Fivethirtyeight simulation

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Denny Crane, Mar 14, 2016.

  1. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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  2. Boob-No-More

    Boob-No-More Why you no hire big man coach?

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    Wow, DAL and HOU currently tied at 33 - 33, but they project HOU with a 93% chance of making the playoffs, but DAL only 33%. I know DAL has lost 5 in a row, but HOU isn't exactly playing great. Must be a strength of schedule thing.

    BNM
     
  3. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    I think they played a simulation a few million "rest of the seasons"
     
  4. BlazerCaravan

    BlazerCaravan Hug a Bigot... to Death

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    Yeah they do 50,000 full league simulations after every game result for the rest of the season.
     
  5. Strenuus

    Strenuus Global Moderator Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Tunchi is pissed.

    I love it.
     
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  6. Tunchi

    Tunchi Well-Known Member

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    I'll come for you when we got bounced from the first round and we have no pick..

    I can tell your a participation trophy kinda guy lol
     
  7. kjironman1

    kjironman1 Well-Known Member

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    Neil will most likely deal for a pick. I'm thinking it won't matter much either way and the Playoffs are better all around.
     
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  8. Strenuus

    Strenuus Global Moderator Staff Member Global Moderator

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    You realize participation trophies are given out to EVERY team, right? 16 teams don't make the playoffs. And, if anything, a pick is a "participation" award.. sooo...

    I don't care about the pick, so you have nothing to come at me for. Playoffs is a success.
     
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  9. Strenuus

    Strenuus Global Moderator Staff Member Global Moderator

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    Tunchi doesn't understand the simple logic things. He's a "participation award" type of guy. A pick is a participation award.
     
  10. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    And what will you do that will be productive?
     
  11. trailblazer18

    trailblazer18 Well-Known Member

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    Looking at the last 14 to 15 games for each of the following teams: Rockets, Blazers, Grizzlies, Mavs, and Jazz. I predict the following final standings.

    5. Rockets 45-37
    6. Trail Blazers 44-38
    7. Grizzlies 42-40 (Not sure who has the tie breaker)
    8. Mavs 42-40
    9. Jazz 41-41

    I'm assuming the huge beat down the Rockets gave the Grizzlies and all their injuries are a sign of how the rest of the season will go for them.
     
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  12. rasheedfan2005

    rasheedfan2005 Well-Known Member

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    i still dont understand this line of thinking, i thought if we got the pick then we lose one next year. so either way we are losing a pick it's just whether it is this year or next. why tank?
     
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  13. dviss1

    dviss1 Emcee Referee

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    He wants us to suck for 2 years so we can only give them a 2nd in 2018.
     
  14. rasheedfan2005

    rasheedfan2005 Well-Known Member

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    fuck that
     
  15. Tunchi

    Tunchi Well-Known Member

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    Naw its not that. We're clearly a piece away from really being dangerous why not use the asset we can get NOW and go for that last piece in a trade? Then next year when our window really starts who cares about a draft pick. Our window does not start this year, this is just the appetizer so we need all the assets we can get NOW
     
  16. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    I'm curious--what do you think are the primary reasons that we are winning more games than we should have (if we were seeking to keep the pick)? Is Stotts coaching too hard? Are guys playing over their heads? Are Dame/CJ playing too much? Something else? Help me understand what you think the Blazers should have done differently this year to win fewer games.
     
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  17. B-Roy

    B-Roy If it takes months

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    upload_2016-3-16_12-44-34.png

    Look at that. I've never seen a discrepancy that big.
     
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  18. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Forum Troll

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    Umm playoff experience is an asset.......Some people just don't get it.
     
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  19. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Pretty crazy. Probably just slightly skewed by their 49-point loss last night and their 50-point loss to Golden State at the beginning of the season. Absent those two games, they have a positive point differential.
     
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  20. B-Roy

    B-Roy If it takes months

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    17th on offense 19th on defense. Those are pretty bad. Portland is 6th and 19th in comparison and are about 4 games behind.

    Memphis has been extremely lucky.
     
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