<tt> AP/YAHOO Poll of 873 Democrats; 650 Republicans shows OBAMA 44%, MCCAIN 42%... </tt><hr> <tt>Obama: 'Don't Underestimate Our Ability to Screw It Up'... </tt><hr> <tt>Some Polls Indicate Tighter Race... </tt>
It seems to me that the elections have gotten closer toward election day in the past several elections. More people pay attention, and people do change their minds even standing in line at the polling place.
I saw some internals from some swing states that have McCain getting 22% of the African American vote. The tightening of the polls could just be blacks messing around with the pollsters.
The race may be tightening, but we all know that the popular vote is irrelevant. What IS relevant is whether the popular vote in Obama-leaning states are gradually shifting towards McCain. It's possible that the numbers are being skewed by McCain just increasing his lead in states like Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, Wyoming, Utah, etc. It looks like Obama has roughly 250 electoral votes all but wrapped up. To win, McCain will have to win nearly all of Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Virginia, Missouri, Colorado, Minnesota, and Maine. Pennsylvania is still listed as "strong Obama," but the polls cited are a couple of days old by now. It isn't impossible, but it is a hill to climb. If he acted like himself, like he did at that charity dinner, he would have a much better chance, IMO.
if the race isn't close do people watch as much election coverage and check all the different sources they use for election news? my guess would be no. so of course the race is going to be "close". in reality i don't think this race has really been "close" at any point.
