their objective instead is having a golden Goose laying golden eggs for however long. NBA franchises are one of the most sought after investments for equity firms and such. The value will just go up each year regardless of how competitive the team is.
I like how we get the complaints that both we have too high of a payroll for a shit team, AND our owner is cheap.
I don't necessarily think she's cheap. I just think Vulcan and Kolde are shitty at running the Blazers and I don't want them to have any part of it. I'd much prefer a Phil Knight led group. Which will have to happen pretty soon if it's going to happen at all.
I think if this team hasn't made it to the top six in the league in four years than this iteration of the rebuild will have failed and we will most likely be starting over and at that point it would be anyone's guess. It's been five seasons since we were in the top six. That was nineteen... 19 seasons after we were last in the top six in the league. So if adding a superstar to the young pieces we currently have doesn't yield a contender and I guess it could happen in that 5-7 year range but if it doesn't happen with these guys it's likely not to happen again for a very long time. 19 years between our 2000 squad and the 2019 Dame led team.
I like the potential of our young roster. We have a lot of good young talent. But... It feels like we are one key player away from being a top 6 team. Not sure how, or when, we land that key player? We are almost too talented to land that player in the draft.
In 2009, we were tied for 5th-best league record. Lost in the first round to Houston, but they were definitely in the conversation.
I believe there are many franchises across the 4 major sports which, if given a binary choice between title contention and profitability, would choose the latter over the former. Or to put it another way, some see forming a competitive team as a means to drive revenue through ticket sales, media consumption, and advertising; whereas others utilize those revenue streams with the intention of achieving their primary goal of title contention. I can see why some would believe that current ownership is more interested in sales than success.
I ran across this 76er fan's breakdown of the Blazers and it's pretty deep and well done if you're interested...he talks about the future and how we'll stack up in the west. I thought it was a good listen.
