Battle for play-in

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by KingSpeed, Feb 6, 2025.

  1. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    We also need development of our young players. If successful, it leads to wins and that is what we are starting to see.
     
  2. Mediocre Man

    Mediocre Man Mr. SportsTwo

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    I think most people would be happy with wins if Scoot, Sharpe, Clingan, Camara and Avdija were starting and leading us to those victories.
     
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  3. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    geeeezuzz....Suns are 27-30. My math isn't off...your eyes are

    upload_2025-2-24_8-5-16.png

    Suns 19.5 games out of first; Portland 22.5 games out. Pull out your calculator and subtract 19.5 from 22.5 (hint: it will be the same as 22-19 or 4-1)

    Lavine has much better 2ptFG%, 3ptFG%, eFG%, and TS% marks. He's a far more efficient shooter and scorer than FOX. Fox has a 5% better PER but he has 7% higher usage. Fox is a PG; LaVine a SG. LaVine has appeared in 2 all-star games; Fox in one. If Fox is actually better than LaVine, which is debatable, the gap is not nearly as big as you imply

    but besides all that, LaVine make 11M/year more than Fox and has 1 more season on his contract. If the Kings were just looking to dump Fox, adding LaVine is a stupid way to go about it.

    Atlanta owns their pick with top-12 protection. So, the Kings keep their pick if it's 13 or 14. But that's a pretty narrow and risky window to try and open and squeeze thru. Looking at the standings, if they drop out of the play-in they could have the 14th pick. If they make the playoffs, they could have the 16th pick. There's no advantage for them in tanking
     
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  4. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Didn't the Kings also get 3 1sts and 3 2nds (or 2 1sts and 5 2nds) in that deal? I thought that was basically their compensation for accepting a significantly worse contract in exchange for a player that wanted out.
     
  5. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    upload_2025-2-24_9-14-10.png

    technically 3 first's, but the Charlotte 1st is already off the table

    the 2027 Spurs first, if Wenby stays healthy, isn't likely to be a very high pick. The 2031 Minny first may or may not be a high pick. Long ways away

    looks like they already sent all three 2nd's elsewhere

    https://basketball.realgm.com/nba/draft/future_drafts/detailed
     
  6. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Go figure. When I looked at the standings last night, I swear it’s said 26-30
     
  7. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Is PER affected by Usage though?
     
  8. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    10. Kings 29-28
    11. Suns 27-30
    12. Spurs 24-31
    13. Blazers 25-33

    We pass Spurs if they lose tomorrow. Might be time to track Dallas too. They have 27 losses and a lot of crash and burn potential.
     
  9. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    Looking at the upcoming schedule in March, I can see a potential 7 game-losing streak starting in Cleveland.
     
  10. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    I'm seeing that 76er game as a win. But from March 1st till the end of the season I see 12-16 losses. Even at the low end that's a 37-45 record; maybe 38-44 or 39-43 if the Warriors and Lakers rest a bunch of players at the end of the season
     
  11. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    I see us going 16-8 and finishing 41-41. Whether that’s enough for play-in, we shall see.
     
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  12. Strenuus

    Strenuus Global Moderator Staff Member Global Moderator

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    We won't.

    9-15. As a high mark. The team is not good. That is a proven fact and not an opinion.
     
  13. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Actually, we’re one of the best defensive teams in the NBA the last couple months. We’ve won 12 of our last 17 games despite several injuries. We’ve improved as the season has gone on. He won’t win but Billips will get COTY votes. Camara may make All Defense First Team. We are a very fun team to watch nowadays.
     
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  14. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    STOP
     
  15. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    We’ve moved up and we’re only 2 games out of 11th after Suns choked tonight.

    10. Kings 29-28
    11. Suns 27-31
    12. Blazers 25-33
    13. Spurs 24-32
     
  16. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    I don't see what good it is looking at the 11th seed. Portland is still 4.5 games behind the 10th seed. They were 5 games behind 18 games ago before that 10-11 stretch. They have only gained a half game since then
     
  17. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Can’t get to 10th seed until you pass the 11th seed first. We’re on our way. We weren’t 4.5 games behind Sac when we were 13-28. I don’t understand what you’re talking about.
     
  18. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    I looked it up. We were 8 games behind Sacramento before this 17 game stretch.
     
  19. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    We were 8 games behind Phoenix too.
     
  20. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    We were 8 games behind the Warriors
     

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