2019-20 Blazers Schedule.....

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by THE HCP, Aug 2, 2019.

  1. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    This is what gets me. Same with 538 projections. Change up your equations then.

    Here's the WC list:

    1. HOU -- 53.7 -- playoffs 99%
    2. DEN -- 53.3 -- 99%
    3. LAL -- 47.9 -- 90%
    4. LAC -- 47.8 -- 87%
    5. UTA -- 46.8 -- 86%
    6. GSW -- 46.4 -- 84%
    7. DAL -- 44.0 -- 70%
    8. POR -- 40.2 -- 35%
    9. SAC -- 39.9 -- 34%
    10. MIN --30.5 -- 31%
    11. SAS -- 38.6
    12. NOP -- 38.5
    13. PHX -- 38
    14. OKC -- 36.6
    15. MEM -- 31.9

    So it says we'll be closer to PHX than Dallas.

    Curious how they measure "correctly" but 57.5 is a horrible record no matter how you slice it. I can correctly predict the lines by just eye balling it better than that.
     
    Last edited: Aug 16, 2019
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  2. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    Nice breakdown. Thats why I'm going with #45WinsFAMS
     
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  3. hoopsjock

    hoopsjock Well-Known Member

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    Exactly, if you're using some fancy analytical based formula you should be more accurate than people who just predict seeding otherwise what's the point?

    To say that we'll be 13 games behind both Houston and Denver is ludicrous. Last year 9 games separated 1 from 8 in the West. Only 6 games separated 2 from 8. I don't think any of these teams are good enough (some because of injury) to separate from the pack by that much. To me it's going to be a similar battle to the last couple years.
     
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  4. kjironman1

    kjironman1 Talkin Truth! and Pissin People off!

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    Seriously that is a rough schedule this year. They are going to have to really make the most of the games they have some rest on. I would also like to see them start using the scheduled rest games eventually. Just no need to try to go into Oakland and play huge minutes on the fourth game in five nights when Golden State is on two days rest. Let the end guys push the ball all night and force the Warriors to work harder.

    Do they give the media guys any minutes reductions? Maybe extra treats in the truck? Oops there is go calling you media? That might catch on if it's said a third time?
     
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  5. kjironman1

    kjironman1 Talkin Truth! and Pissin People off!

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    Exactly! How the flying fuck do they come up with 13 games between 1st and 8th seed? then here is the other thing. seriously 23 games between 1st and 10th seed? What year in the last 20 has there ever been that kind of gap? every year there is a dog fight between 6-10. This whole 16 game gap between 6-10 is a head scratcher for sure? The one place in most recent years there has been a gap is 1-2-3. Usually one team seams to have a nice 4 or 5 game cushion. But that is it.
     
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  6. tlongII

    tlongII Legendary Poster

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    Houston??? They will not be that good.
     
  7. BonesJones

    BonesJones We got shooters.

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    I think we'll be on a 50-win pace if we are.
     
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  8. kjironman1

    kjironman1 Talkin Truth! and Pissin People off!

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    Sure hope so. My number from the system i have used for a while came up 47. But there are always circumstances we can't always see. I pretty much do the same system you do but way way less involved. I look at road vs home and game stretches with time and travel. Gotta figure a second of a B2B in Utah after playing the Spurs on National TV at home is probably gonna be a tough game. Most times i would give that 50/50 but in that instance i give it about a 25% chance and really it's probably more like 10%. Utah is always a tough place to win a game.
    Things like that are tough to categorize.

    I would be very happy with a 50 win season for sure.
     
  9. Strenuus

    Strenuus Moderator Staff Member Moderator

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    I'm officially in wait and see mode.

    55 wins is out.
     
  10. B-Roy

    B-Roy Blazer Fan

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    Their numbers assume static rosters and do not evaluate things like:

    - Injuries, there are always injuries each year that wildly swing projections.
    - Player movement - you can't predict this, and it changes a team's outlook during the season
    - Post all-star break team goals. A lot of bad teams win more games at the beginning of the season when playoffs are still in reach. Once teams start facing the reality of missing the playoffs there is a shift in strategy for many teams (tanking).
    - Schedule plays a big part in overall records by the end of the year. Playing OKC at the beginning of the year versus end of the year is a completely different matchup.
     
  11. BonesJones

    BonesJones We got shooters.

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    Still doesnt excuse always underrating us. Thats all in-season stuff.
     
  12. e_blazer

    e_blazer Rip City Fan

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    - Zach Collins blowing up.

    - Anfernee Simons blowing up.

    - @THE HCP underestimation factor. If he’s going with 45 wins, you can bet on #55WinsFAMS.
     
  13. ABM

    ABM Happily Married In Music City, USA!

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  14. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Well-Known Member

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    Several of us could share the Meyers blame with ya. Don't take that one harsh.

    But You own ET! Lol
     

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