Nah it isn't that big a jump. Add 10 games at 40% win rate and you get 4 games. You could say 50% win rate and say 5 games. Any way you stretch it it ain't getting 48 wins from 39.5. Wishful thinking is nice but 41 wins would be good for this team IMO.
If they were 42-30 in 72 games, that's nearly a 60% win rate, so yes, the same rate applied over 82 games would be 48-34.
Yeah or instead of you could say, you could just do the math and see that the win rate was 58.3%. So getting 48 wins from 39.5 is a stretch of .17 wins... so not really a stretch at all just a logical rounding up from 47.83 to 48.
The media (and many fans) have short memories. Last years team was a dumpster fire, and that would be the case even WITH a healthy Damian. You put a healthy Damian together with a better starting 5, and 10th is laughably low.
I think the thing IS, 5-10 probably won't be a big spread win wise. But also, it's funny that the Lakers are still ahead of the Blazers. LeBron and Davis haven't shown they're capable of playing a whole season + their bench is anemic.
I could see Minny struggling with two guys that big and although somewhat athletic for the 5, very slow for the modern 4. So I don't love the way they built this roster. That being said if Anthony Edwards takes his game up to an even higher level this season, yikes! As far as Denver goes, who the fuck has us better than them if we're both healthy? I mean Murray, KCP, MPJ, Gordon and Joker with guys like Jeff Green, Ish Smith and Bruce Brown off the bench... that's a team that can contend.
I actually see Minny having an amazing season in the regular season and flaming out in the playoffs. I think all the points you made don’t become a problem until they are magnified in the postseason.
The projects don’t seem to be slighting the Blazers, I can’t even be mad at the projections. At least this year, if we don’t make the playoffs, we’ll have a late lotto pick in a draft that I’m much more excited about. That being said, I’m fairly certain Dame carries us into the playoffs if we are in a play-in game.
It was the Fonz and Sleeper guys. Would have to look. They both said we have more talent than those two teams. Man people are blinded by that pinwheel I swear.
Oh, Minny has three seriously elite players and good role players, I just don't know about the fit but obviously a lot more talent than us. Denver is just laughable they've got to be one of the top 5 teams in the league as far as talent goes and we're a middling team. I don't think we're 10th in the West but just because I think we're 7th doesn't mean we're a lot better than 10th and that's with my bias as a fan of the team.
Minnesota sports teams have perfected the art of being bad no matter their talent level - any assumption of their success is insane.
Why would you add 10 at 40% when they played 58% ball all year? 48-34 is equivalent of 42-30. So if we’re better than that team, we should be pushing 50. If not, is Dame even an All Star anymore? And why did we extend him?
Anthony edwards is an absolute stud that will only get better. Russell, Towns or Gobert would be our 2nd best player. They will be better than us.
If you want to say 60% I'm good with that. Still doesn't make 48. The line is 39.5. 60% of 10 is 6. 39.5 + 6 = 45.5 Now lets get back to reality here. This team ain't winning 48 games.