Science How many minutes will Hansen get in his rookie season?

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Wizard Mentor, Sep 29, 2025 at 8:57 AM.

  1. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    Hansen minutes?

    DC: 60 games, 28 mpg => 1680 minutes
    RW3: 50 games (I'm being generous), 28 mpg => 1400 minutes
    Total center minutes: 82 games, 48 mpg => 3936 minutes available

    Total non-DC, non-RW center minutes available: 3936 - 1400 - 1680 = 856.

    Hansen gets 856/82 = 10.4 bonafide, game on the line, mpg.

    Assumptions:
    • Hansen gets all C minutes not taken by RW and DC. (H likely to get LESS minutes due to this)
    • RW can actually play 50 games. (H likely to get MORE minutes due to this)
    • Hansen gets zero "mop up" minutes. (H likely to get MORE minutes due to this)
    Notes:
    • RW is unlikely play in back 2 backs.
    • For reference, 2nd round pick Jabari Walker got 12.5 mpg his rookie year. If 10 of those were mop-up minutes, then H could conceivably play up to 20 mpg. However, the current Blazers are better than JW's rookie team. Taking that into account, it is still very possible that H plays....
    15 minutes/game
     
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  2. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    Looks like Rob Will won't be there to start the season. So, DC 30, H 18 is my early guess. DC has indeed slimmed down.
     
  3. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    Hard to know for sure, but the way I interpreted what Joe said was that Rob has not been cleared for contact yet, but would be real soon. I think they are just being cautious. He could be ready for the start of the season.

    But to your point, I can't see him playing every game. Besides Yang getting those minutes, I would expect some small ball at times with Jrue, Shae, Tou, Deni, and Grant all playing together. As long as they can rebound. But it's not like Yang is a good rebounder either...... not yet.
     
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  4. kjironman1

    kjironman1 Well-Known Member

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    1000 his rookie year is what I consider the least he should get. Less than that he needs to play G league and get playing time.
     
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  5. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    upload_2025-9-29_12-52-1.jpeg

    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: Sep 29, 2025 at 12:57 PM
  6. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    upload_2025-9-29_12-52-38.jpeg

    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: Sep 29, 2025 at 12:57 PM
  7. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    upload_2025-9-29_12-53-7.jpeg

    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: Sep 29, 2025 at 12:57 PM
  8. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    There, I think I've covered all possibilities.
     
  9. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    Does it matter what kind of minutes they are? Either EARNED or simply because of injuries, NEEDED?
     
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  10. Cugel

    Cugel The epitome of mediocrity

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    Too early to say. Could be 0 or 15.
     
  11. SharpesTriumph

    SharpesTriumph Well-Known Member

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    Initially plays as a backup about 15mpg.

    Around Christmas switches to even center split at 24 mpg.

    Starts full time around all-star break

    Leads the Blazers in minutes during March

    Plays over 40mpg ever game in April

    Starts in the playoffs but we only make the conference finals his rookie year. I try to be realistic with my projections.
     
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  12. BassPlaya

    BassPlaya Puntificator

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    Did you stay at the Double Tree last night?
     
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