Politics Official 2024 Presidential Election Thread

Discussion in 'Blazers OT Forum' started by PtldPlatypus, Jul 25, 2024.

?

Who will "Win?"

  1. Harris

    78.6%
  2. Trump

    21.4%
  1. julius

    julius I wonder if there's beer on the sun Staff Member Global Moderator

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    I think Trump is too stupid or egotistical to actually do the simple things that he could've done to win going away in 2020.
     
  2. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    I bet his supporters are very proud if so.
     
  3. Chris Craig

    Chris Craig (Blazersland) I'm Your Huckleberry Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Probably not
     
  4. Road Ratt

    Road Ratt King of my own little world

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  5. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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  6. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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  7. Strenuus

    Strenuus Global Moderator Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Why do you defend a proven liar and convict? Why do you want a convict in office? Does he uphold all of your values? Why did you let yourself get brainwashed?
     
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  8. Everything Beagle

    Everything Beagle Local Trans Icon

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    This gets to what I've been feeling this year, and I think might help people understand why folks like me are so fucking annoying about it, especially at the 15 minute mark.
     
  9. Kano John

    Kano John Start 'em young!

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    I hate to get my hopes up but!

    Harris has 6-point lead in Wisconsin, 5-point lead in Michigan in new CNN polls
    Juliann Ventura
    Wed, October 30, 2024 at 10:34 AM PDT·2 min read
    324
    [​IMG]
    Harris has 6-point lead in Wisconsin, 5-point lead in Michigan in new CNN polls
    New polls for CNN find Vice President Harris with a 6-point lead over former President Trump in Wisconsin and a 5-point lead in Michigan.

    The polls, conducted by SSRS, found Harris leading Trump in Wisconsin with 51 percent support to his 45 percent among likely voters. In Michigan, she led with 48 percent support to 43 percent.

    The showings are better than Harris has managed in other recent polls of the two critical swing states.


    In Pennsylvania, one of the “blue wall” states for Democrats, the two candidates are tied at 48 percent support among likely voters, the CNN poll found.

    While the percentages from the poll in Michigan did not reveal an increase from a previous survey taken in August, support did increase by 1 percentage point for each candidate in Pennsylvania, going from 47 percent to 48 percent each. In Wisconsin, support for both Harris and Trump increased by 1 point since August, the poll found.

    When asked if their choice was more a vote for Harris or more a vote against Trump, 59 percent of likely voters in Michigan said it was for Harris, compared to 40 percent who said it was against Trump, the survey showed.

    In Pennsylvania, 58 percent of respondents said their vote was more based on support for Harris compared to 42 percent who said it was more a vote against Trump. In Wisconsin, 62 percent said their vote was for Harris, while 37 percent said it was against Trump, the poll found.

    The margin between likely voters who said their vote was either more a vote for Trump or against Harris was larger, the poll revealed.

    In Michigan, 76 percent of respondents said their vote was for Trump, compared to 24 percent who said it was a vote against Harris.

    In Pennsylvania, 79 percent of respondents said their vote was for Trump while 21 percent said it was against Harris.

    In Wisconsin, 79 percent of respondents said their vote was for Trump compared to 21 percent who said it was against Harris, the poll found.

    In both Michigan and Pennsylvania, 94 percent of likely voters said that their minds were made up about whom they were planning to vote for, a 9-point increase from the August poll. In Wisconsin, 95 percent of respondents said the same, also a 9-point increase from the August poll.

    The polls were conducted Oct. 23-24 among 724 voters in Michigan, 819 voters in Pennsylvania and 736 voters in Wisconsin.

    The margin of error in Michigan was 4.8 percentage points for registered voters and 4.7 points for likely voters. The margin of error in Pennsylvania was 4.7 points for registered voters and 4.7 points for likely voters. The margin of error in Wisconsin was 4.9 points for registered voters and 4.8 points for likely voters.
     
  10. noknobs

    noknobs Well-Known Member

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    I don't know the math, does Harris need all three states or would Michigan/Wisconsin be enough?
     
  11. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Assuming she takes Michigan/Wisconsin, she would need to take 2 of Nevada/Arizona/Georgia/North Carolina if she lost Pennsylvania. With Pennsylvania, she needs none of the other 4.
     
  12. Everything Beagle

    Everything Beagle Local Trans Icon

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    I’ll be honest I think she has Pennsylvania.
     
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  13. Everything Beagle

    Everything Beagle Local Trans Icon

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    The numbers around why they’re voting are interesting, and mean that we aren’t going to see them let up even a bit in the fascism. We have a full throated Nazi party in the US now and they will not give up until they destroy or are destroyed.
     
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  14. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    I do as well, and I think the margin will be more than a full percentage point. I'd be surprised if she loses any one of the Great Lakes swing states, which is why I'm not worried about Trump or the polls.
     
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  15. Hoopguru

    Hoopguru Well-Known Member

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  16. Tyrant of Ants

    Tyrant of Ants Well-Known Member

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    Trump will install a total lackey as Attorney General and all of the cases against him will be dismissed one way or another. Republicans are likely to win the Senate and they will confirm any sycophant Trump puts forth. Even if Democrats hold the Senate, Trump will have said sycophant as acting Attorney General. The Supreme Court has already ruled that Presidents are immune from prosecution for any "official" action taken while in office. The Supreme Court ultimately gets to decide what is and what is not official. With 6 Republican Justices (3 appointed by Trump), Trump will essentially be above the law.
     
  17. beast blazer

    beast blazer Well-Known Member

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    Democraps are constantly spewing anti-white rhetoric. They've convinced you it's cool to be racist against your own race.
     
  18. Tyrant of Ants

    Tyrant of Ants Well-Known Member

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    She would need to win all 3 rust belt states if Trump takes the sun belt states and GA.
     
  19. Chris Craig

    Chris Craig (Blazersland) I'm Your Huckleberry Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    She needs Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania yes, and it is looking like she will get them.
     
  20. Tyrant of Ants

    Tyrant of Ants Well-Known Member

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    Right...
     

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