Zombie Fire Olshey

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Fez Hammersticks, Dec 26, 2016.

  1. Sarni

    Sarni Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 9, 2016
    Messages:
    3,324
    Likes Received:
    2,782
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Kraków, Poland
    We cannot keep him unless someone gets traded for a player significantly cheaper. We handed $100M to our backcourt and Meyers.
     
  2. Sarni

    Sarni Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 9, 2016
    Messages:
    3,324
    Likes Received:
    2,782
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Kraków, Poland
    Who will offer him $20M? I don't see it. It won't be another Summer of cap going $20M up, will it? Only like $8M from $94M to $102M and a lot of teams will still have terrible contracts from this year on their books. Moreover there will be plenty of good free agents available who will command a lot of money - Paul, Griffin, Millsap etc. Plumlee getting $20M does not seem very likely.
     
  3. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    Oct 5, 2008
    Messages:
    116,476
    Likes Received:
    114,480
    Trophy Points:
    115
  4. Nate

    Nate #itsokaytobewhite #wakandaforever BANNED

    Joined:
    Jan 28, 2016
    Messages:
    2,663
    Likes Received:
    1,725
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Well when those guys are gonna be getting 30+ million a year. I think plumlee might get 20.
     
  5. jlprk

    jlprk The ESPN mod is insane.

    Joined:
    Sep 25, 2009
    Messages:
    30,059
    Likes Received:
    8,157
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    retired, while you work!
    If Leonard got 10, I don't see why Plumlee won't get 20, since he's 5 times as effective. I don't remember my times tables from 4th grade, but I think that's right.
     
    BBert, riverman, Minstrel and 2 others like this.
  6. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    May 24, 2007
    Messages:
    72,958
    Likes Received:
    10,630
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Never lost a case
    Location:
    Boston Legal
    Once you're at the cap, you can only use exceptions to go over. The only exception we had, aside from bird exceptions used to sign Crabbe and the others is the vet minimum. Look around the league at vet minimum guys. That's a huge drop off from the talent we have, such as it is.

    You won't really compete if you refuse to sign players when you can.

    The space between the cap and LT, if you have players signed, allows you to trade and stay over the cap. That's a huge advantage. If not, you'd be packaging 3-for-1 to meet the trade restrictions, and signing D League guys to fill out the roster.

    We wouldn't have guys better than Crabbe, we'd have guys worse than Connaughton, and Connaughton as 6th man. If you think we're bad now, we'd really be bad. With no easy way to get over the cap again.
     
    BonesJones, BBert, e_blazer and 3 others like this.
  7. Nikolokolus

    Nikolokolus There's always next year

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2008
    Messages:
    30,704
    Likes Received:
    6,198
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Sounds like a plan to do a proper rebuild instead of the half-baked one we got instead?
     
  8. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    May 24, 2007
    Messages:
    72,958
    Likes Received:
    10,630
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Never lost a case
    Location:
    Boston Legal
    It is the plan executed. It makes 100% sense, and a no-brainer. Not half-baked.

    No matter how dissatisfied we are, our players all have trade value and could be easily moved.

    I'm as sure as sure can be that every one of last season's new contracts for a 2nd round pick (to salary dump), or to trade for players of equal salary.

    We are rebuilding the team. This is year 2, and we're not horrible for year 2.
     
    HailBlazers likes this.
  9. oldfisherman

    oldfisherman Unicorn Wrangler

    Joined:
    Jan 18, 2015
    Messages:
    3,381
    Likes Received:
    4,983
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Podunk suburbs
    The plan only made sense if the contracts where for one season, this season.
    When you extend the contracts out for three more seasons, it was a very dumb move.
    Next season, Olshey could be paying luxury tax on his draft picks, before he re-signs Plumlee.

    We have a few players with smaller contracts that might net a second round pick, maybe. Given the depth of the draft, why would any GM want to help Olshey out, UNLESS Olshey sweetened the deal by adding a draft pick to move a contract.

    Anyway you paint this, Olshey will need help from other GMs just to keep the starters we have. Improving our stating lineup through trades is next to impossible. Improving the team through the draft is a long term project.
     
    riverman, Nikolokolus and Minstrel like this.
  10. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    May 24, 2007
    Messages:
    72,958
    Likes Received:
    10,630
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Never lost a case
    Location:
    Boston Legal
    You act like Olshey can't make trades. Since he can, he's not going to be paying the LT if he doesn't want to. It's really obvious. It's not the end of the world if he does pay the tax for a season to keep the guys he wants around.

    The questions are if he wants to keep Plums, who has to go to make room for his contract. At least one player is going to be gone as it is, probably two.

    To get under the LT next season, we don't re-sign Plums and trade Davis and Leonard for 2nd round picks. A lot of GMs would make those trades.

    Improving the roster through trades is trivial. We have salaries to match all sorts of other teams' contracts, and players other teams would most certainly want. Being over the cap doesn't preclude making trades.

    Other GMs would trade with us because our players on their roster makes their team better.
     
  11. oldfisherman

    oldfisherman Unicorn Wrangler

    Joined:
    Jan 18, 2015
    Messages:
    3,381
    Likes Received:
    4,983
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Podunk suburbs
    You must be watching re-runs of the Blazers 1991/92 games instead of this seasons games.
     
  12. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    May 24, 2007
    Messages:
    72,958
    Likes Received:
    10,630
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Never lost a case
    Location:
    Boston Legal
    Wow. that convinced me :)
     
  13. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 13, 2008
    Messages:
    21,067
    Likes Received:
    13,610
    Trophy Points:
    113
    We have his Bird rights, why can't we go over the cap to sign him? We can always trade players later. Guys like ET and Meyers will be easy to trade (for little in return) if we want to.
     
    Last edited: Jan 23, 2017
    Denny Crane likes this.
  14. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    May 24, 2007
    Messages:
    72,958
    Likes Received:
    10,630
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Never lost a case
    Location:
    Boston Legal
    http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/17734638/30-crazy-predictions-2016-17-nba-season-zach-lowe

    The Pelicans have always been curious about pairing Anthony Davis with a low-post threat. The Blazers have a ton of center types, but it's unclear if any of them -- including Mason Plumlee, up for what could be a pricey extension -- represent the long-term answer at the position. Portland general manager Neil Olshey has chased back-to-the-basket types before. Speaking of which ...

    19. Portland trades a salary for ... ?
    The Blazers are not going to vault $20 million or $30 million over the tax next season. They will trade one of their high-priced guys -- or an impending free agent due for a raise. They don't need to trade a wing for a big man -- not with Mason Plumlee, Meyers Leonard, Festus Ezeli and Ed Davis scrapping for minutes -- but they are one of the few teams that could make that sort of swap if they find the right one.

    Portland knows the league is poor on wings, and the Blazers bet massively on their guys having trade value -- especially when rivals strike out in free agency.
     
  15. Trackjack

    Trackjack Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2015
    Messages:
    2,914
    Likes Received:
    1,910
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Olshey need ask himself if there going keep Plum next year and if he is then he needs to make moves to fit his salary in. It don't have to be this trading deadline. It could during the draft, but to keep under the LT it must be done. But if they decide not to keep him then trade him and get something out of him this year.
     
    Denny Crane likes this.
  16. tester551

    tester551 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 23, 2009
    Messages:
    4,037
    Likes Received:
    3,848
    Trophy Points:
    113
    You're delusional.... but keep on trying to argue that we're in a good spot.

    1) You state to get under the LT, we have to get rid of Plumlee, Davis, & Meyers - and most likely we can get seconds for Davis & Meyers. This part is true, however you are forgetting that we would be getting rid of 3 front court players (and our best one by far in Plumlee). You are also forgetting the part where we would need to replace them, but have no money to do so while staying under the LT. What 'impact' player can we realistically get? Getting rid of Plumlee (and likely Davis) for 2nd round talent will make us WORSE.

    2) Being over the cap doesn't hurt us, true... However, being within $500 of the LT does severely limit the trading options without a significant financial penalty. To act like it has NO impact on the Blazers future moving forward is being a little myopic.

    3) "Other GMs would trade with us because our players on their roster makes their team better." How does that work when Crabbe and Meyers don't make the Blazers any better? Both are below replacement level players making significantly more. There is a massive opportunity cost associated with their salaries that you aren't factoring in. If a team has a chance to take Henderson at $9M per year or Crabbe at $22M (after trade kicker), the vast majority of GMs would take Henderson and spend the other $13M on other areas of the roster.
     
    oldfisherman likes this.
  17. Rastapopoulos

    Rastapopoulos Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 30, 2008
    Messages:
    37,541
    Likes Received:
    22,076
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Ballin'
    He certainly produces good numbers. But as with Lillard, only perhaps more so because the center position is ALL ABOUT defense in the modern NBA, the fact that he is not a great defender hurts us. I was so excited to have signed Ezeli for that reason. Certainly if we have not traded Plumlee (and the fact that he is about to be a FA will severely undercut his trade value) we WILL sign him, but only because, like Crabbe, we basically have to or lose an "asset" for nothing. But with the team playing so shittily, I'd be willing to let him go just to rebuild, or ideally trade him for a pick. Y'know, like Brooklyn did.
     
  18. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    May 24, 2007
    Messages:
    72,958
    Likes Received:
    10,630
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Never lost a case
    Location:
    Boston Legal
    I'm not at all feeling the sense of panic you do. We're already quite deep at all positions. I didn't mention Ezeli's $7M contract doesn't have to be renewed.

    I'm also not that big a fan of Plums. He's a good backup quality C, but he's not helping us win lots of games. As Zach Lowe wrote, he's not likely the answer for the Blazers at C long term. NO has been able to trade to get guys like him and Rolo - I'm not sweating his ability to do it again, at worst.

    If Neil didn't sign our players, we'd still be minus players at various positions and much weaker.

    The problems being at or under the cap are rather obvious. The Heat signed the big 3 with cap space, could not go over the cap with anything but exceptions, and ended up only able to sign ring chasers and vet minimum guys. They filled out their roster with guys like Eddy Curry, Mickell Gladness, Terrel Harris, Dexter Pittman, Ronny Turiaf, etc. The ring chasers were Juwan Howard (17 year veteran), James Jones, and Mike Miller.

    We're not going to attract ring chasers.
     
  19. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 13, 2008
    Messages:
    21,067
    Likes Received:
    13,610
    Trophy Points:
    113
    So why do we spend hours and hours every year discussing trading for players from shitty teams? Those players are not making their teams better. Not sure if you are a Nerlens Noel fan, but he certainly has not made Philly any better.

    Sometimes a players meshes better with different players. But I agree with you, sometimes they jsut are not very good.
     
  20. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    May 24, 2007
    Messages:
    72,958
    Likes Received:
    10,630
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Never lost a case
    Location:
    Boston Legal
    I'd add that Crabbe and Meyers do make our team better. Without them we'd be much worse.
     

Share This Page