What are some of your predictions for 2nd half of season?

^RIP for Brian. We miss you

 

If Davis soon follows Cliff R out the door then Biedrens pretty much has to play,but it's hard to guess what the deadline deal-if any-would be. Minus Robinson it is likely the W's win% doesn't go up. Davis value is mainly that he's got a big,expiring,contract. We could see a deal; where someone sends us a player better than DD-but overpaid and with a few years remaining on the contract-result-some 2nd half wins but we drop a bit in the draft and are a bit further from a good cap situation. I'd love to trade aggressively,come out of it with bonus draft picks and one good young player who can be part of our core. I'd be fine with filling a few spots with the best available CBA guy for the rest of this year,one of them might turn out to be a steal-and maybe we move up a slot for the draft. Not a fan of Magliore,but some young C,like Jason Collins,B Heywood,Chris Kaman,could be interesting at the right price.

 

I seriously doubt that we will trade Davis for a player who has few years remaining. Currently, our cap situation is at $55 mils. Current caproom is $43 mils, and it's likely that luxury tax line will be drawn around $55 mils. In order for us to avoid luxury tax, letting Davis' contract for nothing is must, unless there are big changes in current CBA or financial situation in NBA...

 

<div class="quote_poster">Quoting Kwan1031:</div><div class="quote_post">I seriously doubt that we will trade Davis for a player who has few years remaining. Currently, our cap situation is at $55 mils. Current caproom is $43 mils, and it's likely that luxury tax line will be drawn around $55 mils. In order for us to avoid luxury tax, letting Davis' contract for nothing is must, unless there are big changes in current CBA or financial situation in NBA...</div> I'll put money on the new CBA giving us a little bit of breathing room. With very few teams actually under the salary cap, the new CBA will most likely yield a higher cap and thus a higher starting point for luxury taxes. In return, the players' union will allow maximum contract lengths to be shortened. That's a pretty simplified version of how it might go down, but those two issues should be the major bargaining points. I can see negotiations being smoothed by desire to avoid a NHL-like fiasco, so hopefully it will all get resolved before the end of the season and we will have a better idea of what to expect.

Any extra room we get will probably only be a few million dollars, but I could see us taking back $4-5M in active contracts and $5-6M in expiring contracts in return for Davis' $10M expiring contract.

 

<div class="quote_poster">Quoting GSWScruff:</div><div class="quote_post">I'll put money on the new CBA giving us a little bit of breathing room. With very few teams actually under the salary cap, the new CBA will most likely yield a higher cap and thus a higher starting point for luxury taxes. In return, the players' union will allow maximum contract lengths to be shortened. That's a pretty simplified version of how it might go down, but those two issues should be the major bargaining points. I can see negotiations being smoothed by desire to avoid a NHL-like fiasco, so hopefully it will all get resolved before the end of the season and we will have a better idea of what to expect.

Any extra room we get will probably only be a few million dollars, but I could see us taking back $4-5M in active contracts and $5-6M in expiring contracts in return for Davis' $10M expiring contract.</div>

I don't know. I don't think neither Cohan nor Mullin will deal based on assumption though. Not only the trading deadline is less than a week from now, but also if the assumption turns out to be wrong, it can be huge problem for financial situation...

 

<div class="quote_poster">Quoting Kwan1031:</div><div class="quote_post">I don't know. I don't think neither Cohan nor Mullin will deal based on assumption though. Not only the trading deadline is less than a week from now, but also if the assumption turns out to be wrong, it can be huge problem for financial situation...</div>
At this point I guess I can't argue with playing it safe. I feel pretty good about our core, so there is no reason to muck up the salary situation even more unless we pick up a player that is certain to make an impact.

Since we are probably not going to get an impact player for Davis, it looks like the options are to let his deal expire, to trade him for expiring deals, to trade him for expiring deals + draft picks, or trade him for a trade exception + draft picks. The exception seems like the way to go if it is at all possible, since it essentially just buys the front office some time. They can see exactly what is happening with the CBA and then make a deal after they know how much money the team has to work with.

Then again, we already have one $5M exception, so if we aren't going to get more than $5M room from the CBA then an additional exception is pretty much useless.