https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/202...Dc3MDUyMTI0NzUwbUuSbFm2bUmSbVuSbFuSbVuSZUm2LQ That's my prediction, 270-268 (I didn't bother with the 1 NE and 1 ME vote swaps). You should be able to do your own prediction here https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2024-Electoral-Interactive-Map/?promoref=Subnav and once you are done you can "share map" towards the top right of the page.
Decent chance Harris gets all the states that 538 currently shows as up for grabs. https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/202...Dc4MTkxNTI0MzIwLUuSLFm2bUGSbUGSZFuSbVuSZcm2LA
Don’t have time to do this right now. But Pennsylvania is the big one. They need inner city Philly to come out in droves like they did for Biden in 2020.
I think Harris holds the blue wall, Arizona, probably Nevada and North Carolina thanks to absolute loon Republicans are running for governor driving up turnout against him. Trump takes Georgia, voter suppression works. Democrats take House. Sherrod Brown holds Senate seat and unfortunately so does Ted Cruz as Texas will do anything to keep wrong people from voting. So control of Senate comes down to Jon Tester. Tough call. Republican state but he is personally popular. I'd Republicans take Senate they will block every law, cabinet appointment, judge. Then blame Harris for not getting things done.
Don't look at the polls until November, honestly. And even then people might lie and vote a different way, or the supreme court might just take their ball and go home, leaving us with Trump anyway! It'll be interesting!
