Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by mook, Oct 30, 2021.
<<insert breaking bad habit comment here>>
So not a significant change despite being healthy.
from last year to this season, they are +6.6 on defense, but -6.5 on offense
And haven't we seen a league wide shift in def/off as well? So adjusted, that change is probably smaller on both ends.
I'm giving it 30 games FAMS!
Teams Advanced | Stats | NBA.com
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Click on each heading to see where we stand
one raw stat to track:
Thats the one ive watched since a kid. Only one that matters. But I dont get to caught up with it 8 games in though.
8th in offense, 14th in defense through ten games. 8th in net rating.
Dame's shooting should bring that offense up more, but if the defense hangs around here for much of the year, I don't see any possibilities where we win less than 48/50 games.
We will probably have more games against good opponents than we've had so far, and more difficult travel on road trips than the home heavy schedule we've had.
On the flip side there will probably be more tanking teams at the last third of the season that we can pad some wins against, while we seem deeper than other teams able to withstand starter absence that should increase over 82 games.
Yes maybe Lillard shoots better, but Simons and other will likely shoot worse.
Will be interesting to see. I still like the over on 44 wins, and the Lakers under looks very good. I'm probably way wrong on the GS under though, didn't think that team would be better than last year and they look much better.
those ratings numbers are still moving significantly because of a 1 or 2 game stretch. They were down to 24th in defensive rating at 109.8 when they came off the road trip. Now they are 16th at 107.5. They had a net of +1.2, now it's +2.9
pretty certain that this:
will shift things the other direction
I can't remember what I predicted for the season....IIRC it was 46 or 47 wins. At this point, assuming Dame gets back on track and there are no significant long term injuries, I'd think the Blazers have a better chance of hitting the 50 win mark than dropping below 44 wins
one shorter term factor could be if Portland has any starters getting locked away for Covid protocols. Bad timing on that coud shift 3 or 4 games to the loss column
No way would I have predicted the scoring of Dame and CJ at this point. Astonishing we're playing as well as we are given that.
Roco kind of sucks, but he's actually hitting threes at career highs. He normally takes 6 or 7 a game over his career, so it's kind of weird his attempts are down. This is his worst scoring year of his career by far, except the one year he played center in Houston. He's traditionally been a reliable 13ppg guy.
Dame's assists and Nurk's rebounding are also at career highs. I wonder if Dame is transitioning into the Anti-Kidd, playing the first half of his career as a scorer and the second half as a passer? How weird is that?
Dame continues to be the worst shooter on the team getting minutes.
Nas and Ant are neck and neck in minutes, and each are getting almost as much burn as Nurk.
Roco is the only rotation guy below 14 on PER. (An imperfect measure, to be sure, but it's always a quick barometer to see how much overall talent there is on a team.) To have this many guys playing around league average (15 PER) or better is actually quite nice. The pieces don't really fit and our stars are sucking, and as always our defense could be better, but you look at those PERs and it indicated to me we've got a lot of decent guys who are at least desirable assets.
It’s underestimated the importance that your 6th through 9th guys don’t suck. They can easily cancel out one superstar’s contribution, as we saw last year. We are really deep talent wise. We just need Dame back and we need to get fully in sync both O and D which will take a while. But we are seeing glimpses.
It's going to be a struggle keeping everybody happy. Cody played 4 minutes last night. And that's with Nurk playing only 23. And Ant only played 18 on a night when Dame and Norm were questionable.
Cody in particular deserves more minutes, especially given the paycut he took to come here. (But having said that: he's a clear step down from Nurk, and I'd rather give his minutes to Nance, who was rightly given more burn last night and was pretty much player of the game.)
Is there a site that will give you a team's home stats vs their away stats? I'd like to see a side-by-side comparison.
you can choose to do home/road splits on the nba.com stats page. just add a location filter.
Really speaks to our depth this year
Really speaks to our depth. I think minutes will depend on who we are playing and how well they are playing. That’s how it should be but rarely is in the NBA.
on a good note we’ve won 2 games in a row against two good teams!!! Knock on wood but they seem to be getting a better feel for defense (shutting down teams in 2nd half or at least slowing them down). Also so refreshing seeing coach’s making mid game adjustments
not any advanced metrics, but:
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