Event 2025 NBA DRAFT LOTTERY, COMBINE, AND DRAFT

Well #11 is better than #12 or #13. After 2-3 decades of never having the Blazers be a contender I think many fans just assume there's a way we'll end up with something bad.

 

Today is not a day for doom and gloom - it's one tailor made for DELUSIONAL EXCITEMENT! We're getting that top pick!

 

If a team slotted 5-9 moves up we stay in the same spot though. So it would only be years that a team in slots 11-14 jumped into the top4 that would push us back. Last year Atlanta jumped up but they were in our spot at #10 so that doesn't count.

Only time I see that happening in the last 20 years was 2019 when the Lakers jumped from 11 to 4.

To go back when a team slotted #11 or lower actually won the #1 pick you have to look all the way back at 1993 which is the year the Magic won it a second time the season after drafting Shaq. I believe the NBA changed the odds the next year. So its just very uncommon for teams in the 11-14 range to jump up in the lottery. But I understand why some Blazer fans are irrationally paranoid about us getting screwed - its just statistically there is no basis to it.

 

Its always a day for doom and gloom as a Blazers fan!

Even if we win the #1 pick today it'll probably just eventually become a story of another Blazer with career ending injuries. Then we can read for a few decades about how we screwed up another #1 overall pick.

 

Yeah, my bad. I deleted my post a few minutes after I wrote it, after thinking about it.

 

Sure, sure, all that's accurate, but for TODAY, we can all revel in the excitement. I had such a good day when we won the Oden lottery.

 

Exactly. If we expect the worst, we will never be disappointed!

 

I wish it was a bit later so I could watch. I’ll be listening in my car.

 

Yeah I did as well - having ROY just win the ROY and a great rookie sidekick in Aldridge capped off with winning the #1 overall pick - we looked like the Spurs do today where we were a likely dominant contender over the next decade.

We don't have a ROY or even an Aldridge on this roster though. We have a young version of Batum, Pryz and Steve Blake. But yeah if we actually do win #1 today I'll be ecstatic. Really any spot in the top3 would be awesome. I wouldn't be surprised if Harper or Bailey ultimate had a better rookie season than Flagg.

 

Ha, so you are saying you will not be disappointed and pissed off as hell today at about 4:10?

 

Agreed... I'm CT so its even earlier... I'll will be busy with kids. Will need to turn off phone so I can catch up and watch it later.

 

I full expect us to drop a spot.

I will be really annoyed if the Spurs get the #1 pick.

 

that's the mode I'm in for my annual physical

 

Yeah, this would not surprise me at all. I guess which team they each go to could be a factor, but I don't expect Flagg to put up numbers in his first year that voters seem to be influenced by.

 

Are team representatives actually in the room when the ping pong balls are drawn or how does that work?

 

The magical pick is #10. If we haven't been called after #10 is determined, it means we jumped into the top 4.
#GoBlazers

 

I'd be happy with #2.

 

Sounds like whoever gets Flagg might receive a godfather offer from Utah. They have over a dozen firsts they are able to trade and some decent young pieces according to Shams.

 

Why? Had we drafted Durant, he would have been injured and Oden would be in the HOF.

 

maybe not. But he sure had an impressive season for a 35-4 Duke team: