My case is for this guy! I truly believe if he stays healthy (which I know will be tough) will win this award for the next 10 seasons. I have probably watched every game he’s played with the Spurs and he is an absolute a freak out there. He does shit that blows my mind. His court vision and basketball IQ is astonishing. (I’ve never typed that last word before)
Yeah health is the main concern - probably second is the level of the team. I'd think they at least have to get to HCA for him to win MVP. Not sure Harper/Castle/Bryant are ready this season to contribute in those roles to where a team can win. CP3 was actually very good for them last year. I'm thinking next year (2026-27) they have much more growth and then he will be in the running if not the flat out favorite. Now in terms of 10 years of MVP I think the main problem is voter fatigue. We had it when Karl Malone beat Jordan, Derrick Rose over LeBron, and SGA beating the much better Jokic last year. The hands down best player often doesn't win if they already have a couple MVPs.
Also number of games. Yes minimum is 65 but the MVP usually plays many more. Wemby has played 71 and 46 games. SGA 76 games (but team was #1 record) Jokic 79 (Embiid 66 did play less) Jokic 74 Jokic 72 (Covid year) Giannis 63 (Covid year) Giannis 72 Harden 72 Westbrook 81 Curry 79 Curry 80 Durant 81 LeBron 76 LeBron 62 Rose 81 LeBron 76 LeBron 81 Kobe 82 Dirk 78 Nash 79 Nash 75 Garnett 82 Duncan 81 Duncan 82 Iverson 71 Shaq 79 Actually surprised guys recently have played less games though.
