Exclusive How to make to the finals (updated 2020)

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Wizard Mentor, Dec 23, 2020.

  1. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    2000 -2020 Teams that make it to the finals (42 teams)

    Top 10 Offense + Top 10 Offense: 25/42 (59.5%)
    Top 5 Offense + Top 15 Defense: 4/42 (9.5%)
    Top 5 Defense + Top 15 Offense: 4/42 (9.5%)
    Other: 9/42 (21.5%)
    upload_2020-12-23_19-45-3.png
     
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  2. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Forum Troll

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    This is our year because of depth.

    when most teams dont have enough players to play and win, we will surge up from the cellar and take this season!!!

    how we win? Stay covid free and be the last team standing.

    or replace the coach...
     
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  3. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    Alright, party peeps. Can you name the team in the upper left corner?
     
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  4. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Forum Troll

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    Dallas
     
  5. kjironman1

    kjironman1 Well-Known Member

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    I'm gonna go with Celtics. One of the old teams that had Bill Russell
     
  6. tykendo

    tykendo Don't Tread On PDX

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    What is this, Geometry? That graph gives me a headache. Just tell us the teams.
     
  7. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    No!
     
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  8. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    No, it's pretty recent.
     
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  9. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    It's hip to be a square.

    The teams don't matter. What matters is that you better finish top 10 in both offense and defense if you want to make it to the finals. Of course, this does not guarantee anything.
     
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  10. kjironman1

    kjironman1 Well-Known Member

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    Pretty recent i would say GS but obviously i'm reaching at straws here.
     
  11. bobf

    bobf Well-Known Member

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    Not to be a stickler or anything but by my count, the 10x10 box has 20 dots and the 5x15 boxes have 15 and 16 dots.
     
  12. kjironman1

    kjironman1 Well-Known Member

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    I got that also but i figured it might be duplicate boxes?
     
  13. bobf

    bobf Well-Known Member

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    Also this is showing the probability of being in some box (some O&D rating) given you make the finals. What you want is probability of making the finals given you are in some box on the graph.

    For example only 2/42 teams are in box 2x2 while 20/42 are in 10x10. Does that mean it’s harder to make it to the finals if you are top 2 in offense and defense than top 10?
     
    Last edited: Dec 25, 2020
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  14. kjironman1

    kjironman1 Well-Known Member

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    Thinking outside the "Box" now.
     
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  15. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Looks like the 2018 Cavs
     
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  16. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    Yep.
     
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  17. Tince

    Tince Well-Known Member

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    Thanks for the graph @Wizard Mentor , love this stuff!

    I would've expected a fairly straight line from top left to bottom right, but there is such a weak correlation. Super interesting!

    Who are the two teams on the bottom left?
     
    Last edited: Dec 25, 2020
  18. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Forum Troll

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    i was reading the chRt wrong. I thought it meant all d and no offense. Its the opposite i see.
    So ill go with the wallace pistons?
     
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  19. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Forum Troll

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    nm. Lol
     
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  20. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Should be noted that 2018 Cavs squad turned up their defense in the playoffs to a level that equated to the 4th best regular season rating that year.
     
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