I have the race at 317 to 157. http://www.donkeyelephantrace.com/2008/10/horse-race-10-23-08.html This is amazing, I thought for sure this would end up being a close election, but it seems to be moving rapidly in the direction of an Obama blow out.
Things are certainly going Obama's way lately, that's for sure. No need to worry about hanging chads this year. barfo
Another Ohio poll out early this morning, and I believe from a poll with a significant republican lean shows Obama up 10. McCain declaring war on the Republican party's conservative base is going to sink him into a bigger landslide, as Republicans aren't going to turn out. I think it was Karl Rove who called McCain a moron and other bad things. Obama seems poised to win all of the swing states. Virginia, Ohio, Indiana, Florida, North Carolina, Missouri, North Dakota, Colorado, and Nevada all to Obama it looks like. But the question is how big does this blowout become? Montana seems like fertile ground, as some polls show Obama with the lead and Ron Paul has sizeable support in that state. Georgia, Obama is down close, is leading in early voting, and the Bob Barr factor is in play there too. Those are the only 2 states I think he can expand the map on. Maybe in Arizona if things get really bad with McCain over the next 2 weeks.
How come I never get called for a poll? Or no one that I know, either from work, or school, or family members, or people I know from my country.
I doubt that, even so it doesn't matter. Whether the polls are tainted or not, I wouldn't question the general spread they are presenting. Especially those like Rasmussen.
Since I would call my self a "soft" Obama supporter (not wild about him and numerous disagreements on policy, but I see him as a better alternative to McCain/Palin) I can say that I wouldn't put too much stock in the Polls. I think he'll probably win, but I doubt the margin of victory in the popular vote will be greater than a 3% to 4% spread. I have a feeling that many (especially working class whites in the rust belt) will balk at voting for a black man when it actually comes down to pulling the lever in the polling booth.
