Thought I'd post a poll on where everyone thinks we'll finish the season in the Win Column. I'm feeling 52 wins.
Nate is going to continue his trendthe year before McMillan) 21-61.....then 32-50......then 41-41....... now 52-30........next 61-21? (wishful thinking, my guess would be 55-57 if we make some tweaks to the roster). How many wins do you guys think it will take for Nate to have a good chance for COY? 55?....we do have the youngest playing rotation in the L, that should be worth something shouldn't it?
I started the season at 53, and I am sticking to my predcition...the schedule is not nearly as tough as the first half...can the youngsters hold up...the RIP CITY REVIVAL continues!!!
My preseason prediction was 52, before the blazers wouldn't let Oden work out. I then, still before the season, amended it to 50. I'm sticking to my 50 win prediction (which was a lot higher than many, but is now apparently lower than many). If I'm too low, I will be thrilled!! Who the heck put 46 or lower? If we win only 12 of our last 27, we finish with 47. Pretty damn pessimistic.
I'm giving them a comfy cushion of 15-12 for the rest of the way, despite the fact that they haven't had a single 15-12 stretch or worse at any point this whole season. Excluding the top four teams in the league (with whom we are 2-5 against), Portland is 12-9 against teams with records of .500 or better. I'm betting we do better than 4-7 against that tier (I personally feel 6-5). I'm going with 1-2 against the top tier (We have to beat the Lakers at least once. We always beat them twice) and 10-3 against the under .500 tier, which would be consistent with our 21-6 record against it. That would leave us between 15-12 and 17-10, or 50-52 wins.
I can't remember exactly what I said in the preseaon prediction thread -- I think it was 47 wins maybe? I went with 48, because I'm trying to ....
MARIS is one of the two who predicted 55 or more and MIXUM is one of the two who predicted 46 or less. LOVE IT! I still would love to give them a thread and argue about Sergio... that would be awesome. Anyway, I picked 50. We have a pretty tough schedule from here on out, so I think 50 would be awesome, and will probably get us around 6th.
The Blazers have 27 games left. To win just 46 games would mean the Blazers would go 9-18. That seems almost ludicrous to me.
15-12 is what we need to go to win 50 games! How awesome is that. I really couldn't even imagine us being in this position when I did my preseason predictions.
I think I started the season at 55 wins. We're currently 35-20, or winning at .636. That's after playing the hardest part of our schedule. To get to 55 wins we'd need to go 20-7, or win at a .740 rate. Oden is down right now, but he sounds like he'll be coming back soon. Otherwise, Portland is pretty healthy, unlike a lot of other normally tough teams in the league. (Ginobili, Arenas, Garnett, McGrady, Amare, Boozer.) I'll stick with my original prediction, but I realize it's really on the high end, and I'll be happy with anything in the 50's.
Speaking of preseason predictions, those of you who participated in the Western Conference Prediction Game (remember that), I have you on record!
at the beginning of the year I predicted 55 wins if they avoided injuries to key players. With Batum's emergence, I don't view the loss of Martell as a big deal. Blake is a borderline key player though and losing Oden for stretches definitely hurts so my projection slides down a bit. I went with 54 but probably should have chosen 53. STOMP
