Politics Enough with the Hillary cult: Her admirers ignore reality, dream of worshipping a queen

Not really a Stockman fan. Lefties love the guy because he didn't agree 100% with Reaganomics.

But this is just brilliantly written, especially the first part.

http://davidstockmanscontracorner.com/anything-trumps-hillary/

It’s all over except the shouting. That is, the primary election season effectively ended last night and now the actual shouting match between Hillary and The Donald begins.

This will surely be the most entertaining election in US history, and probably the most pointless, too. After all, Hillary wants to use government to make Government Great Again. And Trump promises to use government to make America Great Again.

But government doesn’t make anything great, including itself. It is a necessary evil that always and everywhere is driven toward self-aggrandizement and mission creep by the politicians and special interest lobbies which control its operations.

What government actually does is thwart the capacity of the people to pursue their own vision of greatness by encumbering their economic lives with burdensome taxation, regulation, roadblocks to opportunity and monetary fraud while saddling their public lives with endless Nanny State impositions and encroachments upon their personal liberty.

And, most especially, what the central state does in its current incarnation as Imperial Washington is to sabotage national greatness, not foster it, and saddle the economically listing American nation with a debilitating $800 billion national security apparatus that is wholly unnecessary.

 

Now it's 6.7.

Thanks Obama.

 

http://www.nj.com/politics/index.ss...ise_in_republican_presidential_race_fade.html

But don't expect Trump's surge to last, political experts say — especially after his attack on U.S. Sen. John McCain's war record Saturday.

"Is he the potential Republican nominee? No," said Larry Sabato, a political science professor at the University of Virginia. "I just can't imagine it. At some point, reality will dawn on the Republican Party."


http://www.newsmax.com/Headline/larry-sabato-donald-trump-real-candidates/2015/08/13/id/669925/

Donald Trump may be the current GOP front-runner, but it's "doubtful in the extreme" that he will become the eventual nominee, let alone president, University of Virginia political scientist Larry Sabato says.

"The Summer of Trump is unlikely to turn into a Year of Trump," Sabato, who heads the university's Center for Politics, writes in a "Crystal Ball" report released Thursday, in which he ranks the presidential candidates while putting Trump into a category of his own: "The Un-Nominatable Front-runner."

"Trump is an early season fling for many people, fun while it lasts but doomed to break up somewhere along the path to the nomination," Sabato said. And while Trump is still topping polls, Sabato believes there are some signs that his polling numbers "may have peaked," and pointed to statistics that show few people are really actually paying attention to the race.

On MTP, MSNBC:

Sabato: Clinton Leads Trump In General

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-president/

Sabato's Crystal Ball

 

Well it's not really that everyone underestimated Donald Trump.

It's that everyone overestimated Republican voters.

barfo

 

I can see cats voting for Trump, you can never trust a cat. Dogs will never vote Trump.

 

You two both sound like the prognosticators saying Trump had no chance all along.

I'm AFRAID he is going to win. This election cycle has been like no other. Trump has an uncanny ability to appeal to an awful lot of people and diminish and demolish opponents. He's barely begun to train his insults toward Hiliar.

 

Well, maybe you can give him a few tips, you seem to be up to speed.

barfo

 

The assumptions being made are that the electoral map for Obama will be the same for Hiliar.

Obama, like Trump (only in this sense), was a rock star, game changer, etc.

The previous status quo for electoral results looked something like this:


Granted Obama won, so the electoral map FOR HIM was > 270 EVs. But why not start with this map as the baseline?

Because if you predict Hiliar can't lose, you discourage people from voting. Anti-democratic, no?

 

Because the demographics of 2016 are more like the demographics of 2012 than they are like the demographics of 2004.

barfo

 

Little of what Trump has been doing is consistent with how presidential races have been run and won (or lost). He's not out there raising a $billion+ and he's filling sports stadia with huge crowds.

When he's not running a conventional campaign, why apply conventional metrics when trying to prognosticate?

If I were running a campaign against Hiliar, I'd run ads showing her lying outright. Emphasize how she is psychotic about it.

I'd run ads showing her as Secy. of State, mention it's her only real experience in the executive branch, then show pictures of bombed out Libya and Syria and the refugee crisis. All her doing, she was the Secy of State, after all.

Benghazi ad: mention how we lost the first ambassador since the Carter years, and show her screaming, "what difference does it make?" Maybe a clip from her red phone, "who do you want to answer it at 3AM?"

The email server scandal. If not criminal, it does speak to her willingness to follow rules and transparent governing.

It's like shooting fish in a barrel.

 

Says who?

The statewide election results in 2010 and 2014 say you're wrong.

 

6.2.

Sense a trend?

 

Sez me.

Election results and demographics aren't the same thing.

Statewide elections and presidential elections aren't the same thing.

Off-year elections and presidential year elections aren't the same thing.

barfo

 

Ooh, a trend.

If the trend reverses, will you tell us about it? Or will you just never mention the subject again?

barfo

 

Yep, I'll mention it whatever it is.