Don't believe what you read

Discussion in 'Blazers OT Forum' started by barfo, Nov 7, 2012.

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  1. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Although the mainstream media is reporting that Obama won the election, they are using a model of the election that looks too much like 2008. You have to unskew the voting results to get the right answer.

    We'll see Romney in a landslide when the electoral college votes in December.

    barfo
     
    barfo, Nov 7, 2012
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  2. BLAZER PROPHET

    BLAZER PROPHET Well-Known Member

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    It's one thing to be a sore loser or a gloater when one wins.

    But this is being a grade A asshole.

    Gloating is one thing, barfo, but trying to make fun of people over it is another.
     
    BLAZER PROPHET, Nov 7, 2012
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  3. Eastoff

    Eastoff But it was a beginning.

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    And the pundits that were flailing about how wrong the polls up until the election? What about them?
     
    Eastoff, Nov 7, 2012
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  4. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Sorry, if you willfully choose to believe nonsense like 'unskewed polls', you deserve to be made fun of.
    And as for being an asshole, aren't you the guy who loves to call people sheep?

    barfo
     
    barfo, Nov 7, 2012
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  5. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    In 2008, the popular vote was Obama 69.5M to McCain 60M.

    In 2012, the popular vote was Obama 60M to Romney 57M.

    Not only did ~14M less people show up, this may be the first presidential election where the turnout was lower than the previous one.



    Things changed - hurricane, Christie's kind words about Obama, late endorsements by Powell and Bloomberg - to change the makeup of the electorate. Romney went from a +5 lead in many polls to even or minus.

    http://sportstwo.com/threads/222215-Unskewing-the-polls?p=2863143&viewfull=1#post2863143
     
    Denny Crane, Nov 7, 2012
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  6. Rhal

    Rhal Well-Known Member

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    Polling is stupid because there are way to many of them now. Whatever way you swing you can find a poll to support it, new polling "companys" pop up like flys.
    Sent from my SPH-L710 using Tapatalk 2
     
    Rhal, Nov 7, 2012
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  7. crowTrobot

    crowTrobot die comcast

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    As late as election day right wing pundits and bloggers were still spouting nonsense about the polls being universally wrong due to modelling turnout like 2008. FNC has had like 15-20 say that in the last few days. obviously all of them either had no clue what they were talking about and were just repeating what they heard from one side, had an agenda to keep certain people happy as long as possible before the shit hit the fan (Rove), or were just throwing total bullshit out there trying to get attention to feed their egos (Dick Morris).
     
    crowTrobot, Nov 7, 2012
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  8. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    Polls are a funny thing. Do they measure current sentiment, or does reporting them drive the next day's poll results?
     
    Denny Crane, Nov 7, 2012
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