2024 NBA Draft Thread

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by BankTeller, Jul 25, 2023.

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The "Way too Early' Draft prognostication

  1. Holland

    8 vote(s)
    16.3%
  2. Sarr

    41 vote(s)
    83.7%
  3. Edwards

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  1. blazerkor

    blazerkor Well-Known Member

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  2. PCmor7

    PCmor7 Generational Poster

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    This ^ has nothing to do with the post you commented on. You're literally coming down on me telling HCP to let forum members talk about their team by saying we need to let forum members talk about their team.

    Good grief. You can agree with his sentiment that this is a weak-looking draft. But he's using that sentiment as an avenue to take shots at fans for having interest in the draft.

    Stop it with the both sides baloney. You agreed with him except that you were agreeing with the point I made. Instead of trying to save face, just say "My bad" and bow out a little more gracefully.
     
  3. PCmor7

    PCmor7 Generational Poster

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    If you have to go through this level of mental gymnastics to defend HCP coming down on fellow forum members every couple of days, then he's doing it wrong.
     
  4. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    Sorry, I was not more clear. When I said "other than the #1 pick" I already included Paolo.
     
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  5. crandc

    crandc Well-Known Member

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    Thursday, second round or presidential debate?
     
  6. Freshtown

    Freshtown Well-Known Member

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  7. Hoopguru

    Hoopguru Well-Known Member

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    2nd round for me
     
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  8. UKRAINEFAN

    UKRAINEFAN Well-Known Member

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    I think the draft will be over by the time the debate starts.
     
  9. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    They will both be painful to watch, but one of them I can tape and watch later. I need to know the draft in real-time.

    "Clowns to the left of me Jokers to the right....
     
  10. UKRAINEFAN

    UKRAINEFAN Well-Known Member

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    Could there be a Zach Edey and Canada reunion?
    The one green room invitee who turned down his invitation is Purdue's Zach Edey, who plans to watch the draft from home. Edey has slowly crept up draft boards and seems to have been particularly helped by the NBA draft combine, where he demonstrated impressive agility and speed for his 7-2 frame.

    The draft predictor model gives Edey quite a large range, with a 90% chance he goes somewhere from picks Nos. 12 to 21. The Toronto Raptors have picks No. 19 and No. 31. Their need at center isn't immediate, with Jakob Poeltl and Kelly Olynyk both under contract, but if they like Edey, they'll likely need to take him at No. 19. He has a 29% shot at being on the board at No. 19, but a less than 1% chance to still be around at No. 31. Edey, 22, was born in Toronto and lived there until he was in high school.
    https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id...casting-round-1-picks-risers-fallers-fan-mock
     
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  11. UKRAINEFAN

    UKRAINEFAN Well-Known Member

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    What is Nikola Topic's expected draft range?
    Just two weeks ago, Nikola Topic was consistently projected in the top 10 picks and seemed unlikely to be on the board in the teens. After news of a partially torn ACL, his draft range has widened considerably. The model has Topic's most likely landing spot as No. 10 to the Utah Jazz, a selection that would have been considered a coup before the injury news. Now he has a 65% chance to still be available then.

    Topic's situation brings some recent projected lottery picks to mind. Cam Whitmore slid far past where mock drafts had him landing in 2023, partially a result of medical concerns that came late in the draft process. Michael Porter Jr.'s surgery was well in advance of the 2018 draft, and mock drafts were better able to capture his slide beforehand, projecting him within range of his selection to the Nuggets at No. 14.

    Whether Topic's result is more like Whitmore's or Porter's remains to be seen. Given the uncertainty around the injury and how that affects mock drafts, Topic has a greater than 10% shot to go at every pick from No. 8 to No. 13 but is still given more than a 1% chance to go as high as No. 4 and as low as No. 20.
     
  12. UKRAINEFAN

    UKRAINEFAN Well-Known Member

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  13. UKRAINEFAN

    UKRAINEFAN Well-Known Member

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    You can use this tool to get an idea what chance there is a certain player will be available at a certain draft spot. For esample, only a 36% chance Dadiet will be available at #34

    https://espnanalytics.com/nba-draft-predictor/
     
  14. UKRAINEFAN

    UKRAINEFAN Well-Known Member

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    For anyone who loves Willams, 90% chance he will be available at 7. only a 5 % chance Castle would be available. Looks like almost a sure thing that Salaun would b available there, but only 2% chance he will be there at 14.
     
  15. Natebishop3

    Natebishop3 Don't tread on me!

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    I think Williams makes a lot of sense. He has the big swing potential, but he has a higher floor than Salaun I think. But I could also see them taking Salaun just because they can afford to wait. There is zero expectation to be good next year.
     
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  16. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    Of course, this is true with no matter who we choose. I think both have high ceilings, but I think Cody is more skilled, and thus the safer bet.
     
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  17. B-Roy

    B-Roy If it takes months

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    I've actually come around on both Edey and Clingan over the last month. Taking Edey at 7 would be a bit much, but I can kind of understand it.

    More than anything, I'm glad all the intel is that the Blazers are not married to Ayton. I can't believe the amount of stuff I read on other places where fans seem somehow tied to Ayton.
     
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  18. Natebishop3

    Natebishop3 Don't tread on me!

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    He's the safer bet, for sure.

    But Salaun is a freak. That's why he's so intriguing. Dude has a 9'2 standing reach. I don't think he's Giannis, but he's the Giannis kind of swing in this draft that we all wish we had made back in 2013.
     
  19. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    Yeah, I agree on the standing reach part, especially since he is also effective on the perimeter. Good combination of skills.
    It is the one thing that slightly separates him from a lot of others. But I still lean toward Cody.
     
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  20. Natebishop3

    Natebishop3 Don't tread on me!

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    I think that's the nice part about this draft. There's 4-5 dudes that I'm fine with them taking at 7. Very few players would actually piss me off if they took them.
     
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