Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by THE HCP, Aug 2, 2019.
And we still have a open roster spot, Neil has a plan for the Deadline
Right on. As far as D, you really think we got better? Man, I think we will miss Mo and Chief’s defense out there to be honest.
And win total wise, I don’t think this is going to be a season where if we win less than we did last season we re any worse. The west is loaded, and we are going to have battles night in and night out. We could honestly play better than last year and get 49 wins or so.
I've created a pretty realistic Excel simulation. Odds to win each game are based on a 50-win pace.
Trends I'm noticing:
- If the Blazers are at .500 or better at the end of November, we're in good shape
- The schedule is built for large winning streaks later in the season
Will make a video about it.
You might be right, but like other members of the media, haven’t you underestimated us the last few years?
I went through our entire schedule, analysed match ups, days off between games, length of road trips and home stands, and I've come to the conclusion that we're going... 82-0!
Oh I’ll be the first one to admit that.
I just like that someone called HCP a member of the media!
Saw that too. Wonder what it takes to be considered “media”? I had a show on NBA.com for a few years. I have a league issued media credential from the MLS,Boxing,NFL,NBA and the PGA. But it’s not like I’m a “columnist” I’m not hosting a show currently. I do drop mad knowledge on here, that must mean something, right?
Nice edit, took me a bit to find it though.
Yup. I was being subtle!
just got my tickets to the memorial coliseum game. nostalgia will be in full effect!
Nice. I got mine today as well. Section 11.
nice! i went cheap. section 85 row D. $35 a ticket.
Pelton has made so many horrible predictions, for so many years, using his flawed system. I'm baffled that anyone takes him serious, let alone pay to read his garbage predictions. Bone's ideas makes 10 times more sense than Pelton's.
I usually don't care about national predictions and simulations...
But fuck these, it's so infuriating. The Blazers have made the playoffs 6 years in a row, the last two as the 3 seed, and are coming off a WCF appearance yet only have a 35% chance at making the playoffs? The amount of disrespect has gotten to a stupid level.
And you know what Pelton? If your system undervalues a team every year then your prediction model doesn't fucking work.
Wow! 13 of the first 18 on the road? One of the home games is a B2B on a Away-Home turnaround of 3 games in 4 nights against Toronto. Of the away game two are in San Antonio, one is Houston, Clippers, Golden State, Milwaukee, Dallas (who will be no push over this year) Couple of their toughest games were in Dallas last year. Then they also play New Orleans who probably will be a tough match for the Blazers.
Any way you cut this the Blazers have an absolute Brutal first month and a half. They get a little home cookin in December. If they can go 10-10 by the first of December they might get out of this pretty well. I see December as 9-5. So 19-15 by the first of the year. This place will be in full meltdown mode calling for complete rebuilds and the firing of the coach i'm sure.
January looks like 8-7. Huge road trip to start out but they could 3-2 on that 5 game to start the month. But with Milwaukee and Golden State at home which could be losses. and Lakers, Houston (Both Home and Away), Minny and Indiana??? January does not look like an easy month either. 27-22 by the end of January.
February is a 12 game both but it's leap year so they get an extra day. But they play it so it's not a day off. Two B2B's with a Spurs-Jazz turnaround and a Pels Griz road B2B. Teams they could beat but situational B2B's can kill you. Feb looks like 7-5 at best. 34-27 by March 1st.
March is the month to make a move if they are gonna win some serious games. 6 game home stand followed by 6 games on the road that they can do well in. Gonna go with 9-6 in March.
43-33 by April 1st.
4-2 in April puts them at 47-35.
Not as lofty as i would like to hope for. But that is as brutal of a schedule as i have seen in years. If the Blazers win 50 this year they will have over achieved IMO.
Kjironman is a fan!!!
That is pretty much exactly the way it looks to me.
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