Here are the Blazers projected playoff odds from the top 3 sites as of 4/2/2017: ESPN's NBA BPI Playoff Odds: Projected Record = 41-41 Change = No Change Odds of Making the Playoffs = 97.3% Change = +1.7% Projected Finish = 8th FiveThirtyEight.com 2016-17 NBA Predictions: Projected Record = 41-41 Change = No Change Odds of Making the Playoffs = 99.0% Change = +1.0% Projected Finish = 8th Basketball-Reference.com Playoff Probability Report: Projected Record = 40.7-41.3 Change = +0.2 wins Odds of Making the Playoffs = 93.3% Change = +3.8% Projected Finish = 8th Consensus: Projected Record = 41-41 Change = No Change Odds of Making the Playoffs = 96.5% Change = +2.1% The Blazers won their season best 6th in a row last night, matching the team's longest winning streak of the 2015-16 season. Time to bump this thread... With six games remaining, or magic number over DEN is four. Any combination of POR wins and DEN losses that adds up to four guarantees we finish ahead of them in the final standings. Our magic number over NOP is two. NOP currently holds the tie breaker over POR. They lead the season series 2-1. Any combination of POR wins and NOP losses that adds up to two guarantees we finish ahead of them in the final standings. We play NOP in Portland on the final game of the regular season. Let's hope we have clinched the 8th seed by then. Portland Trail Blazers Magic number: 4 over DEN, 2 over NOP Strength of schedule: .512 (not easy) Remaining games: Six: @MIN, @UTA, MIN, UTA, SAS, NOP Tiebreaker(s): Owns the tiebreaker over DEN. Currently does not own the tiebreaker over NOP Current Streak: Won 6 Last 10 Games: 9-1 Denver Nuggets Tragic number: 4 Strength of schedule: .554 (brutal) Remaining games: Seven: @MIA, @NOP, @HOU, NOP, OKC, @DAL, @OKC Tiebreaker: POR owns the tiebreaker Current Streak: Lost 3 Last 10 Games: 5-5 New Orleans Pelicans Tragic number: 2 Strength of schedule: .529 (tough) Remaining games: Six: CHI, DEN, @DEN, @GSW, @LAL, @POR Tiebreaker: Currently holds the tiebreaker over POR Current Streak: Won 2 Last 10 Games: 7-3 BNM
Man, with Nurkic I'd have felt like catching Memphis was possible, but winning at Utah without him is going to be tough.
With Nurk, I really thought MY dream scenario would come to fruition. Denver stays half a game behind us. and Memphis slips down to 9th. UGGGH!
Blazers record: 38-38 1) Blazers have made it to .500, sweeeeeet! Just need to go 3-3 in the last 6 to stay there. 2) +/- improved to -0.6. Blazers have scored 8250 points, given up 8293. To get to even, need to outscore opponents by 43 points in 6 games = 7.16 ppg. 3) Still 11th in Ortg (0.3 behind Tpups for 10th, still) 4) Steady at 23rd in Drtg Streaks: Won 9-1 in last 10 6 game win streak
Ha! Math is definitely my Strong Suit, but not my Song Suit. Obviously, my editing could use help, though
Here are the Blazers projected playoff odds from the top 3 sites as of 4/3/2017: ESPN's NBA BPI Playoff Odds: Projected Record = 41-41 Change = No Change Odds of Making the Playoffs = 95.4% Change = -1.9% Projected Finish = 8th FiveThirtyEight.com 2016-17 NBA Predictions: Projected Record = 41-41 Change = No Change Odds of Making the Playoffs = 97.0% Change = -2.0% Projected Finish = 8th Basketball-Reference.com Playoff Probability Report: Projected Record = 40.8-41.2 Change = +0.1 wins Odds of Making the Playoffs = 87.8% Change = -5.5% Projected Finish = 8th Consensus: Projected Record = 41-41 Change = No Change Odds of Making the Playoffs = 93.4% Change = -3.1% DEN continues to befuddle the odds makers and defy the simulations. Last night, they continued their recent trend of winning games they shouldn't. Thankfully for the Blazers, they have also been losing games they should win. So, the Blazers magic number over DEN remains at 4. NOP lost last night to the Bulls. So, that takes the Blazers magic number over the Pelicans down to 1. The Blazers could eliminate NOP from playoff contention with a win tonight in MIN. DEN and NOP play each other twice this week. The good news, is someone has to lose those games. The bad news is that if NOP has been eliminated from making the playoffs they will likely rest Anthony Davis, and perhaps Demarcus Cousins. What should have been two competitive games could end up being two gimmes for DEN Portland Trail Blazers Magic number(s): 4 over DEN, 1 over NOP Strength of schedule: .510 (not easy) Remaining games: Six: @MIN, @UTA, MIN, UTA, SAS, NOP Tiebreaker(s): Owns the tiebreaker over DEN. Currently does not own the tiebreaker over NOP Current Streak: Won 6 Last 10 Games: 9-1 Denver Nuggets Tragic number: 4 Strength of schedule: .549 (brutal) Remaining games: Six: @NOP, @HOU, NOP, OKC, @DAL, @OKC Tiebreaker: POR owns the tiebreaker Current Streak: Won 1 Last 10 Games: 5-5 New Orleans Pelicans Tragic number: 1 Strength of schedule: .577 (very brutal) Remaining games: Five: DEN, @DEN, @GSW, @LAL, @POR Tiebreaker: Currently holds the tiebreaker over POR Current Streak: Lost 1 Last 10 Games: 6-4 BNM
SAS will likely have the second seed sewn up and will rest starters, but with their system that doesn't always mean it will be an easy win. I doubt UTA rests anyone. These games are hugely important to them. They are 1/2 game ahead of LAC for the HCA in their first round series. A lot of the UTA core players have little to no post season experience, and for whatever reason LAC seems to just flat out own the Jazz. I think they will try to do everything they can to secure HCA for that series - and that means playing to win n both of our games against them. BNM
