Lillard’s confidence is shot

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Bingo Bango, Nov 5, 2021.

  1. bobf

    bobf Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 19, 2008
    Messages:
    3,836
    Likes Received:
    3,007
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I was already on it LOL. X axis is 2020. Y is 2021. I chose players with a FTR >= 0.200 and at least 500 shots in 2020 and at least 100 shots in 2021. Median FGA in 2021 is around 150. Even stats like are subject to variance. Don't know what the losers have in common. Seems like bigger players are less affected.

    FTR2020v2021.png
     
  2. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 19, 2008
    Messages:
    12,099
    Likes Received:
    19,009
    Trophy Points:
    113
    interesting

    probably too many factors for one chart but I'm wondering if there is a correlation between reduced FTrate, player size, and assisted FG rate. Probably have to discard size for the equation and then consider it afterward

    we've also not considering the impact of playing Dame off the ball. If he's not initiating offense as much he might not be getting as many whistles. Also, Chauncey's rotation seems to take Dame out of the 1st and 3rd Q's in the last 1-2 minutes. That's likely the time that the opponent is in the penalty, so that's probably some missed FT opportunities for Dame as well

    as I mentioned before, it might just be a perfect storm of negative factors: ) way too short an off-season; ) unhealed abdominal injury; ) new ball; ) new offense that takes Dame off the ball; ) new foul rules; ) being in his own head and forcing shots

    that would be a lot to overcome when most of the factors aren't changing
     
  3. Fairly-Hard

    Fairly-Hard Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 2, 2021
    Messages:
    2,413
    Likes Received:
    1,965
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Lets just go full Aldo- Dame Sucks Now. Trade Him before they change the rules more.
     
  4. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 19, 2008
    Messages:
    12,099
    Likes Received:
    19,009
    Trophy Points:
    113
    you forgot the "what have I been telling all of you"....
     
  5. bobf

    bobf Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 19, 2008
    Messages:
    3,836
    Likes Received:
    3,007
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Yeah there are so many factors probably some of each. But what you mentioned about being in at the end of periods could be a big factor. Not sure but I believe I can tell if it’s a penalty FT or at least if they were in the penalty. Not sure if I can tell if it would have been a shooting foul anyway though.
     
  6. Fairly-Hard

    Fairly-Hard Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 2, 2021
    Messages:
    2,413
    Likes Received:
    1,965
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Perfection will not be achieved.
     
    bobf likes this.
  7. julius

    julius Global Moderator Staff Member Global Moderator

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    37,664
    Likes Received:
    23,112
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    singer songwriter
    Location:
    Washington
    If you're a Duck fan, you blame the refs.
     
    Shaboid likes this.
  8. bobf

    bobf Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 19, 2008
    Messages:
    3,836
    Likes Received:
    3,007
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Here are Dame's FTR and he FTR purely from drawing fouls in the penalty that would otherwise be non-shooting. That's a decent chunk. But other players might be picking up some of the slack or maybe we are in the penalty a lot less.

    2015 | FTR 0.315 FTRP 0.077
    2016 | FTR 0.366 FTRP 0.077
    2017 | FTR 0.380 FTRP 0.086
    2018 | FTR 0.335 FTRP 0.106
    2019 | FTR 0.384 FTRP 0.125
    2020 | FTR 0.363 FTRP 0.091
    2021 | FTR 0.181 FTRP 0.043
     
  9. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 19, 2008
    Messages:
    12,099
    Likes Received:
    19,009
    Trophy Points:
    113
    when they are to blame, yes
     
  10. swish3

    swish3 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 7, 2016
    Messages:
    1,186
    Likes Received:
    1,085
    Trophy Points:
    113
     
  11. mook

    mook The 2018-19 season was the best I've seen

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    8,181
    Likes Received:
    3,576
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Buy a recipe binder at CookbookPeople.com
    Location:
    Jolly Olde England
    Something is clearly wrong with him. I wish he'd step away from the game and just work on whatever physical or mental thing is going on with him.
     
  12. mook

    mook The 2018-19 season was the best I've seen

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    8,181
    Likes Received:
    3,576
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Buy a recipe binder at CookbookPeople.com
    Location:
    Jolly Olde England
    ^ It worked once. ^
     
    bobf likes this.

Share This Page