Decent chance final standings end up exactly in this order. Almost completely dependent on Sunday's GSW-LAC game.
Kinda screwed it up in another thread, but I want to lay out the scenarios correctly here: Simple parts: If DEN wins Sunday, they are #4 (wins tie with LAC if applicable) If MIN loses Sunday, they are in the play-in (loses tie breaks to GSW and MEM [if applicable]) If GSW beats LAC, Clippers still have the H2H tie-break over GSW (3-1) More complex scenarios: GSW wins, DEN/LAC/MIN lose (3-way tie between DEN/LAC/GSW for 4) LAC wins tie-break (5-3 among tied) and 4 seed, then DEN is 5 and GSW 6 (DEN 2-1 H2H vs GSW) DEN/GSW/MIN win, LAC loses (3-way tie between LAC/GSW/MIN for 5) MIN wins tie-break (4-3 among tied) and 5 seed, then LAC is 6 and GSW 7 (LAC 3-1 H2H vs GSW) GSW/MIN win, DEN/LAC lose (4-way tie for 4) MIN wins tie-break and 4 (8-3 among tied), then LAC gets 5, DEN 6, and GSW 7. I would suggest that the most likely scenario has Denver beating Houston and claiming the 4 seed and Minnesota clobbering Utah, relegating the Warriors to the 7-seed and the play-in regardless of the result of their game with the Clippers.