Blazer in the Playoffs

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by TBpup, Jan 27, 2018.

  1. TBpup

    TBpup Writing Team

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    As of this morning, the Blazers are the #7 seed, 1/2 game behind the Pelicans. But Boogie Cousins ruptured his Achilles last night so they will start falling down the ranks.

    There are only 9 teams in competition for the 8 Playoff spots. At #10 is Utah and they are already 7 games under .500 and going no where fast. The Clippers are at #9 but have fought injuries and now it looks like they may trade DeAndre Jordan. They aren't likely to go on a winning streak any time soon either.

    That leaves Denver at #8, the Blazers at #7 and the Pelicans who will begin their descent from #6. Pelicans will likely fall out of the Playoffs and even if they don't, both they and the Clips aren't making it....so the Blazers are in.

    Throw a parade!
     
  2. Boob-No-More

    Boob-No-More Why you no hire big man coach?

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    Basketball-reference currently has us with an 86.9% chance of making the playoffs. They project us to be the 7th seed with 43.9 wins. They currently have NOP at 6th with 44.6 projected wins and DEN at 8th with 41.7 wins.

    538 currently gives us a 76% chance to make the playoffs. They are projecting us to finish 7th with 44 wins. They have NOP projected as 6th with 46 wins and DEN at 8th with 42 wins.

    These are mathematical models based strictly on performance of all teams to date and do not comprehend the impact of any recent injuries or future trades.

    BNM
     
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  3. TBpup

    TBpup Writing Team

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    @Boob-No-More ...We were very likely to make it before just because there are only 9 teams in an 8 horse race. Now with Boogie out it makes it almost a certainty. Now to avoid being 1st round cannon fodder.
     
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  4. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

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    4 games behind the 3-seed Spurs, who we just beat.
    3 games behind the 4-seed Wolves, who we just beat.
    1.5 games behind the 5-seed Thunder, who we just beat.

    Offense starting to heat up... I'm excited.
     
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  5. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

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    Honestly, though, is 2nd-round fodder for the W's or Rockets that much better?

    (I think so, and I give us a puncher's chance against HOU. The more playoff games our guys get while they're young, the better.)
     
  6. BrianFromWA

    BrianFromWA Editor in Chief Staff Member Editor in Chief

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    I feel like any thread like this has to have the obligatory, "we're still 33 games away"...

    [​IMG]
     
  7. Nikolokolus

    Nikolokolus There's always next year

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    If ever there was a jinx thread.

    Major injury for Damian, CJ and/or Nurkic coming in 3 ... 2 ...
     
  8. tester551

    tester551 Well-Known Member

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    Just need to be 6 or higher. I think Portland would give Spurs, Minny, or OKC a run for their money.

    Just need to avoid Warriors & Rockets
     
  9. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    Exactly my thought as well.
     
  10. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Don't count out Jazz yet. We were way below .500 last year too.
     
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  11. blue9

    blue9 Well-Known Member

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    Yup - those are the three teams I want to match up with in the 1st.
     
  12. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce Red Hot And Rebuilding

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    At this point in the season last year, the Blazers were 7 games below 500. This year they're 5 games over. Over the past 2 years, they've definitely started off slow and ramped up.

    upload_2018-1-27_19-41-55.png

    Let's hope we see that strong finish again this year!
     
  13. TBpup

    TBpup Writing Team

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    Their 2nd half schedule was easier the last two years than this years 2nd half.
     
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  14. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    That is true
     
  15. Strenuus

    Strenuus Global Moderator Staff Member Global Moderator

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  16. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    So my 40-42 prediction wasn't that far off.
     
  17. Boob-No-More

    Boob-No-More Why you no hire big man coach?

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    You are currently trending 10% low, but they still have to play the games. The last two years the team has had a much better record during the second half of the season.

    Last year they were 11 games under .500 on February 28. They made up those 11 games and finished at .500.

    They probably won't finish that strong this year. But I'd be surprised if they only win 13 more games between now and the end of the season.

    BNM
     
  18. ripcityboy

    ripcityboy Well-Known Member

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    If we can play anybody other than GS it would be like a breath of fresh air. Even if it's San Antonio and we can pull a couple of games out. Another 4 and out and it will affect everybody from the Paul Allen on down.
     
    Last edited: Jan 28, 2018
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  19. TBpup

    TBpup Writing Team

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    Blazers need to win at least 2 games for it even to be worth showing up. 1 win can happen just because the other team beating the crap out of you gets bored. :deadhorse:
     
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  20. Eastoff

    Eastoff But it was a beginning.

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