Bama hasnt played very well in the last few weeks. They wont make it to the NCG playing like this. People on TV keep mentioning a possible Texas vs Fla BCS Championship Game..... Tell me how does Texas have a chance to play for the National Title Game? If Fla wins out and if TexTech loses against Oklahoma or Baylor? TTU will play for the B12 CCG not Texas because TTU beat Texas. So Texas shouldn't even be in the convo concerning the BCS CG. If ALA wins out and TTU loses one game it will be Ala vs TTU not Texas, again cause TTU beat Texas and Texas wont even play for the B12 Championship. The only way I can see Texas still in the Picture is if TTU loses their last 2 conference games and Texas jumps them to play in the B12 CG and wins it. I dont see TTU losing to both Okl and Baylor,Okl maybe, even then TTU will still have the tie breaker over Texas to play for the B12 CG. Also Alabama will have to lose either 1 or 2 games or just the SEC CG. So TTU has to lose 2 regular season games and Alabama and FLA will have to lose 2 for Texas to be even considered. TOP 3 Options for the BCS CG with these teams not losing more than 1 game and winning their Conference... ALA(13-0) vs TTU(13-0) FLA(12-1) vs TTU(12-1) ALA (12-1) vs TTU(12-1)-(with 1 regular season loss and winning their CCG) If TTU's only loss is their conference Championship , they would still be ahead of Texas because they beat Texas and won the B12 South. FLA vs TEX is a long shot...TTU would have to lose its last 2 games against B12 South Opp.'s, then Texas would jump TTU and then win the B12 Championship Game. Heck USC has a better chance than Texas. There should be a rule.."You have to win or play in your Conference CG to be considered for the BCS Championship Game". Obviously teams with more than one loss wouldn't be in the conversation, unless all the Top 4 or 5 teams have more than 1 loss.
If OU beats Tech, there will be a 3 way tie in the South assuming they all win out. If that's the case, Texas will get the nod in the Big XII title game because they're the highest in the BCS Standings at 3. That's how they break the tie. They're going on the assumption that the polls don't move or keep OU ahead of Texas, despite beating Tech, because they lost to Texas earlier this season. Polls will be key. We saw how last yr a public outcry of UGA not winning their conf allowing LSU to jump from 7 after a few losses that last weekend. It's essentially an unwritten rule already about winning/playing conf title game. But this year, controversy could be between Texas-OU-Texas Tech if it all plays out that way.
TTU should get the tie breaker over UT because they beat them. Texas wont even play for the B12 CG. Unless like I said before TTU loses out. TTU should still be ahead of UT if they lose to UO,cause they BEAT TEXAS.
it's a 3 way tie. tech beat texas. texas beat ou. and ou will have beaten tech. if ou beats tech, each team will have one loss in conference and each team will be 1-1 against the other two teams. the tiebreaker in that situation goes to bcs rankings. tech has no shot at being ahead of texas and ou in the bcs. they won't be ahead in the computers because of their shitty nonconference schedule(and texas playing missouri in conference helps texas). and they won't be ahead in the polls because they just lost. however, there is no way of knowing who will be ahead between texas and ou. texas will probably still hold the lead in the computers but with ou playing tech and osu, texas probably won't be ahead by a whole lot. and since they are even in the polls right now, you'd think ou would probably take at least a slight edge. i'd give the edge to texas though. tech beat texas in lubbock. if ou wins, it will be in norman. but texas beat ou in dallas at a neutral site.
in reality the most likely bcs title game at this point in the winner of alabama/florida vs whoever is ranked higher in the bcs rankings at the end of the regular season of texas/tech/ou. if florida or alabama loses before the sec championship game or the higher ranked team of texas/tech/ou loses to missouri in the big 12 title game, that opens up a chance for usc to possibly make the game as long as they win out and also makes it possible that one of the one loss big 12 teams that didn't make the championship game could still play for the national title.
You may be right, but Tech doesnt have a shitty schedule.. if they beat UO that will be 4 top 25 teams they beat this year.
i am right and tech has a shitty nonconference schedule like i said. texas, tech, and ou play in the same division of the same conference so their schedules are going to be very similar. this season from the big 12 north, tech and ou play kansas, kansas state, and nebraska. texas plays missouri, kansas, and colorado. so that gives texas an edge as far as strength of schedule is concerned in conference. what really hurts tech though is their nonconference schedule. they played two IAA teams, smu, and nevada. pretty much the worst nonconference schedule possible. ou and texas both played much better nonconference schedules. ou played two good teams(two loss cincinnati and tcu) and two terrible teams(washington and IAA chattanooga). texas played 4 mediocre teams.
