Race to The Bottom - Final Days

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by wizenheimer, Apr 7, 2025.

  1. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    upload_2025-4-7_8-16-29.png

    at the very bottom...congrats to the Jazz and Danny Ainge..? They'll be one of three teams with the best lottery odds. Somehow, they are ahead of the Wizards. Theoretically, they could end up with a best of the 1st pick and the 14th pick (Minny's).. The Pelicans tanked strategically well, but not quite well enough to be bottom-3

    As for Portland, the race for 8th-9th is over. The Spurs are smart enough to stay ahead of the Blazers. Portland had a shot at 8th but blew it out of the water yesterday afternoon. Dark day in the Rose City

    so, where will the Blazers end up?

    @ Utah Jazz
    Golden State Warriors
    Los Angeles Lakers

    Utah is no danger of dropping out of the best lottery odd, so maybe they'll give an honest effort Wednesday night. However, the Utah injury report isn't encouraging...if you're rooting for a Blazer loss:

    upload_2025-4-7_8-29-51.png

    as for Portland's final 2 games, it needs a look at the WC playoff race:

    upload_2025-4-7_8-31-17.png

    notice there are 4 teams tied for 5th seed (or 8th seed), and all 4 are just 1/2 game behind the Nuggets for 4th seed and HCA in the 1st round. I'm not going to bother looking at tiebreakers, But right now I'd think the Warriors are motivated to win. That might change a little by Friday night when they visit Portland, but odds are they will be needing a win...good news for the dregs of any tank left

    The Lakers have a difficult 3 games before the final against Portland: @Oklahoma City Thunder; @ Dallas Mavericks; Houston Rockets. It could be they will need a win against the Blazers. However, it also could be that game will mean nothing and they'll rest everybody

    The Blazers could solve the puzzle by going 0-3. Even so, they could still end up tied with the Suns for 9th. Miami has an incredibly easy last 4 games. Chicago's final 2 games are against Washington and Philly

    Portland could go 0-3 and stay in 9th. They could go 1-2 and end up in 10th. But they could actually go 2-1 or 3-0 and drop to 12th. 8th seed has a 1-in-4 chance at a top 4 pick; 9th seed has a 1-in-5 chance; 10th seed a 1-in-9 chance; 11th seed has the same 1-in-9 chance. 12th seed has a 1-in-14 chance
     
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  2. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    by the way, at RealGM I made a prediction before the season:

    upload_2025-4-7_9-5-25.png

    I guess I should be rooting for 2 more wins to reach prophet status
     
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  3. BoBoBREWSKI

    BoBoBREWSKI BURP!

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    Do you guys think we sit every impactful player now? Sharpe and Toumani now sit as well? I hope so.
     
  4. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    Sit them, sign me to a 10 day contract.
     
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  5. Foxx

    Foxx Well-Known Member

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    Feature Kris early for his 25-26 mvp race.


    Most valuable person…
    (From Iowa)
     
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  6. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    We’re probably going to win out and even pass Phoenix.
     
  7. PDXFonz

    PDXFonz I’m listening

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    In all honesty I think the only surprise is that we did better than the Spurs and the 76ers. Rest of the teams you would figure would be a toss up as far as where they fall in the lottery standings.

    Pelicans are tragically bad. They need to do something, because they’ve had no real identity after AD. Neither CJ, nor Zion are the answer for them. They actually need to just restart by rolling the dice with youth, but I don’t know their future draft situation.

    I was okay with losing, because I didn’t think we had a chance to win. I don’t generally go that route, but I thought it was a reasonable path to future success. Or that “if there ever was a time”. Like instead of our championship window closing, our being bad and benefiting from it window is closing. This really could have been the chance to be bad when we’re not actually that bad.

    I’m not pessimistic about the future due to that we (likely) aren’t going to get the #1 pick in a year where that pick is projected by many to become a star. I think we saw the most talented basketball player of the 2020’s being drafted last year. Sometimes that #1 pick really could be the difference between winning a championship, but that has to be proven by winning a championship. Idk that we will be looking back and actually hating the fact that we didn’t full tank the season and stand a better chance at the #1 overall. But I guess the possibility is technically there.

    There’s also clearly a lot of teams in a worse situation than us, because we did see potential for success from this team - where other teams (like the Suns and 76ers) failed to meet expectations. 76ers are also a disaster nightmare scenario. I wake up in a cold sweat dreaming that I was a 76ers fan. They are most certainly cooked as well, which means we are a step ahead of them as we have already started to transition and go forward in a new era. The 76ers, like the Pelicans, need a complete overhaul - and for them that’s not going to be easy.
     
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  8. 1 Eye Jack

    1 Eye Jack Well-Known Member

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    The fact that Philly and New Orleans dropped that far is disgusting.
     
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  9. Everything Beagle

    Everything Beagle Local Trans Icon

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    No need to risk injury.
     
  10. Sloth

    Sloth Lazy Bastard

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    As a diehard Hornets hater(Odd I know since I was born and raised in NC and still live here haha) hope they don't get the 1st pick but does seem almost Kismet if you will that they get it and get Flagg.

    The Duke and Hornet fans I know will explode in ecstasy.
     
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  11. inconceivable

    inconceivable Well-Known Member

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    Last time the Florida Gators won the National Championship, Blazers won the lottery.
     
  12. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    worked out a lot better for Florida than for the Blazers
     
  13. BoBoBREWSKI

    BoBoBREWSKI BURP!

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    Is this really true?!?!?
     
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  14. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Yes--Oden's OSU team lost in the final to the Horford/Noah/Brewer Gators squad in '07.
     
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  15. e_blazer

    e_blazer Rip City Fan

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    They won in 2007. The Blazers got the first pick in the NBA draft that year, but I’m not sure that drafting Oden would be considered a win.
     
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  16. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    Does Oden have any kids we can draft?
     
  17. inconceivable

    inconceivable Well-Known Member

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    No, he has a daughter in elementary school
     
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  18. inconceivable

    inconceivable Well-Known Member

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    We drafted Florida's PG Taurean Green in 2007 after winning the Natty. Short-lived NBA career but successful international career. He's assistant coach of the Gators now.
     
  19. inconceivable

    inconceivable Well-Known Member

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    Yup, and you know what they say, history repeats itself. I'm only talking about the winning the lottery part, not drafting a player that would not realize his potential due to injuries
     
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  20. SharpesTriumph

    SharpesTriumph Well-Known Member

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    Damn totally forgot about him.

    Yeah we drafted Greg Oden, Petteri Koponen, Taurean Green, and Josh McRoberts all in that draft.

    There was actually a lot of excitement for McRoberts at the time. He never became more than a deep bench player, though he played over 4x as many NBA games as Oden.

    Koponen has been coaching awhile - but he's 3 year younger than CP3! CP3 is somehow on track to play 82 games this year, and was drafted two years before all of those 2007 draft players.

    [​IMG]
     
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