The thing is I don’t really think the Warriors could afford to tank. Regardless on if they feel like they can win it this year, Steph will be 36 by the time the playoffs start, and there are only so many years of Steph left. Unless Steph is injured AND out for the year, I don’t think they’ll try to tank, they’ll probably try their best to stay in the play-in to give Steph a chance at the playoffs. The only reason I think the Warriors would tank is if they know that top 4 pick will be worth something in the trade market. Without even a clear top 3-5, I don’t see them tanking. But like you said, a late lotto pick (or even just a mid teens pick) is better than bottom of the 1st round.